Woah. One of the biggest public bulls on memory just sold all his memory stocks. This is quite interesting. For the past few months, if you mentioned anything bearish on memory without having a position (short or long) the comments from people who seemingly got on the train at $700-$800 would decimate you. “You missed the run. You don’t get it. You’re jealous.” Instead of actively engaging with some basic bear cases (memory optimization, prices peaking, supply coming online) you just got pushback. Even if you’d say that buybacks aren’t really a strategy on what to do with excess cash…you’d be labeled as someone who doesn’t understand why buybacks are good. As if Apple buying back their stock with sustainable growth is the same as a commodity supplier in the greatest supply/demand imbalance we have ever seen doing buybacks as well? I personally believe $MU probably has a fair value closer to $1500, but if the broader market has external concerns that discount those future cashflows, then obviously that can hurt the potential for that price action. I am not bearish, not short, just on the sidelines because I missed the run and didn’t want to chase. The bulls not willing to even hear the bear case is one again a reminder that when a group of people ignore anything that could deter the thesis, it tends to be a red flag. Having said that, Hynix and Samsung can’t go down. If they do, Korea is done. I think this would be bad for US stocks. Would really like to not see that because I have high beta exposure and would like US memory stocks to do well because many other semi names follow those names. My biggest issue is whenever I ask people if they are in memory stocks for a trade or an investment, literally 99% say it’s a trade. No one wants to hold for 5 years. If so, then that means there is really doubt on the sustainability of those earnings which is what the market may be thinking right now. I do feel like much of the fear is priced in and hopefully a short term bounce is near but it would require momentum to come back into these names. Is anyone buying the memory dip?