Epic Rebound for AI stocks: Volatility in 2026, Still Cheap, & Will We Get Another Oppty to Buy Dip?
Epic Rebound for AI stocks: Volatility in 2026, Still Cheap, & Will We Get Another Oppty to Buy Dip?
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights
  • Micron Technology ($MU) is a high-conviction buy after the sell-off to the low $800s, with a quick potential to reclaim $1,000—it’s the cheapest AI stock given its explosive growth.
  • Nebius ($NBIS), a leading AI cloud provider, is very attractive below $200; use limit orders to buy during the wild swings common to this name.
  • Super Micro Computer ($SMCI) surged on chatter of a 5x revenue jump next quarter, presenting a near-term catalyst at a dirt-cheap valuation.
  • NVIDIA ($NVDA) offers the best risk/reward among chip plays and should be accumulated on any macro-driven dips.
  • Keep some cash ready, as market volatility will likely create repeated entry points for these high-conviction AI investments.
Detailed Analysis

Micron Technology (MU)

  • After-hours price ~986, could reclaim $1,000 after Friday’s sell-off to low $800s
  • Some analysts believe Micron could one day be the size of NVIDIA, driven by explosive memory demand and supply bottlenecks
  • Growth-adjusted valuation metric (EV/GP over RG) at 0.15, the cheapest among AI stocks discussed
  • Mention of massive profit potential, possibly $250 billion in next twelve months (likely a hyperbolic reference to long-term industry profits, not Micron’s own net income)
  • Revenue charts compared favorably to NVIDIA’s early explosive growth

Takeaways

  • Considered deeply undervalued on a growth-adjusted basis – a core AI memory play
  • Memory bottleneck is real and could drive sustained revenue and profit expansion
  • Extreme short-term volatility presents dip-buying opportunities for those with high risk tolerance
  • Potential multi-year compounder if the bullish thesis of becoming NVIDIA-sized in importance materializes

Nebius (NBIS)

  • A leading NeoCloud provider, preferred over competitors like CoreWeave and Iron
  • Price swung wildly: $290$164$220 – classic high-beta AI stock
  • Even at $216, the host considers it “way too cheap”; especially attractive under $200
  • Valuation metric at 0.19, second cheapest among the names discussed

Takeaways

  • High-conviction pick for cloud infrastructure tied to AI, but only for investors who can stomach violent swings
  • Buying opportunities likely to reappear; patience and limit orders near/under $200 could be rewarded
  • Not for the faint-hearted – “delete the app and go on vacation” may apply to this type of name

Supermicro (SMCI)

  • Surging +15% in after-hours on chatter that revenue could 5x next quarter as backlog converts
  • Valuation metric at 0.21, still seen as cheap within AI hardware
  • Backlog delays cannot postpone revenue recognition indefinitely – income statement catch-up is imminent

Takeaways

  • Near-term catalyst from backlog realization could drive significant stock price appreciation
  • Risk of further delays exists, but the underlying demand for AI servers seems robust
  • Attractive entry for those willing to trade around operational lumpiness

NVIDIA (NVDA)

  • Valuation metric at 0.42 – described as “very, very cheap” for a Magnificent Seven stock and the leading company of this generation
  • Compared favorably to AMD (1.01) and Broadcom (0.66) on a growth-adjusted basis
  • Seen as the superior risk/reward among AI chip plays

Takeaways

  • Despite its massive size, NVIDIA still offers compelling value given its growth trajectory
  • Preferred over competitors – if allocating to AI silicon, NVIDIA appears to give more growth per dollar of valuation
  • Volatility due to macro may offer chances to accumulate at even better levels

AMD (AMD)

  • Valuation metric at 1.01 – explicitly called “too expensive”
  • No positive commentary – positioned as overvalued relative to peers

Takeaways

  • Likely to underperform peers on a growth-adjusted basis; host suggests avoiding or reducing exposure in favor of cheaper AI names
  • Not a preferred play in the current AI chip landscape

Broadcom (AVGO)

  • Valuation metric at 0.66 – “a little expensive” despite a clear leadership position in ASICs and chip design
  • Recognizes its competitive moat but questions paying a premium when NVIDIA trades at 0.42

Takeaways

  • Quality company, but valuation gap versus NVIDIA makes it less attractive right now
  • Could be a secondary pick if own strict growth-value discipline; otherwise, capital might be better deployed in cheaper AI leaders

Macro Risks & Market Volatility

  • 10-year Treasury yield at 4.6%, oil approaching $90 (+4% on geopolitical tensions), and unresolved tariff threats (Canada, Greenland) are driving a “casino-like” market
  • Pattern since 2021: oil up → inflation up → rates up → growth stocks down
  • Host expects more “Grace Ones” (sharp dips) providing repeated buying opportunities in AI
  • Did not buy the latest dip because of vacation and belief that more dips will come, possibly larger than the recent one
  • Market remains highly reactive to macro headlines; mental health breaks advised during choppy periods

Takeaways

  • Use extreme fear to scale into high-quality AI names at better valuations
  • Keep some dry powder; volatility is likely to persist throughout 2026
  • Long-term AI fundamentals remain intact, but short-term noise may create attractive entry points multiple times this year
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Video Description
Join Patreon for Exclusive Perks: https://www.patreon.com/btdenominator Beat The Denominator is a channel whose goal is to Beat the dollar's inflation (i.e., beat the denominator). Therefore, I don't cover just inexpensive stocks: I also cover rebounds after dark swan events. No Financial Advice! As always, this video is NOT investment advice, and none of the contents should be construed as such. I do not make short-term or long-term price predictions for any stock investment, and all words spoken in this video are for entertainment purposes ONLY.
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