TESLA RALLIES AHEAD OF THE CYBERCAB EVENT, YIELDS CONTINUE UP, TECHNICAL MONDAY | MARKET CLOSE
TESLA RALLIES AHEAD OF THE CYBERCAB EVENT, YIELDS CONTINUE UP, TECHNICAL MONDAY | MARKET CLOSE
13 hours agoAmit Kukreja@amitinvesting
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Ahead of the upcoming CyberCab event, treat Tesla (TSLA) as a short-term momentum rally and consider taking profits or hedging long positions as the stock approaches major resistance between $415 and $420. Qualcomm (QCOM) offers an attractive breakout opportunity fueled by September AI PC launches, with upside targets of $185 to $200 and a defined stop-loss just below $160. Investors can capitalize on Amazon (AMZN) by buying dips into the $250–$253 support zone following recent headline weakness, targeting a rebound toward $275 with a stop-loss just below $250. Heading into earnings, Broadcom (AVGO) options are underpricing historical volatility, creating opportunities to trade an outsized post-earnings move between key levels at $360 support and $430 resistance. For longer-term exposure, accumulate Alphabet (GOOGL) between $332 and $340 for an eventual move toward $400, while waiting for pullbacks to the $70,000–$75,000 range before adding new capital to Bitcoin (BTC).

Detailed Analysis

Tesla (TSLA)

  • Tesla surged over 5% heading into its upcoming CyberCab / Robotaxi event in Austin at Gigafactory Texas.
    • The event is viewed as a major catalyst where Tesla may introduce the CyberCab at scale, outline fleet expansion across states, demonstrate autonomous night driving, and potentially open pre-orders near a $30,000 price point.
    • Leveraged trading instrument TSLL (2X Long Tesla) saw heavy volume, trading up 10% on the session.
    • Technical analysis highlights that the stock successfully bounced off the key $300 to $313 support zone (golden retracement) and is trending toward major overhead resistance at $415 to $420.
    • A break and sustained hold above $415 would flip the long-term monthly chart definitively bullish, while failure at that level could trigger a typical "sell the news" retracement back toward $360–$370.

Takeaways

  • Treat the run-up toward $415 as a tradable momentum rally into resistance.
  • Consider taking profits or hedging long exposure around the $415–$420 level ahead of the CyberCab event, and wait for a confirmed breakout above $420 before initiating new long-term positions.

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)

  • SPY closed out August up roughly 2.6% for the month despite higher bond yields (10-year Treasury around 4.75%) and elevated crude oil prices near $86.
    • Key overhead resistance sits in the $769.62 to $773.91 zone.
    • Primary downside support lies at $762, with deeper structural support in the mid-$750s.
    • Market direction for September is heavily dependent on upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data and post-Labor Day seasonality.

Takeaways

  • Watch for a daily open and hold above $769.62 to trigger a fast continuation move to $773.91.
  • If the index breaks below $762, prepare for a retracement toward support in the $750 zone.

Broadcom (AVGO)

  • Broadcom is heading into earnings with the options market pricing in an implied move of roughly 7.6%.
    • Historical volatility shows that three of the last four quarters saw post-earnings moves between 9.4% and 12.6%, suggesting the current options pricing may be underestimating the potential price swing.
    • The stock is trading in the middle of its channel, with critical support at $360 (and deeper support near $315) versus overhead resistance near $430.

Takeaways

  • Volatility is statistically underpriced; options strategies such as straddles or dual-direction options plays (calls and puts) may capitalize on an outsized post-earnings move.
  • Key technical levels to trade against are $360 on the downside and $430 on the upside.

NVIDIA (NVDA)

  • NVIDIA continues to see strong retail inflows, with over $2.5 billion purchased over the past 15 trading sessions following its strong earnings report.
    • The stock is currently consolidating around the $220 mark, directly in a technical resistance band between $220 and $227.65.
    • Near-term support to monitor is $213.88; holding above this level keeps the trajectory open toward $240 and eventually $260.

Takeaways

  • Avoid chasing new long entries directly at the $220–$225 resistance ceiling.
  • Existing holders can hold positions above $213.88 or look at selling out-of-the-money covered calls in the $235–$240 range if anticipating near-term sideways consolidation.

Qualcomm (QCOM)

  • Qualcomm broke out above its post-earnings resistance level around $165, driven by positive sentiment surrounding AI PC launches scheduled for September.
    • The chart displays a constructive 45-day base with a successful liquidity sweep at the lows.
    • Overhead technical targets and resistance sit at $185, with room for an extended move toward $200–$220.

