4 AI Stocks: Too Cheap? Recent Pullback = Opportunity? NVDA, MU, META, & NBIS
4 AI Stocks: Too Cheap? Recent Pullback = Opportunity? NVDA, MU, META, & NBIS
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

NVIDIA (NVDA) is currently the most attractive "Magnificent 7" stock with a fair value target of $270–$280, making it a foundational buy for the AI economy. Meta Platforms (META) offers a high-conviction entry near $600 as it transitions from an ad-based model to a recurring revenue giant through potential subscription services. For value-focused investors, Micron Technology (MU) is exceptionally cheap at current levels, though a deeper pullback toward $800 represents an ideal entry point to capture massive demand for AI memory. Nebius (NBIS) is a high-growth alternative to traditional cloud providers, offering a "cozy" entry price below $200 with a massive $49 billion backlog and a 600% revenue growth forecast. Overall, the recent market dip is a strategic "gift" to accumulate these high-quality AI infrastructure and hyperscaler names at a significant discount.

Detailed Analysis

NVIDIA (NVDA)

  • Valuation: Described as the "cheapest" of the Magnificent 7 stocks based on an Enterprise Value/Gross Profit over Revenue Growth (EV/GP/RG) ratio of 0.4.
  • Growth Drivers:
    • CEO Jensen Huang suggested potential revenue of $0.5 trillion over a five-quarter span.
    • The analyst uses a conservative 62% next-12-months revenue growth forecast, though internal forecasts may be higher.
    • Rule of 40 score is exceptionally high at 127.
  • Ecosystem: NVIDIA operates almost like a VC business, having invested $2 billion early into various AI startups that have since seen 5x to 7x returns.
  • Technology Roadmap: The transition from current platforms to the Feynman platform (expected 2028) is predicted to bring multiple orders of magnitude in performance improvement.
  • Market Sentiment: The stock has remained relatively flat for nearly 10 months, which the analyst finds irrational given the growth.

Takeaways

  • Price Target: The analyst suggests a fair value of $270–$280, while the stock currently sits around $200.
  • Investment Thesis: Considered a "no-brainer" at current prices; a foundational bet on the entire AI economy.
  • Competitive Moat: The CUDA platform remains the industry standard, making their hardware "unavoidable."

Meta Platforms (META)

  • AI Strategy: Meta is transitioning into a "hyperscaler," with plans to potentially sell excess AI compute capacity to third parties, though currently, they use all capacity for internal tools (ads, creator tools).
  • New Ventures: Recently entered the AI coding space to compete with Anthropic and OpenAI.
  • Monetization Shift: The analyst highlights the potential for "Meta Plus" (Instagram/Facebook/WhatsApp Premium).
    • Similar to YouTube Premium, Meta could move from an advertising-only giant to a recurring revenue giant.
    • A subscription of $3.99/month across a user base of 4 billion people represents a massive revenue opportunity.
  • Valuation: The second cheapest stock in the analyst's spreadsheet with an EV/GP/RG of 0.42 and a Rule of 40 score of 73.

Takeaways

  • Entry Point: The analyst suggests waiting for a slight mean reversion toward $600 before stepping in, though current prices are considered cheap for long-term holders.
  • Risk/Reward: Meta is viewed as a safer AI play because it "does not need AI to do well" due to its dominant social media and advertising business.

Micron Technology (MU)

  • Valuation: Extremely low valuation ratio of 0.15, making it three times cheaper than NVIDIA relative to its revenue and profit figures.
  • Market Dynamics: The stock has pulled back from a high of $1,200 in June to under $1,000.
  • AI Memory Demand:
    • Next-generation GPUs require 8x more High Bandwidth Memory (HBM).
    • Humanoid robots may require 10x the memory of regular electronics for long-term data storage.
  • Business Model Shift: Moving from a "cyclical" business to a more stable one by signing five-year deals with 17 different companies, often involving upfront cash payments.

Takeaways

  • Actionable Price: The analyst likes the stock under $1,000 but is looking for a deeper pullback toward $800 for a more comfortable entry.
  • Risk Factors: A potential risk is if new AI models are developed that require significantly less memory to function, though current demand remains overwhelming.

Nebius (NBIS)

  • Context: A company founded by former Yandex (the "Google of Russia") executives who left Russia.
  • Financials: Boasts an enormous $49 billion backlog against a $46 billion market cap.
  • Strategic Advantage: Has a privileged relationship with NVIDIA, often receiving new chips before competitors.
  • Hidden Asset: Nebius owns 28% of ClickHouse, a data platform compared to Snowflake or Databricks. A future ClickHouse IPO could significantly revalue Nebius.
  • Valuation: Currently trading at a ratio of 0.17, which is cheaper than competitor CoreWeave by roughly 20%.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Bullish on the recent 25-30% pullback.
  • Entry Point: The analyst finds the stock very attractive at $210–$216 and suggests a "cozy" entry would be just below $200.
  • Growth: Forecasted forward revenue growth is placed at 600%, though timing on revenue recognition remains a variable.

Investment Themes & Sectors

  • The "AI Pullback": The analyst views the early July market dip as a "gift" and an opportunity to enter high-quality AI names at a discount.
  • Hyperscalers: A shift is occurring where traditional software giants (Meta) are becoming infrastructure providers (selling compute).
  • Memory as the Next Frontier: As AI moves toward "agents" and "humanoids," memory (Micron) becomes as critical as processing power (NVIDIA).
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Video Description
Join Patreon for Exclusive Perks: https://www.patreon.com/btdenominator $MU $NVDA $NBIS $META In this no financial advice video, I cover the world of undervalued AI growth stocks and ask whether Micron stock (MU stock), Nvidia stock (NVDA stock), Nebius stock (NBIS stock), and META stock are too cheap, by going over their valuations on my spreadsheet and providing commentary on recent stock price action... No Investment Advice! As always, this video is NOT investment advice, and none of the contents should be construed as such. I do not make short-term or long-term price predictions for any stock investment, and all words spoken in this video are for entertainment purposes ONLY.
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