Bouncing Back Slowly! I'll Take It..Yet CELH OSCR NBIS Left Behind + TSLA & NVDA Still Get 0 Respect
Bouncing Back Slowly! I'll Take It..Yet CELH OSCR NBIS Left Behind + TSLA & NVDA Still Get 0 Respect
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Take advantage of weekend Bitcoin (BTC) volatility by buying the dip in related equities like MicroStrategy (MSTR) on Monday mornings, as BTC shows a bullish rotation away from Gold. Tesla (TSLA) is a high-conviction long-term play at current $380 levels, as the market is ignoring its massive pivot into semiconductor manufacturing and AI scaling. Nebius (NBIS) represents a significant market inefficiency; it remains "cheap" despite securing a $27 billion contract with Meta and a major NVIDIA partnership. For growth investors, Celsius Holdings (CELH) and Oscar Health (OSCR) are currently undervalued, with OSCR specifically poised for a fundamental breakout driven by upcoming 30% premium increases. While NVIDIA (NVDA) and other AI leaders are currently suppressed by geopolitical "macro madness," cooling inflation and a potential September rate cut suggest a strong recovery is ahead for these "left behind" assets.

Detailed Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC)

• The speaker notes that Bitcoin is currently the only major asset that can be traded 24/7, which leads to high volatility during weekends when traditional markets are closed. • BTC suffered over the weekend due to geopolitical "shocks" and "macro madness," but has since rebounded. • There is a notable divergence between Bitcoin and Gold; while Gold was overbought and is down 15% on the month, Bitcoin was oversold and is up 10%.

Takeaways

Buy the Dip Strategy: The speaker expresses frustration at not being able to buy stocks like MSTR (implied by "strategy") on Saturdays when BTC dips, suggesting that weekend crypto volatility often creates buying opportunities for related equities that can't be acted upon until Monday. • Bullish Sentiment: The 25% delta between Bitcoin's recovery and Gold's decline suggests a rotation back into "risk-on" digital assets as the market stabilizes.


Tesla (TSLA)

• The stock is currently trading around $380, down from $400 just a week prior, despite significant fundamental news. • Semiconductor Pivot: Tesla announced it is building a chip factory (TerraFab), applying its manufacturing expertise to the semiconductor sector. The speaker suggests Tesla could eventually compete with giants like TSMC or Samsung. • FSD Ramping: Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology continues to scale, which the speaker believes is being ignored by the market.

Takeaways

Undervalued Innovation: The speaker argues that those who find TSLA expensive are failing to account for the "exponential revenue growth" potential of its new semiconductor and AI endeavors. • Sentiment vs. Fundamentals: The stock is currently trading on sentiment and macro fear rather than the news of its chip manufacturing pivot, representing a potential disconnect for long-term investors.


Nebius (NBIS)

• The speaker is highly bullish on Nebius, comparing its lack of price response to "epic good news" to the behavior of HIMS. • Key catalysts mentioned: • A $27 billion contract with Meta. • A $2 billion investment in NVIDIA infrastructure. • A successful convertible note offering at low rates.

Takeaways

Market Inefficiency: Despite massive contracts and partnerships with NVIDIA and Meta, the stock remains "cheap" and has not recouped recent losses. The speaker views this as a "left behind" stock with significant upside.


Celsius Holdings (CELH)

• Described as the "coffee disruptor" and a legitimate competitor to Monster Beverage (MNST). • The speaker finds the recent sell-off irrational, questioning why Middle East tensions would affect a "fizzy beverage" company.

Takeaways

Valuation Opportunity: The speaker uses a proprietary spreadsheet metric, stating that when the stock is at current levels, it is "dirt cheap." • Historical Context: Given that Monster is one of the best-performing stocks in history, the speaker sees CELH as a high-growth play that is currently being unfairly punished by macro factors.


Oscar Health (OSCR)

• The speaker claims OSCR is trading at an "insane" valuation, almost at negative enterprise value. • Revenue Catalyst: Premiums are expected to rise by an average of 30% during renewals. • Consumer Behavior: Citing Cathie Wood, the speaker notes that health insurance is the last thing consumers cut, making the revenue stream highly "sticky" even in a tough economy.

Takeaways

Bullish Business Phase: While the stock price is lagging, the business fundamentals are entering a "very bullish phase" due to the upcoming 30% premium increases.


NVIDIA (NVDA)

• Despite the "AI takeover" being real and "unbelievable," NVDA has seen a very "shy" rebound, only up 1.7% after being down 4% during the macro downturn.

Takeaways

Macro Suppression: Even the strongest AI leaders are being held back by geopolitical uncertainty and "macro madness," suggesting that a resolution in global tensions could lead to a more aggressive breakout.


Investment Themes & Macro Outlook

Geopolitical "Playbook": The speaker identifies a pattern of "weekend shocks" followed by "Monday morning walk-backs" (extending deadlines/negotiations), which creates artificial volatility. • Interest Rates: Oil prices are trending down, which the speaker views as a sign that inflation is cooling. This has shifted the probability of a September rate cut back to approximately 67%. • The "Shy Bounce": The current market recovery is described as weak. The speaker suggests that many high-quality growth stocks have been "left behind" and are currently decoupled from their positive internal developments.

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Video Description
Join Patreon for Exclusive Perks: https://www.patreon.com/btdenominator Beat The Denominator is a channel whose goal is to Beat the dollar's inflation (i.e., beat the denominator). Therefore, I don't cover just inexpensive stocks: I also cover Bitcoin derivative stocks such as Strategy Stock (MSTR stock) as wild market moves such as the one we witnessed today on this bounce back.. I explain that I find CELh, OSCR, NBIS to be way too cheap. I also find that TSLA got no respect in light of their Terafab project, and NVDA shouldn't stay down this much.. No Financial Advice!! As always, this video is NOT investment advice, and none of the contents should be construed as such. I do not make short-term or long-term price predictions for any stock investment, and all words spoken in this video are for entertainment purposes ONLY.
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