Takeaways

  • The stock offers an attractive risk/reward profile with a defendable stop-loss level just below $160–$165.
  • Near-term price targets to watch for profit-taking are $185 and $200.

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)

  • AMD is exhibiting a heavy, sluggish chart structure, hovering just above key support around the $400–$422 area.
    • Technical analysis suggests a true valuation discount does not appear until the stock tests the $330–$340 zone near its 200-day moving average.
    • Overhead resistance remains capped at $525.

Takeaways

  • Avoid aggressive call buying; the stock lacks upward momentum in the near term.
  • Investors holding shares may consider selling longer-dated covered calls (e.g., $600 strikes for early next year) to protect against a potential pullback toward $340–$387.

Amazon (AMZN)

  • Amazon dropped roughly 2.5% to 3% following news of an FTC and multi-state lawsuit alleging historical manipulation in its advertising auction system.
    • The fundamental impact is seen as manageable given Amazon’s multi-trillion-dollar scale and $68 billion annual ad revenue base.
    • Technically, the stock is testing critical baseline support at $250–$253.41, with resistance on bounces expected around $275.

Takeaways

  • Use dips toward $250–$253 as potential entry points for a tradable bounce back toward $275, keeping a stop just below $250.

Meta Platforms (META)

  • Meta faced selling pressure after attempting to cross the $600 psychological barrier, with overhead resistance established between $586 and $596.
    • Long-term structural trends remain bullish with multi-year potential toward $1,200, but near-term momentum is stalling at resistance.

Takeaways

  • Dollar-cost average (DCA) and accumulate shares only on pullbacks well below $600.
  • Avoid buying breakouts above $600 until there is confirmed price consolidation and volume expansion.

Nebius Group (NBIS) & NeoCloud Sector (IREN, CoreWeave)

  • Nebius (NBIS) pulled back from $280 to around $206, approaching a high-reward technical support zone between $190 and $200.
    • The broader NeoCloud sector has faced headline pressure regarding data center infrastructure expansion, but technical pullbacks are approaching major support levels.
    • IREN has lowered its resistance ceiling to $50, with strong historical support located at $32.22.
    • CoreWeave remains in a broad consolidation pattern with major structural support near $70 and overhead resistance at $120–$140.

Takeaways

  • NBIS presents a favorable risk/reward setup on dips into the $190–$200 support pocket, targeting a longer-term recovery.
  • For IREN, look for support confirmation around $32–$34 before entering.
  • Treat CoreWeave as a long-term hold with key accumulation near $70.

Micron Technology (MU) & Sandus (SanDisk)

  • Micron and Sandus both experienced late-day volume spikes, primarily driven by end-of-month institutional rebalancing and Sandus joining the MSCI World Index.
    • MU is locked in a tight consolidation range between $730–$740 support and $1,050–$1,070 resistance ahead of its late-September earnings.
    • Sandus faces major support around $1,000–$1,128, with deeper historical support down near $700–$750 if a broad memory correction unfolds.

Takeaways

  • Maintain a neutral stance on MU until it breaks either above $1,070 (bullish target $1,200+) or below $730 (bearish risk toward $600).
  • Recognize that late-session price pumps were driven by index mechanics rather than fundamental memory news.

Enterprise Software (NOW, ZETA, PLTR)

  • ServiceNow (NOW) broke above major resistance at $139–$140, establishing a pathway toward $160 and potentially $180.
  • Zeta Global (ZETA) confirmed higher support at $27.69–$28.00 and is targeting overhead resistance at $32.00–$32.30.
  • Palantir (PLTR) finished a massive 40% monthly gain, maintaining strength above $180; immediate resistance sits at $185–$190, with support at $179.

Takeaways

  • The enterprise software cohort shows strong momentum; look for shallow retests to enter.
    • Buy NOW on pullbacks toward $140, targeting $160.
    • Hold ZETA with a stop below $27.50, targeting $32.
    • Avoid chasing PLTR at $186+; look for pullbacks toward $179–$180 to add exposure.

Apple (AAPL)

  • Apple is entering a leadership transition as Tim Cook's tenure as CEO concludes, ahead of expected product unveilings around early September.
    • The stock is retracing into key resistance between $320 and $322 (50% retracement of its post-earnings candle).
    • Key support is defined at $309–$313, with major baseline support at $300.

Takeaways

  • Consider selling premium (e.g., $310 cash-secured puts and $330 covered calls) to take advantage of range-bound price action into the September product event.
  • A sustained close above $325–$335 signals a bullish continuation.

