Are SOL and ETH Treasury Companies Worth It? Deep Dive on SBET, Tom Lee's BMNR and DFDV stock.
Are SOL and ETH Treasury Companies Worth It? Deep Dive on SBET, Tom Lee's BMNR and DFDV stock.
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

For leveraged exposure to Solana (SOL), consider DeFi Development Corp. (DFDV), which uses its high stock premium to aggressively acquire more SOL. A higher-risk, higher-reward strategy involves using its well-developed options market to buy long-term call options (LEAPs) out to December 2026. Similarly, Sharplink Gaming (SBET) offers a leveraged play on Ethereum (ETH), with a potential path to $73 per share if it continues its accretive growth strategy. This investment thesis is based on the growth of the Web3 economy, where ETH and SOL act as digital fuel. Due to a lack of transparency and extreme volatility, it is recommended to avoid Bitmine (BMNR).

Detailed Analysis

Sharplink Gaming (SBET)

  • SBET is presented as the first company to adopt Ethereum (ETH) as its primary treasury reserve asset.
  • The stock is described as a "roller coaster," having experienced extreme volatility, going from ~$4 to nearly $80 before settling around $17.
  • The company is actively using its high stock price to acquire more ETH. In the last three weeks, it increased its ETH holdings by 19% by issuing new shares.
  • This strategy is considered accretive, meaning it benefits existing shareholders. The company's "ETH per 1,000 shares" metric increased from 2 ETH to 2.37 ETH in about a month.
  • The stock trades at a significant premium to its Net Asset Value (NAV). The cost to acquire ETH through SBET shares is calculated at $7,198 per ETH, while the market price of ETH is $2,700. This results in a Price-to-NAV (P/NAV) ratio of 2.6x.
  • The high premium is viewed as a major advantage, as it allows the company to "sell a dollar bill for $2.62" to fund further ETH purchases.
  • A hypothetical projection suggests that if SBET maintains its current rate of ETH acquisition, the stock price could potentially rise from $17 to $73 within a year, assuming the P/NAV ratio and ETH price remain constant.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Bullish, but with high-risk tolerance required.
  • Strategy: SBET is a leveraged play on Ethereum. The investment thesis is based on the company's ability to continue issuing shares at a premium to aggressively accumulate more ETH.
  • Valuation: The stock trades at a very high premium (2.6x P/NAV). Investors are paying a premium for the company's accretive growth strategy, essentially betting that the amount of ETH per share will grow faster than the share dilution.
  • Risks:
    • Extreme price volatility.
    • The options market for SBET is not well-developed, limiting hedging or alternative trading strategies.
    • Brokers are likely to require 100% margin, meaning you cannot borrow against your shares to invest.
    • The investment is fundamentally tied to the performance and perception of Ethereum.

Bitmine (BMNR)

  • The speaker expresses a strong negative opinion on BMNR, stating "I don't like it for me" and calling it "not for me."
  • The primary concerns are a lack of transparency and a confusing business strategy.
  • Volatility: The stock is described as having "insane" volatility, even more so than Bitcoin, moving from ~$5 to $135 and back to $66.
  • Mining Operations: The company's mining operations are considered unclear. They report "miner count" instead of the industry-standard Exahash rate, making it impossible to assess the efficiency or power of their mining.
  • Strategy: The company's strategy is seen as muddled. It is unclear if they are primarily a Bitcoin miner, a Bitcoin holding company, or an Ethereum holding company, which could make it difficult for investors to understand the story.
  • Share Issuance: BMNR conducted a private placement of shares at $4.50. With the stock now trading at $66, this is viewed as highly unfavorable for new retail investors.
  • The main positive driver mentioned is that Tom Lee, a well-known financial analyst, is the company's chairman. This "Tom Lee premium" is believed to be the primary reason for the stock's massive price spike.
  • The company plans to issue $2 billion in common stock, which could be a good move if they can do so while the "Tom Lee premium" keeps the stock price high.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Bearish / Avoid.
  • Strategy: The speaker advises staying away from BMNR due to a lack of clear information and a confusing business model.
  • Valuation: It's impossible to calculate a P/NAV ratio due to the lack of clear data on their crypto holdings. The current price seems heavily influenced by hype surrounding its chairman rather than fundamentals.
  • Risks:
    • Extreme volatility and a high price that seems disconnected from fundamentals.
    • Lack of transparency makes it impossible to properly analyze the business.
    • Confusing and unfocused corporate strategy.

