TRUMP EASES OIL, CROWDSTRIKE, GITLAB EARNINGS + TECHNICAL TUESDAY
TRUMP EASES OIL, CROWDSTRIKE, GITLAB EARNINGS + TECHNICAL TUESDAY
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Consider adding to NVIDIA (NVDA) positions on dips near $170, as the stock remains fundamentally cheap ahead of the GTC catalyst in mid-March. Palantir (PLTR) shows strong momentum as an AI defense leader, with a technical setup suggesting a potential bounce toward a target of $165–$170. For the energy sector, investors should take profits on Occidental Petroleum (OXY) and Venture Global (VG) following recent spikes, looking to re-enter OXY if it retraces to the $50–$52 range. Bitcoin (BTC) remains a hold unless it reclaims $70,000, at which point it could quickly rally toward a $78,000 profit-taking zone. Long-term investors should view Microsoft (MSFT) as a high-quality "buy the dip" opportunity while it maintains a solid bottom between $390 and $400.

Detailed Analysis

Based on the financial analysis of the podcast transcript, here are the investment insights and asset-specific takeaways.


NVIDIA (NVDA)

• The stock showed resilience, recovering from a morning low of $172 to end near $180. • Sentiment remains mixed; while the company is fundamentally "dirt cheap" relative to its growth, it failed to break through the $181.50 resistance level post-earnings. • GTC (GPU Technology Conference) is mentioned as a major upcoming catalyst (March 16-19). • The stock is currently viewed as range-bound between $170 and $193.

Takeaways

Action: Consider adding to positions on dips near $170. • Strategy: Use covered calls to generate yield while the stock remains in a consolidation phase. • Watch: Monitor the $185 level; a move tighter could signal a long period of sideways action.


Palantir (PLTR)

• Palantir is highlighted as a "big winner," showing momentum while other defense contractors (Lockheed, Raytheon) struggled. • The stock successfully held the $120 support level and reclaimed its 20-day moving average. • Analysts noted a "Death Cross" (a technical indicator) occurred recently, but the stock is fighting back due to its perceived role in global conflicts and AI software leadership.

Takeaways

Bullish Target: A counter-trend bounce could lead the stock toward $165–$170. • Risk Factor: Expect heavy resistance at $165, which was a prior breakdown point. • Sentiment: The market views Palantir as a unique "AI defense" play, separating it from traditional hardware-focused contractors.


CrowdStrike (CRWD)

• The stock reported a slight beat on EPS ($1.12 vs. $1.10 expected) but was in line with revenue expectations. • Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) grew 24% year-over-year, reaching $5.25 billion. • Despite the beat, the stock initially dipped 4% after-hours, reflecting high market expectations for software companies.

Takeaways

Action: The stock is currently viewed as "slightly overvalued" by some, but it has already pulled back significantly from its $500 peak in January. • Bullish Outlook: CEO George Kurtz emphasized that AI is a "massive growth opportunity" for cybersecurity, acting as a tailwind. • Watch: Look for a potential reversal if the stock holds above $375.


Energy Sector (XLE, OXY, VG)

• Energy stocks saw a massive reversal; oil prices spiked 8% in the morning but finished only 4% higher. • Occidental Petroleum (OXY) and Venture Global (VG) were highlighted as having hit their "upside targets" quickly. • Trump’s recent policy announcement regarding maritime trade insurance and Navy escorts in the Strait of Hormuz is seen as a move to cap oil price spikes.

Takeaways

Action: Consider taking profits on energy positions that have run up 30–50% recently. • Support Levels: Look for OXY near $50–$52 and VG near $10 for potential re-entry. • Risk Factor: Political pressure to keep oil prices low (especially in an election cycle) may limit further near-term upside.


Bitcoin (BTC)

• Bitcoin recovered from a morning low of $65,000 to trade near $68,000. • Discussion centered on the Genius Act and the Clarity Act as potential legislative catalysts. • Sentiment is cautious; some analysts believe the passage of crypto legislation could be a "sell the news" event.

Takeaways

Bullish Target: If Bitcoin reclaims $69,000–$70,000 with strength, it could quickly move toward $78,000. • Strategy: Avoid shorting Bitcoin here as it hasn't broken down technically; instead, look for a spike to $78,000 as a potential profit-taking zone.


Other Notable Mentions

GitLab (GTLB)

• Reported a significant 30% EPS beat and a 3% revenue beat. • Despite the strong numbers, the stock showed high volatility after-hours, swinging between +5% and -7%. • Takeaway: Software stocks currently face extreme scrutiny; even a "double beat" doesn't guarantee a sustained pump.

Microsoft (MSFT)

• Analysts see a "solid bottom" forming between $390 and $400. • Takeaway: Viewed as a high-quality "buy the dip" opportunity for investors with a 3-year time horizon.

Adobe (ADBE)

• Gained attention after news that Michael Burry (of "The Big Short" fame) opened a position. • Takeaway: Currently seen as a "dumpster diving" trade; look for a bounce toward $290–$300 before earnings.

AST SpaceMobile (ASTS)

• Up 8% on great guidance and potential for new government contracts. • Takeaway: Support is seen near $76; if it holds $89, it could move back toward $110.


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twitter: https://x.com/amitisinvesting jason webinar: https://event.webinarjam.com/wwqn3/register/o7192ho?webinar_id=19 deepdives: https://amitsdeepdives.substack.com/ reach out - jess@akcomms.com insta - https://www.instagram.com/amitkukreja227 LA meetup - https://tinyurl.com/4dbcyhz7 00:00 - Headlines 15:00 - CRWD Earnings 33:31 - SPY TA 41:00 - QQQ, IGV, RSP 48:15 - PLTR 54:25 - HOOD 58:00 - NVDA 1:09:00 - AVGO 1:12:30 - AMD 1:16:00 - ORCL 1:22:00 - BTC 1:26:18 - SOFI 1:30:15 - RKLB 1:34:00 - ASTS 1:36:50 - PATH 1:40:00 - TTD 1:42:00 - MU 1:46:50 - GLW 1:51:00 - HIMS 1:54:00 - CRWV 1:56:32 - NBIS 1:58:30 - IREN 2:01:10 - TSLA 2:05:00 - AMZN 2:07:00 - META 2:15:00 - GOOGL 2:19:40 - ADBE 2:24:00 - VG 2:27:00 - NFLX 2:37:00 - Rapid Fire
About Amit Kukreja
Amit Kukreja

Amit Kukreja

By @amitinvesting

Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!