ROLLUP: Rate Cuts! | ZK Breakthroughs | Farcaster’s Pivot | SEC Onchain | NYT’s Stablecoin FUD
ROLLUP: Rate Cuts! | ZK Breakthroughs | Farcaster’s Pivot | SEC Onchain | NYT’s Stablecoin FUD
148 days agoBankless
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

With significant institutional buying and the backing of the tokenization narrative, Ethereum (ETH) is positioned as a top asset for the next cycle. Major banks like Citi and JP Morgan are now offering loans against Bitcoin (BTC), validating it as pristine collateral and de-risking it as a long-term investment. Technological breakthroughs in Layer 2s like ZK Sync are solving major scaling issues and attracting sovereign interest, directly strengthening the Ethereum ecosystem. A major pro-crypto regulatory shift in the U.S. is providing a significant tailwind for the industry, with the potential passage of the Clarity Act being a key catalyst to monitor. For higher-risk opportunities, consider researching the resurgence of ICOs, such as the Reya (REYA) token sale on Coinbase, which signals a return of risk appetite to the market.

Detailed Analysis

Ethereum (ETH)

  • Price Action: The price of ETH was flat (0% change) on the week, which was seen as a sign of strength as it outperformed Bitcoin and other assets that were down.
  • Bullish Sentiment Shift: The podcast highlights a significant shift in sentiment towards Ethereum, particularly on Crypto Twitter. Former skeptics are now becoming supporters.
    • Investor Ryan Watkins, who was previously bearish on ETH in favor of Solana, now believes it's "impossible to replicate the product that Ethereum has built," citing its network effect and improved development roadmap.
    • Mike Ippolito of Blockworks stated, "Ethereum is in the best looking place that it's been in four years to me."
  • Key Bullish Drivers:
    • Institutional Buying: Tom Lee of Fundstrat is described as the "Ethereum hero of the cycle," having relentlessly purchased ETH. He now reportedly owns 3.2% of the entire ETH supply and is on his way to a stated goal of 5%. This large-scale institutional buying provides a strong price floor and validation.
    • Roadmap Momentum: The network is seen as "getting its shit together" with successful hard forks like Fusaka and clear progress on its Layer 2 (L2) scaling roadmap. The successful rollout of blobs (a feature that lowers L2 transaction costs) is a key example, with supply increases staying ahead of market demand.
    • Tokenization Narrative: The primary use case driving institutional interest is tokenization. The podcast suggests "Wall Street has picked Ethereum to do all of its stuff," and that the next crypto cycle will be defined by this trend on Ethereum.
  • Regulatory Recognition: The CFTC launched a pilot program that allows ETH (along with Bitcoin and USDC) to be used as collateral for derivatives, further legitimizing it as a commodity money.

Takeaways

  • The narrative around Ethereum is shifting from being a competitor to chains like Solana to being a foundational, long-term asset more comparable to Bitcoin.
  • The "cycle that skipped Ethereum" is considered over. The next major growth phase is expected to be driven by the tokenization of real-world assets on the platform, a theme heavily backed by institutional players like Tom Lee.
  • Investors should monitor the progress of the Clarity Act, a key piece of U.S. legislation that could provide a legal framework for tokenization and be a major catalyst for Ethereum.
  • Continued successful upgrades to the network, especially those that lower L2 fees and improve scalability, are fundamental bullish catalysts to watch.

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • Price Action: Bitcoin was down 3% on the week to a price of $90,000 (as stated in the transcript). The price action was described as being in "BART season"—a pattern of sharp vertical moves up and down with flat periods in between, indicating a low-liquidity and choppy market that is frustrating for traders.
  • Institutional Adoption: In a major sign of legitimization, major U.S. banks like Citi, JP Morgan, Wells Fargo, and BNY Mellon are now reportedly issuing credit against Bitcoin, allowing holders to take out loans using their BTC as collateral. This treats Bitcoin as a legitimate form of money and collateral.
  • New ETF Product: A newly proposed ETF concept called "Bitcoin After Dark" was mentioned. This product would only hold Bitcoin during overnight hours when U.S. equity markets are closed, aiming to capture after-hours price moves. While the hosts questioned its specific use case, it was seen as a sign of financial innovation in TradFi.
  • Regulatory Recognition: The CFTC's new digital asset pilot program recognizes Bitcoin as acceptable collateral for derivatives trading.

Takeaways

  • While short-term price action is choppy and unpredictable, the long-term institutional adoption of Bitcoin as "pristine collateral" by the world's largest banks is a monumental development.
  • This move by major banks to offer loans against Bitcoin provides strong validation of its status as a sound money asset and de-risks it for a wider range of investors.
  • The emergence of novel ETF products, even niche ones like "Bitcoin After Dark," indicates growing interest and product development from traditional finance, which could attract more capital to the asset.

