Market Dumps 2.0: No More Thinking! Q3 Beats? Govnt reopen? Liquidity's back? Dump! (HIMS MSTR TSLA)
Market Dumps 2.0: No More Thinking! Q3 Beats? Govnt reopen? Liquidity's back? Dump! (HIMS MSTR TSLA)
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Consider buying Hims & Hers Health (HIMS), which is viewed as undervalued after a significant drop despite a strong Q3 report and a new share buyback program. Fundamentally strong companies like CorMedix (CRMD) and Zeta Global (ZETA) are also presented as buying opportunities after falling sharply despite recent outstanding results. For leveraged exposure to Bitcoin, MicroStrategy (MSTR) is trading at a discount to the value of its crypto holdings and is showing relative strength. The current "extreme fear" in the crypto market may signal a long-term buying opportunity for contrarian investors. The core strategy is to capitalize on market irrationality by acquiring sound companies that have been unfairly punished in the recent sell-off.

Detailed Analysis

Hims & Hers Health (HIMS)

  • The host highlights that HIMS had an "outstanding" Q3 earnings report that surprised everyone to the upside.
  • Despite the strong performance, the stock was down 7% on the day of the recording and 44% since October 15.
  • The host notes that the company's management (CEO and CFO) approved a million-share buyback program.

Takeaways

  • The host has a bullish sentiment, viewing the stock as "way too cheap."
  • The significant drop in share price despite a strong earnings report is seen as an example of an irrational market sell-off.
  • The share buyback program is viewed as a "wonderful idea" and a strong signal from management that they believe their own stock is undervalued. This could present a buying opportunity for investors who believe in the company's fundamentals.

MicroStrategy (MSTR)

  • The host notes that MSTR is "holding up pretty well" despite Bitcoin being down 3%. In the past, a similar drop in Bitcoin would have caused MSTR to fall much more, perhaps 10%.
  • The stock is trading at a 0.92 MNAV (Market to Net Asset Value), meaning it's trading at a slight discount to the value of its Bitcoin holdings.
  • A related asset, the "strategy stablecoin" (stretch), is described as being "way down." The host mentions this asset is "designed to go back to 100," suggesting a potential arbitrage opportunity for those who "believe in the story."

Takeaways

  • The host is bullish on MSTR, seeing its ability to hold its value while Bitcoin drops as a sign of relative strength.
  • The stock trading at a discount to its Net Asset Value (NAV) could be seen as an attractive entry point for investors looking for leveraged exposure to Bitcoin.
  • The mention of the "strategy stablecoin" refers to a specific, non-traditional asset likely related to the podcast's community. The host frames it as a high-conviction play that could offer significant returns ("free money") if it returns to its target value.

Tesla (TSLA)

  • TSLA stock was up more than 4% in the morning following the release of an "outstanding new price target from a respected analyst."
  • However, the stock lost all of its gains throughout the day, ending flat or down.

Takeaways

  • The host uses TSLA as a prime example of the market's current extreme bearishness and irrationality.
  • Even strong positive news, like a significant price target upgrade, is not enough to sustain a rally in the current market environment. This indicates that broad market sentiment is overpowering company-specific news.

Zeta Global Holdings (ZETA)

  • The host states that ZETA had a "great Q3" and experienced a pop in its stock price right after the earnings announcement.
  • Since that report (in the last 5 days), the stock is down 16%, with a 7% drop on the day of the recording.

Takeaways

  • The host is bullish on the company's fundamentals but bearish on the market's reaction.
  • Like HIMS, ZETA is presented as a fundamentally strong company being unfairly punished by a fearful market. This is part of the host's broader "buy the dip" thesis on good companies that are being sold off.

CorMedix Inc. (CRMD)

  • The company had an "outstanding, outstanding Q3."
  • The stock is down 19% since its Q3 report and was down 10% on the day of the recording.
  • The host argues that the stock should not be linked to the broader economy because its products are primarily reimbursed by Medicare, suggesting the sell-off is not based on fundamentals.

Takeaways

  • The host has a strong bullish conviction, emphasizing the disconnect between the company's business and the economic fears driving the market down.
  • The sell-off is attributed to a "liquidity problem" in the market rather than any issue with the company itself. For investors, this could signal a buying opportunity in a company with a non-cyclical business model.

NVIDIA (NVDA)

  • NVDA is described as a "big expensive stock" that was more resilient than smaller growth stocks, only falling about 2.8% during the market dump.
  • The company's earnings report is scheduled for Wednesday night, and the host believes the market will be volatile and "make a whole fuss" leading up to the event.

Takeaways

  • Large-cap stocks like NVDA may offer more stability during broad market sell-offs compared to smaller, hyper-growth stocks.
  • NVDA's upcoming earnings are a major catalyst to watch. The market's reaction to this report could set the tone for the tech sector and the broader market in the short term.

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • Bitcoin was down 3% on the day of the recording.
  • The Crypto Fear & Greed Index is in a state of "extreme fear" and has not rebounded.

Takeaways

  • The short-term sentiment is clearly bearish, as indicated by the price drop and the "extreme fear" metric.
  • For contrarian investors, an "extreme fear" reading is often considered a potential indicator that the market may be near a bottom, presenting a long-term buying opportunity. The host's bullishness on MicroStrategy implies a long-term bullish view on Bitcoin.
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Video Description
Join Patreon for Exclusive Perks: https://www.patreon.com/btdenominator Beat The Denominator is a channel whose goal is to Beat the dollar's inflation (i.e., beat the denominator). In this video, I cover the market wide crash following the reopening of the government. I discuss this epic crash, why it makes no sense, Is AI and Tesla dead (TSLA stock), Is Fiat now about to become virtuous, Bitcoin and digial assets will not be a thing? (MSTR, BTC, MARA, STRC), is Telehealth not going to be a thing either? (HIMS sell off)! No Financial Advice!! As always, this video is NOT investment advice, and none of the contents should be construed as such. I do not make short-term or long-term price predictions for any stock investment, and all words spoken in this video are for entertainment purposes ONLY.
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