TOM LEE BUYS 2% OF ALL ETH, CRYPTO DOWN, DAN IVES JOINS THE SHOW | MARKET OPEN
TOM LEE BUYS 2% OF ALL ETH, CRYPTO DOWN, DAN IVES JOINS THE SHOW | MARKET OPEN
229 days agoAmit Kukreja@amitinvesting
YouTube2 hr 47 min
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Tesla (TSLA) is a top idea for investing in AI and robotics, with Piper Sandler raising its price target to $500 as the narrative shifts beyond just electric vehicles. Consider BitMine (BM&R) as institutional investors signal strong conviction by buying shares at a premium, betting the stock will exceed $87.50 by March 2027. **

Detailed Analysis

BitMine (BM&R)

  • The stock was down about 5-8% in the pre-market and during the open, which the host viewed as potentially healthy, especially given the drop in Ethereum's price.
  • Major Update 1 (Holdings): The company now holds 2.4 million Ethereum (ETH), which represents 2% of the total supply. The host notes this is "pretty damn bullish."
  • Major Update 2 (Capital Raise): BitMine announced a securities purchase agreement to sell 5.2 million shares at $70 per share (a 14% premium to the previous closing price of $61).
    • This deal also includes warrants to purchase 10.4 million shares at $87.50 each.
    • The offering is expected to raise $365 million, with the potential for $1.2 billion if all warrants are exercised.
    • Tom Lee (CEO of BitMine) stated the proceeds will be used to buy more Ethereum, potentially at a discount given the current price of $4,200 is lower than their reported holding value.
  • Analysis of the Deal: The investors in this private offering are essentially betting that BM&R will be above $87.50 by March 2027. They paid a premium for the shares but received warrants that were valued higher than the premium paid, giving them a discounted way to get leveraged exposure.
  • Potential Acquisition: There are rumors that BitMine may use the raised capital to acquire ETH Zilla, another Ethereum treasury, following a trend of consolidation in the space.
  • Sentiment: The host is very bullish on the stock's strength, noting it's "quite incredible" that it's holding its value so well while Ethereum is down. The ability to raise capital at a premium is seen as a strong sign of institutional confidence.
  • Risk/Concern: The host mentioned a lack of transparency from the company on key metrics like updated Net Asset Value (NAV), share count, and average purchase price for their ETH holdings.

Takeaways

  • Institutional investors are showing strong confidence in BitMine by agreeing to buy shares at a 14% premium to the market price, signaling a belief that the stock will be worth significantly more in the future (specifically above $87.50 by March 2027).
  • The company is aggressively accumulating Ethereum and now holds 2% of the total supply. The newly raised capital will be used to purchase more ETH, likely at favorable prices given the recent dip.
  • Despite the stock's price being down, its resilience in the face of a falling Ethereum price is a bullish indicator of strong investor demand and conviction.
  • Investors should be aware of a potential for share dilution if the warrants are exercised, but this is a long-term event (by 2027). In the short term, the capital injection is a positive for expanding their ETH holdings.

IREN (IREN)

  • The stock was "exploding" in the pre-market, up over 11% at one point, settling around 5% up after the market open.
  • Catalyst: IREN announced it has doubled its AI cloud infrastructure to 23,000 GPUs, including chips from both NVIDIA (H100s, Blackwells, GB300s) and AMD (MI350s).
  • Financial Target: The company is now targeting more than $500 million in AI cloud annual recurring revenue in Q1 of 2026.
  • Valuation: The host notes that while the stock seems expensive (trading at $10 billion market cap on a $500 million revenue target for 2026), it's not unreasonable if they maintain high growth rates. It's trading at a premium compared to other Bitcoin miners transitioning to data center plays because it's growing faster.

Takeaways

  • IREN is aggressively expanding its AI computing capacity, which directly translates to higher revenue potential from cloud services. The addition of AMD chips broadens their market offering.
  • The company has set a clear revenue target of $500 million by early 2026, providing a tangible metric for investors to track.
  • The stock is being rewarded with a premium valuation for its rapid growth and successful transition from a Bitcoin miner to a data center/AI infrastructure play, outperforming its peers.