Layer 2 (L2) Ecosystems (ZK Sync & Celo)

  • ZK Sync's "Atlas" Upgrade: This major upgrade was highlighted as a breakthrough for solving liquidity fragmentation in the Ethereum ecosystem.
    • It creates an "elastic network" of chains that all share unified liquidity with Ethereum's Layer 1.
    • This allows users and applications on a ZK Sync L2 to interact directly with L1 DeFi protocols like Aave without needing to bridge assets, making the experience seamless.
    • Stani Kulechov, the founder of Aave, called the innovation a "game changer."
  • Institutional & Sovereign Adoption: The ADI chain, a project backed by the central bank of the United Arab Emirates (UAE), has gone live using the ZK Sync Atlas technology. This demonstrates serious interest from sovereign entities in leveraging Ethereum's L2 ecosystem.
  • Celo (CELO) Upgrade: Celo became the first Ethereum L2 to implement OPZK fault proofs. This is part of a broader trend where optimistic rollups are upgrading to ZK (zero-knowledge) technology for faster and more secure transactions.

Takeaways

  • The technology behind Ethereum's Layer 2s is rapidly maturing, solving major user pain points like fragmented liquidity and slow bridging. This is fundamentally bullish for the entire Ethereum ecosystem.
  • The adoption of L2 technology by institutions and even sovereign nations (like the UAE) for regulated financial products is a powerful signal that the "L2 mullet" (a compliant, institutional front-end with a decentralized L2 back-end) is a viable and growing model.
  • Investors should view progress in L2 technology as a direct investment in Ethereum's long-term scalability and utility.

Investment Theme: The Great Regulatory Pivot

  • A "180-Degree Turn": The podcast emphasized a complete reversal in the U.S. regulatory stance on crypto in 2024, comparing it to a "spell being broken."
    • SEC: The new SEC chair, Paul Atkins, compared the previous administration's anti-crypto stance to "communist China" and stated, "we want to embrace this new technology." The agency is also ending numerous investigations into crypto firms (like Ondo Finance) without enforcement.
    • OCC: The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, which previously participated in "Operation Choke Point" to de-bank crypto firms, has now issued a report calling out banks for "unlawful debanking behavior" against the crypto industry.
    • CFTC: Launched a pilot program explicitly allowing BTC, ETH, and USDC as collateral, legitimizing them within regulated derivatives markets.
  • Clarity Act: This market structure bill is the next major piece of legislation to watch. Its passage is considered 50/50 but would provide significant legal clarity for the industry, especially for tokenization.

Takeaways

  • The U.S. regulatory environment has shifted from a primary headwind to a potential tailwind for the crypto industry. This massively de-risks the asset class for investors and institutions.
  • The pro-crypto stance from the heads of the SEC and OCC creates a much more favorable environment for innovation and investment.
  • The Clarity Act remains a key catalyst. Its passage would be extremely bullish, but even the current positive sentiment from regulators is a significant improvement over the past few years.

Investment Theme: The Return of ICOs

  • "The Meta is On": The hosts noted a clear resurgence in Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs) or token sales, indicating a return of risk appetite to the market.
  • Reya (REYA) was mentioned as a specific example.
    • It is a perpetual futures (perps) trading platform built as a Base rollup with ZK proofs.
    • It is currently conducting an ICO on Coinbase.
    • The podcast mentioned it is a "top six perp decks" and that 20% of its fees are used to burn Ether.
  • The hosts plan to aggregate and standardize information on upcoming ICOs to help inform investors.

Takeaways

  • The return of ICOs signals that the market may be entering a more "risk-on" phase, presenting new, potentially high-reward investment opportunities.
  • Investors should approach these new token sales with caution, as they are high-risk. However, projects launching on established platforms like Coinbase may have undergone more vetting.
  • Reya (REYA) is a specific project mentioned that investors interested in the perps DEX sector and new ICOs could research further.

Solana (SOL)

  • Context: Solana was mentioned as the chain that "stole the show" during the last cycle, a period where Ethereum's performance was seen as lackluster.
  • Base Bridge Drama: Coinbase's L2, Base, launched a bridge to Solana to allow Solana-based assets to be used in the Base ecosystem.
    • This was framed by Base as an act of connecting economies.
    • However, some prominent members of the Solana community viewed it as a "vampire attack" designed to extract value and liquidity from Solana without reciprocating.
    • Solana co-founder Anatoly Yakovenko noted that while the bridge is bidirectional in code, the "economic gravity" would likely pull value from Solana to Base.

Takeaways

  • The incident highlights the intense competition for users, liquidity, and fee revenue between major blockchain ecosystems.
  • While interoperability is often praised, the "economic alignment" of bridges and cross-chain solutions is a critical factor for an ecosystem's health.
  • This serves as a reminder that even as the crypto space grows, tribalism and competition between chains remain strong forces.

