TRUMP & POWELL, CRYPTO SELLS OFF, TESLA EXPANDS ROBOTAXIS | MARKET OPEN
TRUMP & POWELL, CRYPTO SELLS OFF, TESLA EXPANDS ROBOTAXIS | MARKET OPEN
288 days agoAmit Kukreja@amitinvesting
YouTube2 hr 34 min
Watch on YouTube
Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Consider building a position in Palantir (PLTR) on any pullbacks, as analysts see it as a key AI winner with a new price target of $170. With Tesla's (TSLA) RoboTaxi expansion acting as a catalyst, the $280-$300 range has proven to be a strong support level for buying opportunities. In semiconductors, AMD (AMD) is a top pick as it continues to gain market share from a struggling Intel (INTC), benefiting from increased AI-related spending. Keep a close watch on Grab (GRAB), as a potential acquisition of its main competitor could be a massive growth catalyst for the stock. For long-term value, Google (GOOGL) is considered an opportunity below $200 for investors who believe it can overcome its current regulatory hurdles.

Detailed Analysis

Palantir (PLTR)

  • Piper Sandler initiated coverage on Palantir for the first time with an Overweight rating and a $170 price target.
    • The analyst noted they have monitored the company for five years and called its recent performance a "rise of the Phoenix movement."
    • They view Palantir as a "secular winner in AI" with a "one-of-a-kind growth and margin model."
    • They project it could become a $24 billion run rate business by 2032.
  • Risk Factor Mentioned: The analyst acknowledged the stock's "rich valuation premium" and "hyper volatility," recommending investors use a "buy on a drawdown" approach to build positions.
  • The stock hit a new all-time high of $160 during the session, with the host attributing the strong momentum directly to the Piper Sandler upgrade.
  • Lear Corp (LEA), an automotive systems manufacturer, praised its partnership with Palantir on its earnings call, highlighting the use of Foundry and AIP for data management and manufacturing efficiency. This is seen as a sign of growing enterprise adoption and validation.

Takeaways

  • The new $170 price target from a major firm like Piper Sandler provides a significant bullish catalyst and could attract more institutional investment.
  • Despite the high valuation, the narrative around Palantir is shifting from a speculative play to a recognized "AI all-star" by Wall Street.
  • The recommendation to buy on pullbacks suggests that while the long-term outlook is positive, investors should be prepared for volatility and not chase the stock at all-time highs.
  • Public praise from customers like Lear on earnings calls serves as powerful, real-world validation of Palantir's technology, which could lead to more enterprise deals.

Tesla (TSLA)

  • The stock saw upward momentum on rumors that its RoboTaxi service will roll out in San Francisco as early as next week.
    • This would be a supervised rollout, similar to the one in Austin, with a safety monitor in the driver's seat.
    • This suggests a rapid pace of expansion for the RoboTaxi network.
  • The stock recovered from a dip to $300 the previous day, trading as high as $316. The host noted that the $280 to $350 range seems to be the current trading channel.
  • Cathie Wood's ARK Invest was mentioned as having bought $40 million worth of Tesla stock on the dip.
  • Lyft (LYFT) is reportedly introducing a credit program for customers who use their Teslas for ride-hailing on the platform.

Takeaways

  • Positive news flow around the RoboTaxi expansion continues to be a primary driver of the stock price, often outweighing concerns from recent earnings reports.
  • The stock shows strong buying support around the $300 level, with institutional investors like ARK Invest stepping in on weakness.
  • The host believes that despite potentially weak future earnings, the stock is unlikely to fall into the low $200s due to strong investor belief in its long-term AI and robotics potential. The $280 level is seen as a potential floor ("max pain").

NVIDIA (NVDA) & AMD (AMD)

  • Both semiconductor stocks showed strong upward momentum, with AMD (AMD) breaking $165 and NVIDIA (NVDA) approaching its all-time high near $175.
  • The positive sentiment is driven by the broader AI theme, particularly after Google's strong earnings and increased capital expenditure (CapEx) plans, which directly benefits chip suppliers.
  • Intel's poor earnings are seen as a positive for AMD, suggesting AMD is successfully capturing market share from its primary competitor.
  • The host highlighted humanoid robots as a massive future growth vertical for NVIDIA's chips, pointing to new, lower-cost robots coming from Chinese companies like Unitree.