Tesla (TSLA)

  • The stock was green in the pre-market and continued to climb after the open, breaking $440, $441, $442, $443, and $444.
  • Catalyst 1 (Politics): Elon Musk and Donald Trump were seen reconnecting, which the market perceived positively.
  • Catalyst 2 (Analyst Upgrade): Piper Sandler raised its price target on TSLA from $400 to $500, citing that while Chinese EV makers are competitive, they look to Tesla for guidance on "real-world AI." They called Tesla their "top idea for investing in autonomous vehicles and robotics."
  • Dan Ives' View:
    • He believes investors are now focused on the future of Robo-taxis and Optimus, not just current deliveries and margins.
    • He sees a $1-2 trillion valuation for Tesla from autonomy alone and considers Tesla one of the two best "physical AI" companies, alongside NVIDIA.
    • He believes Elon Musk is more focused now, comparing his current state to 2013-2014, and that the board's approval of the compensation package was essential to keep him as the key asset.

Takeaways

  • Positive sentiment is building around Tesla, driven by a combination of political developments, bullish analyst ratings, and a shifting investor focus towards its long-term AI and robotics potential.
  • Top analysts like Dan Ives are valuing the company based on its future in autonomy and robotics, suggesting the current stock price does not fully reflect this potential.
  • The stock is showing strong technical momentum, breaking through multiple resistance levels. The upcoming Q3 results could be a significant catalyst due to demand pulled forward by the expiring EV tax credit.

Ethereum (ETH) & Bitcoin (BTC)

  • Both cryptocurrencies took a "nosedive" over the weekend, with about $1 billion worth of long positions being liquidated.
  • Reason for Dip: The host attributes the sell-off to "Sunday algos" and liquidations of leveraged traders, suggesting it's not based on fundamental news and may not be a serious long-term trend.
  • Bitcoin Tailwinds:
    • Institutional Adoption: Coinbase CEO believes G20 nations may establish strategic Bitcoin reserves within five years. The US government has already started its own strategic reserve.
    • ETFs: Institutional money continues to flow into Bitcoin via the recently launched ETFs.
    • Corporate Buying: MicroStrategy and Japan's MetaPlanet continue to add Bitcoin to their treasuries.
  • Ethereum Context: The price dip to around $4,200 is seen as a potential buying opportunity for companies like BitMine that are looking to increase their holdings.

Takeaways

  • The recent price drop in crypto appears to be technical (driven by algorithms and leverage washouts) rather than fundamental. The host advises not to "read much into" the sell-off.
  • The long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains bullish, supported by strong tailwinds like potential adoption by governments as a reserve asset and continued institutional inflows via ETFs.
  • For investors, the dip could present a buying opportunity, especially for crypto-related equities like BM&R that benefit from acquiring assets at a lower cost.

SoFi (SOFI)

  • The stock hit $31 in overnight trading and was a major focus of the show.
  • After a brief dip at the open, the stock successfully broke through the $30 resistance level during the show, a significant milestone.
  • Dan Ives' View: He called CEO Anthony Noto's work "phenomenal" and believes the company is a disruptive force in finance that will increasingly get a higher valuation multiple.
  • Sentiment: The host and chat were very excited about the breakout, viewing it as a long-awaited validation for the company and its investors. The host questioned if this could be the start of a larger "Robinhood/Palantir type of move."

Takeaways

  • SoFi has achieved a major psychological and technical milestone by breaking $30. This could attract further momentum and investor interest.
  • The breakout is supported by a narrative of strong execution by CEO Anthony Noto and the company's position as a fintech disruptor.
  • For investors who have held the stock, this is a moment of validation. For those considering an investment, the breakout suggests a potential shift into a new, higher trading range.