DeFi Development Corp. (DFDV)

  • DFDV is presented as a Solana (SOL) treasury company and is the speaker's preferred choice among the stocks discussed, primarily due to its well-developed options market.
  • The company is aggressively acquiring SOL. They recently purchased more, bringing their total holdings to 690,420 SOL (a "social media-ready number").
  • At a SOL price of $157, their holdings are worth $108 million. With a market cap of $333 million, this gives DFDV a Price-to-NAV (P/NAV) of 3.06x.
  • This high premium makes share issuance highly accretive, allowing them to "sell a dollar for $3.06" to buy more SOL. They are actively doing this through a $5 billion offering.
  • The speaker views DFDV more favorably than Solana ETFs because of the high fees associated with those ETF products.
  • The high premium on DFDV is partially justified by the native staking yield of SOL (around 7%). The market is pricing in the future value of compounding this yield over many years.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Very Bullish.
  • Strategy: DFDV is a leveraged play on Solana. The key is the company's "relentless" execution of issuing shares to acquire more SOL, growing the amount of SOL per share over time.
  • Valuation: The stock trades at a high premium (3.06x P/NAV). This is seen as a positive feature that fuels its growth engine.
  • Opportunities:
    • The options chain is well-developed, allowing for long-term bullish bets using LEAPs (long-term call options) out to December 2026. This can create an asymmetric risk/reward profile.
  • Risks:
    • The stock's volatility is 2x that of Bitcoin.
    • The investment thesis relies heavily on management's continued aggressive and effective execution of its share issuance and SOL acquisition strategy.

Ethereum (ETH) & Solana (SOL)

  • Both ETH and SOL are described not as "hard money" or stores of value like Bitcoin, but as commodities or digital fuel for their respective blockchain ecosystems.
  • Their value proposition is tied to their use as the underlying currency for building new financial applications (Web3, DeFi, payments, insurance, etc.).
  • Unlike Bitcoin, their supply is not fixed and can fluctuate.
  • Ethereum (ETH):
    • Seen as a potential platform for traditional financial institutions.
    • Robinhood's choice to use ETH for tokenized stocks is a major institutional endorsement.
    • Institutions may prefer ETH because it's easier to find developers, despite high transaction fees (which are less of a concern for large-scale transactions).
  • Solana (SOL):
    • Favored by retail users due to lower transaction fees and faster speeds.
    • Considered more of a "wild west," which might make it less appealing for conservative institutions to build on initially.
    • Has a native staking yield of around 7%, which provides a built-in return for holders.

Takeaways

  • Investment Theme: Investing in ETH or SOL is a bet on the growth of decentralized applications and the "Web3" economy, rather than a bet on a pure store of value.
  • Institutional vs. Retail: ETH appears to be gaining more traction with established financial players (TradFi), while SOL has a stronger following among retail users and developers building consumer-facing applications.
  • Proxy Investing: Companies like SBET and DFDV offer a way to invest in these ecosystems through the stock market, providing a leveraged return profile based on their ability to use stock premiums to accumulate more of the underlying crypto asset.
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Video Description
Join Patreon for Exclusive Perks: https://www.patreon.com/btdenominator Common ATM Math Walkthrough: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UD67EQYV5hA Beat The Denominator is a channel whose goal is to Beat the dollar's inflation (i.e., beat the denominator). Therefore, I don't cover just inexpensive stocks: I also cover Ethereum and now Solana derivative stocks such as DeFi Development Corp (DFDV stock) and their innovative approach to acquire Solana--a leading Blockchain, SBET stock and their Ethereum acquisition strategy (Sharplink Gaming), and Tom Lee's company where he becomes chairman, called Bitmine Immersion Technologies Inc (BMNR stock). No Financial Advice!! As always, this video is NOT investment advice, and none of the contents should be construed as such. I do not make short-term or long-term price predictions for any stock investment, and all words spoken in this video are for entertainment purposes ONLY.
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