Takeaways

  • The investment thesis for AI chipmakers remains strong. Increased spending from cloud giants like Google is a direct tailwind for NVIDIA and AMD.
  • AMD appears to be benefiting from Intel's struggles, making it a strong alternative for investors looking for exposure to the CPU and GPU markets.
  • The overall semiconductor sector is moving in tandem, suggesting a broad-based belief in the continuation of the AI investment cycle.

Cryptocurrencies

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • A recent sell-off from $119,000 to $115,000 was attributed to a dormant wallet from 2011 waking up and selling 14,000 BTC.
  • The host believes this short-term selling pressure will be absorbed by strong demand, specifically mentioning that Michael Saylor (MicroStrategy) is raising $2.5 billion to purchase more Bitcoin.

Takeaways

  • While old wallets selling can cause short-term price dips, large institutional buyers like MicroStrategy provide a strong demand floor, suggesting these dips could be buying opportunities for long-term believers.

Ethereum (ETH) & Related Treasuries

  • Bitmine (BMNR) is described as the "MicroStrategy for Ethereum," a publicly traded company led by Tom Lee that acts as a levered investment vehicle for ETH.
  • SBET is another Ethereum treasury company that just hired BlackRock's former head of crypto.
  • The host argues that BMNR may have an edge due to the high-profile marketing and media presence of Tom Lee, which is crucial for attracting capital and weathering the shareholder dilution that is common with these types of companies.

Takeaways

  • For investors bullish on Ethereum but wanting stock market exposure, companies like BMNR and SBET offer a way to make a levered bet on the asset's future price.
  • When evaluating these treasury companies, the management's ability to market the thesis and raise capital (like Michael Saylor for Bitcoin) is as important as the underlying asset itself.

Google (GOOGL)

  • Despite a strong earnings report and a new $1.2 billion contract from ServiceNow, the stock has struggled to move significantly higher, holding around the $192 level.
  • The host believes the stock is undervalued ("a crime below $200") and that the market is overly focused on potential negative narratives.
  • Potential Overhangs: The biggest risks holding the stock down are likely legal/regulatory, specifically the DOJ antitrust case and the potential loss of its default search engine status on Apple's Safari browser.

Takeaways

  • Google appears fundamentally strong, with its Cloud division "destroying expectations" and becoming more profitable.
  • The current price may present a buying opportunity for long-term investors who believe the company can navigate its regulatory challenges. The resolution of the Apple Safari deal, in particular, could be a major catalyst.

Grab (GRAB)

  • A major bullish catalyst is developing: Grab's main competitor in Indonesia, GoTo, is embroiled in a $610 million corruption scandal.
  • The Indonesian government may force a takeover to resolve the situation, which would allow Grab to acquire GoTo's assets and 100 million users for a fraction of their previous valuation.
  • This could boost Grab's top-line revenue growth from its current 22% to well over 30%.

Takeaways

  • The situation with GoTo is a potentially massive, unexpected tailwind for Grab. If Grab acquires its main competitor in a key market for cheap, it could significantly accelerate its growth and path to profitability.
  • This news could be a primary reason for the stock's recent breakout, and investors should watch for official news on a potential deal.

Intel (INTC)

  • Intel reported very poor earnings, missing EPS estimates by a wide margin due to impairment charges. The stock dropped significantly, down around 9%.
  • The new CEO is implementing a major turnaround plan, including cutting management layers by 50%, laying off 15% of employees, and reducing future construction spending.
  • The consensus view is that Intel is an unexciting investment compared to NVIDIA and AMD. An analyst described it as likely being "dead money for at least a year or two" until the turnaround efforts show results.

Takeaways

  • Intel is a high-risk turnaround play. While the new management is making aggressive changes, the benefits will not be seen overnight.
  • Investors looking for growth in the semiconductor space have better, more immediate opportunities in competitors like NVIDIA and AMD. Intel is not a stock for those seeking short-term momentum.
Ask about this postAnswers are grounded in this post's content.
Video Description
twitter: https://x.com/amitisinvesting 00:00 - Intro 04:00 - Trump and Powell
About Amit Kukreja
Amit Kukreja

Amit Kukreja

By @amitinvesting

Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!