TRUMP VISITS POWELL, TESLA TANKS, INTEL & COKE EARNINGS, S&P ALL TIME HIGHS | MARKET CLOSE
TRUMP VISITS POWELL, TESLA TANKS, INTEL & COKE EARNINGS, S&P ALL TIME HIGHS | MARKET CLOSE
289 days agoAmit Kukreja@amitinvesting
YouTube3 hr 8 min
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Consider building a position in Ethereum (ETH), which is seeing record ETF inflows and has a long-term price potential of $10,000 - $15,000. For Tesla (TSLA), the $300 price level is acting as strong support, presenting a potential buying opportunity for those looking to enter the stock. The AI and semiconductor boom remains a multi-year investment theme, with the upcoming release of GPT-5 expected to fuel further demand. Within this trend, AMD (AMD) is showing unusual strength by hitting a new 52-week high, suggesting it may be a strong performer in the sector. Investors seeking an equity proxy for Ethereum can also look into Bitmine (BMNR), which is the largest public holder of ETH.

Detailed Analysis

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)

  • The stock was a major focus, experiencing a significant dip of nearly 8% to close around $305.
  • It found strong buying support at the $300 price level, bottoming at $300.41 before recovering slightly.
  • The host noted this dip as a potential buying opportunity, personally purchasing 10 shares at $302.
  • The sentiment is cautiously bullish, with the hope that the $300 level will hold as strong support. The host mentioned a potential trading range for the stock between $280 and $350.

Takeaways

  • The $300 price point appears to be a critical psychological and technical support level for TSLA. Investors are watching to see if the stock can maintain this level in the coming weeks.
  • A drop of this magnitude can be seen as a "buy the dip" opportunity for those with a long-term bullish view on the company, as demonstrated by the host's own small purchase.
  • However, a break below $300 could signal further downside, making it a key level to monitor for both bulls and bears.

Google (GOOGL)

  • Despite strong recent earnings, the stock has struggled to gain momentum, closing up just 1% at $192.
  • It failed to break above the $200 mark, even as the broader S&P 500 hit all-time highs, suggesting that not all big tech names are rallying equally.
  • Bullish News: Google won a $1.2 billion multi-year cloud deal with ServiceNow (NOW). However, the market had a muted reaction to this announcement.
  • AI Spending: Google raised its capital expenditure (CapEx) forecast from $75 billion to $85 billion, signaling a massive and ongoing investment in its AI infrastructure.

Takeaways

  • Google's price action suggests a "stock picker's market," where strong individual company news doesn't automatically lead to a stock rally.
  • The significant increase in AI spending is a long-term bullish indicator, positioning Google to be a major player in the AI revolution. This spending benefits not only Google but the entire semiconductor and data center supply chain.
  • Investors may be waiting to see more direct monetization from these AI investments before pushing the stock significantly higher. The $200 level is a key resistance point to watch.

Deckers Outdoor Corp. (DECK)

  • The company, which owns popular brands like Uggs and Hoka, reported exceptionally strong earnings.
  • Earnings Beat:
    • Revenue came in at $964 million, beating expectations of $900 million.
    • Earnings per share (EPS) were $0.93, crushing the expected $0.68.
  • Strong Growth: Revenue grew 17% and EPS grew 24% year-over-year, which are numbers more typical of a tech company.
  • Consumer Strength: This strong performance, particularly in premium brands, was seen as a very positive sign for the health of the consumer, countering fears of a slowdown.
  • Stock Reaction: The stock, which was down 48% year-to-date, surged as much as 19% in after-hours trading before settling around +8%. The fade was attributed to the company announcing plans to phase in price increases.

Takeaways

  • Deckers' results provide a strong counter-narrative to the "weak consumer" theme. It suggests that consumers are still willing to spend on strong, desirable brands.
  • The massive growth in international sales (up 49.7%) is a key driver and shows the global appeal of their brands.
  • For investors, this could signal that well-managed consumer discretionary companies with strong brand power can thrive even in an uncertain economic environment.

Intel Corporation (INTC)

  • Intel's earnings report was mixed and led to significant volatility in the stock price.
  • Earnings Results:
    • Revenue Beat: Reported $12.8 billion vs. an expected $11.88 billion.
    • EPS Miss: Lost 10 cents per share due to a $1.9 billion restructuring charge. Without this one-time charge, the results would have looked much better.
  • Corporate Actions: The company is undergoing a major restructuring, including laying off 15% of its workforce and halting expansion plans in Germany and Poland to focus capital in the United States.
  • Stock Reaction: The stock was extremely volatile, initially rallying on the strong revenue guidance for the next quarter, but ultimately fell 5% in after-hours trading as investors digested the full report and restructuring news.

Takeaways

  • Intel is in a major transition period. The restructuring and cost-cutting are painful in the short term but are intended to make the company more efficient and competitive long-term.
  • Investors seem to be looking past the one-time EPS miss, but the canceled projects and layoffs create uncertainty.
  • The stock's negative reaction suggests the market is concerned about Intel's ability to compete with rivals like AMD and TSMC, despite the cost-saving efforts.

Ethereum (ETH) & Crypto-Related Stocks

  • There is significant positive momentum around Ethereum (ETH).
  • Massive Inflows: Ethereum ETFs have seen $4 billion in inflows over the last 13 consecutive days, a record streak.
  • Bullish Thesis: The host is increasingly bullish on ETH, suggesting a long-term price potential of $10,000 - $15,000 if the global financial system continues to adopt blockchain technology.
  • Bitmine (BMNR): This Ethereum treasury company was highlighted for now holding $2 billion worth of ETH, making it the largest public holder. Its stock was up about 5%.
  • ASTS SpaceMobile (ASTS): This stock fell 10% after announcing a $500 million convertible note offering. This is a form of dilution, where new debt can be converted into stock in the future.

Takeaways

  • Institutional and retail interest in Ethereum is clearly growing, as evidenced by the strong ETF inflows. This provides a strong tailwind for the asset's price.
  • Investors looking for exposure to Ethereum can consider the underlying asset (ETH), an ETF, or crypto-treasury stocks like BMNR.
  • Be aware that pre-revenue or early-stage companies like ASTS will often use a rising stock price as an opportunity to raise capital through dilution, which can cause short-term price drops.

Broader Market & Investment Themes

  • AI & Semiconductor Boom: The AI buildout is considered a multi-year trend that is not slowing down. The upcoming release of OpenAI's GPT-5 is expected to fuel even more demand for chips and energy. This is a long-term bullish theme for companies like NVIDIA (NVDA), AMD (AMD), and the broader semiconductor sector.
  • AMD (AMD) showed unusual strength, hitting a 52-week high in after-hours trading. This could be a sign that it's gaining ground on competitors or that investors see it as a better value than more expensive peers.
  • Federal Reserve & Political Pressure: The podcast heavily featured the meeting between former President Trump and Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Trump is publicly pressuring the Fed to cut interest rates. While the host doesn't expect this to force the Fed's hand, it adds a layer of political uncertainty to the market.
  • Consumer Health is Mixed: While Deckers (DECK) showed consumer strength, other companies like Chipotle (CMG) and American Airlines (AAL) provided weaker guidance. The overall health of the consumer remains a key question for the market.
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About Amit Kukreja
Amit Kukreja

Amit Kukreja

By @amitinvesting

Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!