Hims Stock Down on Outstanding Execution: Eucalyptus Deal Closes WAY early! Outlook TOO SANDBAGGED!
Hims Stock Down on Outstanding Execution: Eucalyptus Deal Closes WAY early! Outlook TOO SANDBAGGED!
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Investors should consider Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) as a primary disruptor in the telehealth space following its early acquisition of Eucalyptus, which expands its global footprint and pushes total subscribers past 3 million. Analysts expect a significant upward revision to long-term revenue targets during the Q2 earnings report, with 2026 sales potentially reaching $3.16 billion due to this international expansion. The stock is currently viewed as undervalued with an EV/Gross Profit/Growth metric of 0.1, offering a high-conviction entry point while the market lags behind these fundamental developments. Beyond core treatments, HIMS remains a leader in the high-growth GLP-1 weight loss market, successfully navigating previous legal concerns to maintain its competitive edge against peers like LifeMD (LFMD). For a diversified play on the digital healthcare shift, focus on "full-stack" providers like HIMS that control the entire patient experience from the mobile app to pharmacy fulfillment.

Detailed Analysis

Hims & Hers Health, Inc. (HIMS)

Strategic Acquisition: The company has officially closed its acquisition of Eucalyptus, an Australian-based healthcare technology company, significantly ahead of schedule. • The deal closed in early June, despite management previously signaling a "second half of the year" timeline. • This acquisition expands Hims' footprint to four continents, adding presence in Australia, Japan, Canada, and Germany. • Subscriber Growth: The Eucalyptus deal brings access to data from approximately 850,000 people served on their platform. • Total recurring monthly subscribers for the combined entity are estimated to exceed 3 million. • Users typically pay between $50 to $100 per month for various treatments and prescriptions. • Financial Guidance & "Sandbagging": The analyst believes management is "sandbagging" (intentionally providing low estimates) their long-term targets. • Current long-term revenue targets sit at $6.5 billion, but the analyst expects this to be updated upward, potentially as early as the Q2 earnings report. • 2026 revenue projections (excluding Eucalyptus) had a midpoint of $2.9 billion. Adding Eucalyptus' estimated revenue contribution could push 2026 sales to approximately $3.16 billion. • Market Sentiment: Despite the early execution and positive news, the stock has seen a slight sell-off (down ~1%). • The analyst attributes this to a "lag" between good fundamental news and price action, noting that the market currently rewards "hype" over "execution." • Comparison was made to the February sell-off regarding GLP-1/Eli Lilly partnerships, where it took months for the market to correctly price in the positive developments.

Takeaways

Bullish Growth Outlook: The analyst projects a 35% revenue growth rate for 2026, countering previous market fears that growth would flatten. • Valuation Metrics: The stock is described as "dirt cheap" based on specific metrics: • EV/Gross Profit/Revenue Growth: Cited at 0.1, which is considered very low. • Rule of 40: The company scores a 49, indicating a healthy balance of high growth and profitability. • Sector Disruption: Hims is positioned as a primary disruptor to traditional insurance and "brick-and-mortar" doctor offices. The analyst views the Hims App as the "future of healthcare," similar to how Netflix disrupted traditional media. • AI Potential: While not currently marketed as an "AI stock," the analyst argues Hims is fundamentally an AI play due to its "proprietary closed-loop data" from 3 million users, which allows them to track medication outcomes and optimize treatments.


Telehealth & Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) Healthcare Sector

• The analyst identifies a major shift away from traditional healthcare infrastructure (local pharmacies and doctor offices) toward digital platforms. • Key Competitors Mentioned:Ro (Private)LifeMD (LFMD) • The sector is characterized by transparent pricing, AI integration, and a lack of reliance on traditional insurance models.

Takeaways

Market Leadership: Hims (HIMS) is expected to remain the #1 player in the telehealth/pharmacy space, though there is "room for competition" from peers like LifeMD. • Investment Theme: Look for companies that control the "full stack"—from the patient interface (app) to the pharmacy fulfillment and data collection.


Weight Loss & GLP-1 Medications

• The transcript briefly touches on the "FUD" (Fear, Uncertainty, Doubt) surrounding Hims' involvement in the GLP-1 (weight loss drug) space. • The analyst reaffirms that Hims is successfully selling products related to Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly, and that previous legal concerns (lawsuits) have been dropped.

Takeaways

Revenue Driver: GLP-1 medications remain a significant growth lever for the company, despite skepticism from some market participants five months ago.

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Video Description
Join Patreon for Exclusive Perks: https://www.patreon.com/btdenominator #HIMS $HIMS In this no financial advice video, I cover Hims stock why I like to see this insider buy, especially in a moment where the rest of the market seems to be getting all the attention (AI) and Hims is being left alone.. I also cover the valuation, the catalysts for upcoming growth, etc and the closing of the eucalyptus acquisition early. No Investment Advice! As always, this video is NOT investment advice, and none of the contents should be construed as such. I do not make short-term or long-term price predictions for any stock investment, and all words spoken in this video are for entertainment purposes ONLY.
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