Oracle (ORCL)

  • The company appointed two new co-CEOs, both of whom are insiders with deep experience in Oracle's cloud business. The host sees this as a logical move given cloud is their main growth driver.
  • Bullish Catalysts:
    • A rumored $20 billion deal with Meta.
    • A rumored $300 billion contract with OpenAI.
    • Ownership of a part of TikTok, with the deal appearing to be moving forward.
  • Market Position: Oracle is positioning itself as the "fourth hyperscaler" behind Amazon, Microsoft, and Google, capturing demand that the top three cannot service.
  • Performance: The stock was up over 3% and surpassed a $900 billion market cap during the show. The host noted it's on a path to $1 trillion.

Takeaways

  • Oracle is experiencing a major resurgence driven by its cloud business and significant contract wins with major tech players like Meta and TikTok.
  • The leadership change to two cloud-focused co-CEOs reinforces their strategic direction and is seen as a positive by the market.
  • The stock is on a clear path toward a $1 trillion valuation, making it a key player to watch in the cloud and AI infrastructure space.

Palantir (PLTR)

  • Dan Ives' View:
    • He remains extremely bullish, viewing the stock's journey from $15 to $180 as a validation of the thesis.
    • He argues the company should be valued on its future free cash flow potential (predicting $8-12 billion in 3-4 years), not just current revenue multiples.
    • He believes Palantir has a nearly insurmountable competitive advantage, stating "there's no company that could compete" once a potential client sees a demo.
    • He sees a path for Palantir to become a trillion-dollar company in the next 2-3 years.

Takeaways

  • Top tech analysts like Dan Ives are looking past traditional valuation metrics for Palantir, focusing instead on its massive future free cash flow and dominant market position in enterprise AI.
  • The core investment thesis is that as more of the Fortune 500 and Global 2000 adopt AI, Palantir's "best-in-class" product will capture a significant share of a trillion-dollar market.
  • Despite the massive run-up in price, the bullish argument is that the company is still in the early stages of its long-term growth story.

Other Investment Mentions

  • Robinhood (HOOD) & AppLovin (APP): Both stocks were added to the S&P 500 on the day of the podcast. This is a significant catalyst that forces index funds to buy the shares, which can drive the price up. Both hit all-time highs in the overnight session.
  • Google (GOOGL): Received a price target upgrade from Truist to $285. The analyst believes AI chatbots are expanding the total market for search rather than cannibalizing Google's core business. The Gemini app continues to outperform ChatGPT on the app store charts, a key bullish indicator.
  • Apple (AAPL): Stock hit $250. Multiple Wall Street firms upgraded their price targets (to the $275-$280 range) based on strong pre-order signals for the iPhone 17, especially in China. Dan Ives views Apple as a key "toll collector" for the consumer AI revolution.
  • Grab (GRAB): The stock has seen its highest weekly trading volume in its history, which the host suspects is due to large institutional buying, not just retail interest. Dan Ives commented that the company's opportunity in Southeast Asia is "very underestimated."
  • Oklo (OKLO): Wedbush increased its price target from $80 to $150. Dan Ives, the lead analyst on the stock, justifies the high valuation by stating they will be the "main nuclear play" needed to power the massive energy demands of AI data centers. He sees a potential $40-50 billion market for them.
  • Better (BETR): A highly speculative stock mentioned as the new pick from Eric Jackson (known for his successful call on Opendoor). He is calling for a 350x return in two years, implying a $200 billion market cap. The stock is extremely illiquid and halted multiple times after doubling in price. This is a high-risk, high-reward idea.
  • WorldCoin (WLD): Discussed in the context of Dan Ives becoming chairman of 8co (Orbs), a WorldCoin treasury. The investment thesis is that WorldCoin's iris-scanning technology will become the "single sign-on for AI" and the standard for "human proof" authentication in a world of bots and AI. Ives sees it as more of an AI infrastructure play than a pure crypto play.
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Video Description
twitter: https://x.com/amitisinvesting 00:00 - Intro 05:20 - BMNR 19:14 - Macro 44:00 - Market Open 1:35:40 - Oracle TikTok 2:03:34 - Dan Ives Joins
About Amit Kukreja
Amit Kukreja

Amit Kukreja

By @amitinvesting

Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!