Palo Alto Networks (PANW)

  • PANW earnings expectations carry an implied move of 8.6%, which appears statistically elevated compared to its historical post-earnings volatility (rarely exceeding 7% over the last two years).
    • The broader cybersecurity theme remains strong, but valuation multiples are stretched.
    • The stock's uptrend remains intact above its 50-day moving average, with support near $350.

Takeaways

  • Avoid buying outright earnings options premium on PANW due to expensive implied volatility.
  • Look to buy shares on post-earnings dips toward the $350 support zone.

Space Sector: Rocket Lab (RKLB) & AST SpaceMobile (ASTS)

  • Rocket Lab (RKLB) is trading near $63.92 and remains in a prolonged accumulation/consolidation range with support in the mid-$50s to $60 zone.
  • AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) pulled back to long-term structural support in the $44–$48 range, with overhead resistance at $68.

Takeaways

  • For RKLB, consider selling cash-secured puts in the mid-$50s to acquire shares at a discount rather than buying speculative short-term calls.
  • ASTS is positioned at high-timeframe support ($44–$48), making it a viable accumulation zone for risk-tolerant investors with a stop-loss below $44.

Alphabet (GOOGL)

  • Google is consolidating in a long-term accumulation zone around $332–$340, with a breakout trigger above $350.
    • A confirmed move above $350 opens a technical path to retest $375–$400, with 12-month analyst targets ranging from $420 to $475.

Takeaways

  • Accumulate shares in the $332–$340 region, targeting a multi-month expansion toward $400+.

Fintech: Robinhood (HOOD) & SoFi Technologies (SOFI)

  • Robinhood (HOOD) is forming a bullish basing pattern above $95–$100, setting up for a potential breakout above $120–$125 heading into the fourth quarter.
  • SoFi (SOFI) faced pressure from interest rate concerns, but maintains strong support at $16.00 with an upside target of $23.00–$24.00.

Takeaways

  • Range-bound options strategies (selling both out-of-the-money calls and puts) are viable on HOOD between $95 and $125.
  • SOFI remains attractive for accumulation near $16, targeting a recovery toward $23.

Reddit (RDDT)

  • Reddit is testing baseline technical support at $147.50, with deeper support extending down to the $130–$120 volume profile shelf.

Takeaways

  • Treat the $147 level as an initial risk-defined entry point; maintain wider stops down toward $120 if taking a longer-term growth position.

Take-Two Interactive (TTWO)

  • Take-Two has retraced directly into a major technical support pocket just below $220 following past release delay concerns.
    • Overhead resistance sits at $240.

Takeaways

  • The stock offers a favorable risk/reward entry near $215–$220 for a technical bounce targeting $240.

Cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin (BTC) & Ethereum (ETH)

  • Bitcoin (BTC) recovered to the $79,000 zone after testing $77,400, but is currently trading directly into major overhead technical resistance.
    • Optimal pullback support to watch for new entries sits in the $70,000–$75,000 range.
  • Ethereum (ETH) faces heavy pivot resistance around $2,500, with structural support located in the $1,950–$2,000 region.

Takeaways

  • Do not chase crypto entries at current resistance levels.
  • Wait for a confirmed technical breakout above resistance or accumulate on pullbacks toward $70,000–$75,000 for BTC and $2,000 for ETH.
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twitter: https://x.com/amitisinvesting deepdives: https://amitsdeepdives.substack.com/ free news terminal - https://caktusjxck.com/ jason - https://x.com/PaperGainsInc jason webinar - https://event.webinarjam.com/wwqn3/register/mmrp7h7q?webinar_id=27 00:00 - Headlines 15:00 - Market Close 34:30 - TSLA TA 43:26 - SPY TA 49:39 - AVGO TA 55:00 - NBIS TA 1:00:50 - IREN CRWV TA 1:08:20 - NVDA TA 1:14:00 - AMD TA 1:19:00 - RKLB ASTS TA 1:21:55 - MRVL TA 1:25:45 - QCOM TA 1:29:31 - AMZN TA 1:32:28 - META TA 1:36:40 - MU TA 1:51:21 - NOW TA 1:52:30 - ZETA TA 1:54:29 - GOOGL TA 1:57:50 - AMKR TA 1:59:25 - SOFI TA 2:01:19 - HOOD TA 2:05:28 - PLTR TA 2:08:40 - Rapid Fire
About Amit Kukreja
Amit Kukreja

Amit Kukreja

By @amitinvesting

Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!