Beyond MSTR... Where to Find Cheap Trapped BTC after Recent Run? Metaplanet, XXI, SWC, Credit & OWNB
Beyond MSTR... Where to Find Cheap Trapped BTC after Recent Run? Metaplanet, XXI, SWC, Credit & OWNB
YouTube16 min 28 sec
Watch on YouTube
Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

For core exposure, MicroStrategy (MSTR) remains the benchmark Bitcoin treasury asset, but investors seeking value should look to Metaplanet (MPJPY), which offers a 20% discount to its Bitcoin holdings ahead of a planned NASDAQ entity acquisition in Q4. Speculative investors can target 21 Capital (XXI) to capture a 30% discount on its 43,500 Bitcoin reserve, though positions should be managed carefully until the company announces formal monetization plans. Rather than chasing the recent 120% monthly surge in Asset Entities Inc. (ASST), wait for a price pullback before entering this momentum play. Finally, investors wanting diversified exposure to the Bitcoin Treasury sector while avoiding international trading fees and strict broker margin requirements should buy the YieldMax Bitcoin Miners & Treasury ETF (OWNB).

Detailed Analysis

MicroStrategy (MSTR)

  • Considered the established, stable behemoth in the Bitcoin treasury space with the most compelling risk-to-reward ratio.
  • Currently trading at a 15% premium to its Modified Net Asset Value (MNAV), having seen its valuation expand 15% more than Bitcoin over the past month.
  • Has established mainstream broker support and favorable margin/maintenance terms compared to smaller peers.
  • Continues to lead the market playbook for issuing debt and preferred instruments backed by Bitcoin.

Takeaways

  • Remains the benchmark and lower-risk core holding for pure Bitcoin treasury exposure, though it currently trades at a premium rather than a discount.

Metaplanet (MPJPY)

  • Trades at an MNAV of 0.81, offering approximately a 20% discount on the Bitcoin held on its balance sheet.
  • Has gained 25% over the past month, roughly in line with Bitcoin's 22% gain, meaning its valuation multiple has remained flat.
  • Faces a tough regulatory environment in Japan that created delays in issuing perpetual preferred shares and traditional at-the-market (ATM) offerings.
  • Pivoting by acquiring a NASDAQ firm (targeting completion in Q4), which may allow it to issue US-dollar-denominated preferred stock by Q1 of next year.
  • Broker access has improved (now available on platforms like Robinhood), but it is still subject to strict 100% margin maintenance requirements.

Takeaways

  • Provides discounted Bitcoin exposure, but investors should weigh the discount against broker trading restrictions and execution risks related to its US entity transition.

21 Capital (XXI)

  • Holds approximately 43,500 Bitcoin in its treasury as a public shell company.
  • Trades at an MNAV of 0.71, representing a 30% discount relative to the value of its underlying Bitcoin stack.
  • Has exhibited stronger price movement than Bitcoin recently as the market anticipates potential corporate actions.
  • The company has yet to provide clear operational guidance on how it plans to deploy or monetize its trapped Bitcoin reserves.

Takeaways

  • Offers a deep discount to its Bitcoin net asset value, but represents a "wait-and-see" speculative play until management outlines concrete plans for issuing preferred stock or credit.

Smarter Web Company (SWC)

  • Small-cap UK-based company holding Bitcoin on its balance sheet.
  • Underperformed Bitcoin recently, gaining 21% over the past month versus Bitcoin's 23%.
  • Valuation ranges between 0.75 and 0.88 EV to BTC, offering a 12% to 25% discount to its Bitcoin holdings.
  • Challenging for US investors to access without legacy international broker fees (up to $50 per trade).
  • As a much smaller company, it carries higher management risk and lower public market scrutiny.

Takeaways

  • High friction for US-based investors and carries small-cap operational risks, though it provides another avenue for discounted foreign Bitcoin exposure.

Asset Entities Inc. (ASST)

  • Highly popular social media momentum play within the Bitcoin treasury sector.
  • Has surged 120% in one month, proving out the preferred equity/digital credit model.
  • The speaker considers it currently overextended and prefers to wait for a pullback rather than chase high-flying momentum.

Takeaways

  • High-momentum play that has run up significantly; potential opportunities may arise if the stock experiences a correction.

Strive Enterprises (SSTR) / Strive

  • Highlighted for its innovative digital credit and perpetual preferred structure, including a 1-to-10 convertibility mechanic when MSTR hits $1,000.
  • Alongside MicroStrategy, serves as a foundational example of using treasury Bitcoin as collateral to build digital debt products.

Takeaways

  • Represents a high-innovation standard in the digital credit and preferred stock category.

YieldMax Bitcoin Miners & Treasury ETF (OWNB)

  • An exchange-traded fund structured to offer diversified exposure to the Bitcoin treasury and corporate holding sector.
  • Holds significant portfolio allocations in key treasury plays:
    • MicroStrategy: ~21%
    • Metaplanet: ~7%
    • 21 Capital (XXI): ~21%
    • Strive: ~6%
    • Marathon Digital (MARA): Significant allocation
  • Highly volatile and thinly traded compared to broad market index funds, but provides one-stop access to multiple international and domestic treasury companies.

Takeaways

  • Serves as an all-in-one alternative for investors looking to avoid the friction and margin restrictions of buying individual international or OTC treasury stocks.

The Bitcoin Treasury & Digital Credit Sector

  • Digital Credit Innovation: The primary growth catalyst for treasury companies is leveraging trapped balance sheet Bitcoin to issue digital credit, preferred debt, and return-of-capital instruments that offer tax advantages over traditional yield.
  • Non-Zero-Sum Industry Dynamics: Unlike traditional corporate competition, each company retiring Bitcoin into permanent treasury reserves reduces circulating supply (estimated effectively around 14–15 million BTC available due to lost coins), benefiting the collateral value of all industry participants.
  • Macro Sensitivities: Sector tailwinds depend on the absence of rate hikes, a softening 10-year Treasury yield, and Bitcoin maintaining upward momentum toward the mid-$80,000s.
  • Risk Curve: These investment vehicles are positioned far out on the risk curve with high volatility, broker margin penalties, and regulatory complexity across foreign jurisdictions.

Takeaways

  • Look for companies trading below 1.0 MNAV with clear roadmaps to launch preferred share offerings, while monitoring macroeconomic interest rate conditions.
Ask about this postAnswers are grounded in this post's content.
Video Description
Join Patreon for Exclusive Perks: https://www.patreon.com/btdenominator Beat The Denominator is a channel whose goal is to Beat the dollar's inflation (i.e., beat the denominator). Therefore, I don't cover just inexpensive stocks: I also cover possible alternatives to MSTR and ASST in the form of Metaplanet, XXI (21 capital), SWC Smarter Web Company, and a possible ETF I like, OWNB, No Financial Advice! As always, this video is NOT investment advice, and none of the contents should be construed as such. I do not make short-term or long-term price predictions for any stock investment, and all words spoken in this video are for entertainment purposes ONLY.
About Beat The Denominator
Beat The Denominator

Beat The Denominator

By @BeatTheDenominator