Other Mentions

  • Ondo Finance (ONDO): The SEC ended its two-year investigation into the tokenization platform with no enforcement action. This is a positive development for Ondo and the broader tokenization sector, reinforcing the theme of a friendlier regulatory environment.
  • Gemini (Prediction Markets): Gemini's affiliate received a CFTC license to launch fully regulated prediction markets for U.S. customers, joining Kalshi as one of the few regulated operators. The podcast mentioned that Gemini is a publicly traded company and that its stock surged 14% on this news, signaling strong market interest in the prediction market sector.
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Episode Description
The final Fed meeting of 2025 delivered a surprise rate cut, but the real story is how the market is reacting. In this week’s Weekly Rollup, Ryan and David unpack what the new policy shift means for crypto liquidity, why regulators across the SEC, CFTC, and OCC are suddenly embracing onchain markets, and how Tom Lee’s massive ETH accumulation is reshaping sentiment. We also get into Ethereum’s growing momentum from ZK advancements and blob upgrades, the ZKsync Atlas rollout, Base’s bridge drama with Solana, and Farcaster’s pivot away from social. Plus, the rise of tokenization, new prediction market rails, and whether this week marks the first real cycle turn for Ethereum. ------ 📣REYA | ETHEREUM FOR TRADERS https://bankless.cc/reya    ------ BANKLESS SPONSOR TOOLS: 🔵COINBASE | ETH & BTC BACKED LOANS https://bankless.cc/coinbase-borrow 🪙FRAXNET | MINT, REDEEM, & EARN  https://bankless.cc/fraxnet 🦄UNISWAP LABS | SWAP NOW https://bankless.cc/uniswap-labs 🛞MANTLE | GLOBAL HACKATHON 2025 https://bankless.cc/mantle-hackathon 💤EIGHT SLEEP | IMPROVE YOUR SLEEP https://bankless.cc/eight-sleep ------ TIMESTAMPS & RESOURCES 0:00 Intro 5:01 Markets https://x.com/EricBalchunas/status/1998424357232922883 https://www.theblock.co/post/381737/bitmine-13-2-billion-holdings-eth-treasury-expands-november-slowdown https://x.com/RyanWatkins_/status/1998529576331522334 https://x.com/MikeIppolito_/status/1998495400869900626 https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/10/fed-interest-rate-decision-december-2025-.html https://x.com/jameslavish/status/1998835306800505140 https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1998407015756964343 https://x.com/JustDeauIt/status/1998905919577452765 24:52 Farcaster is pivoting to a wallet https://farcaster.xyz/dwr/0xd29fe760 https://x.com/DefiIgnas/status/1997915182073626802 https://x.com/eth_call/status/1998406182092906534 http://x.com/nic_carter/status/1998813611997745386 https://x.com/TrustlessState/status/1999134280757235767 37:11 ZK … early stage of unleashing Ethereum’s vision https://x.com/zksync/status/1996678308214264145 https://x.com/zksync/status/1996678311997853752 https://x.com/StaniKulechov/status/1996990055043223659 https://x.com/zksync/status/1998405700637356056 https://x.com/Celo/status/1998780366988128562 47:06 Did Base launch a vampire attack on Solana’s liquidity? https://x.com/jessepollak/status/1996750308933091359 https://x.com/vibhu/status/1996698682545107247 https://x.com/0xyoussea/status/1997763313909092415 https://x.com/solana/status/1999035191323759024 52:30 Ethereum's first Blob Parameter Only (BPO) fork is now live on the network https://x.com/i/status/1998936032314523977 https://dune.com/hildobby/blobs 56:17 Regulators are doing a complete 180 https://x.com/OndoFinance/status/1998015670278148283 https://x.com/coinbureau/status/1997128653650657338 https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2025/12/08/cftc-launches-digital-assets-pilot-allowing-bitcoin-ether-usdc-as-collateral https://x.com/joechalom/status/1998421401049710686 https://x.com/WatcherGuru/status/1998379541132402987 https://www.fdic.gov/news/inactive-financial-institution-letters/2023/fil23001.html https://x.com/USComptroller/status/1998793576663187561 https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/08/guaranteeing-fair-banking-for-all-americans/ https://occ.gov/news-issuances/news-releases/2025/nr-occ-2025-123a.pdf https://www.bankless.com/read/news/occ-calls-out-americas-largest-banks-for-politicized-and-unlawful-debanking-behaviors https://www.theblock.co/post/381815/sen-moreno-calls-crypto-bill-talks-decently-frustrating-as-senate-races-toward-year-end-goal-posts  1:05:03 The New York Times put out an anti-stablecoin explainer piece https://x.com/0xDeployer/status/1997754736158900440 https://x.com/nic_carter/status/1997866686439928004 1:06:50 Gemini can now offer prediction markets in the US - Stock Surges Nearly 14% https://x.com/gemini/status/1998880024401973615 https://x.com/gondorfi/status/1998754620416344483 https://gondor.fi/ 1:07:49 Meme of the Week https://x.com/Bankless/status/1998064876892442788 1:09:36 Closing & Disclaimers ------ Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here: https://www.bankless.com/disclosures
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