TESLA & GOOGLE GO DOWN, OIL ABOVE 92, INTEL EARNINGS | MARKET CLOSE
TESLA & GOOGLE GO DOWN, OIL ABOVE 92, INTEL EARNINGS | MARKET CLOSE
13 hours agoAmit Kukreja@amitinvesting
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Capitalize on the tech sector sell-off by buying Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) near the $315–$318 range, treating heavy AI spending as a multi-year buying opportunity. For Intel Corporation (INTC), ride the momentum of its blockbuster 25% revenue growth and raised 2026 CapEx to $20 billion, which validates surging data center demand. Use Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) as a strong sector proxy to capture the expanding $1.4 trillion AI accelerator market projected through 2030. Accumulate shares of ServiceNow, Inc. (NOW) in the $95–$100 range, where compressed forward multiples around 16x EBITDA create an attractive entry point following their strategic cybersecurity push. Finally, hedge high macroeconomic risks like sticky inflation and a 4.7% 10-year Treasury yield by avoiding high-beta, prolonged-volatility plays like Tesla Inc. (TSLA) near its $300 support.

Detailed Analysis

Alphabet Inc. (GOOG / GOOGL)

• Down significantly (around 7%) following earnings reports, with shares hovering near the $315–$318 range and effectively flat for the year. • The primary market concern centers on high CapEx (Capital Expenditure) spending, which threatens to push Google into negative free cash flow. • Despite the high spending, the cloud division showed strong growth (around 82%), demonstrating robust demand for their enterprise offerings. • Analysts note that heavy spending on AI infrastructure risks depressing near-term margins and net income once depreciation expenses catch up.

Takeaways

• Long-term investors view the heavy CapEx as a necessary investment to capture long-term AI and cloud dominance, making current dips potential buying opportunities for those with a multi-year horizon. • Short-term traders should watch for continued macro headwinds (such as oil prices and bond yields) which are currently exacerbating tech sector sell-offs.


Tesla Inc. (TSLA)

• Suffered a severe sell-off, dropping 15% in a single session to $316—putting it dangerously close to the key psychological $300 support level and down 27% year-to-date. • The decline was triggered by earnings reports that highlighted a lack of near-term earnings growth combined with escalating CapEx for physical AI, autonomous driving, and humanoid robotics (Optimus). • CEO Elon Musk emphasized a long-term (5 to 10+ year) horizon, warning that short-term earnings will remain depressed due to heavy foundational investments. • Market patience is wearing thin as investors demand clearer timelines for monetization on projects like robotaxis and physical AI.

Takeaways

• Patience is required for Tesla investors; the stock remains a high-beta play tied heavily to sentiment around long-term autonomous tech rather than near-term fundamentals. • Investors considering buying the dip should weigh whether they can stomach prolonged volatility while waiting for physical AI initiatives to mature.


Intel Corporation (INTC)

• Delivered a blockbuster earnings report featuring its fastest revenue growth in 15 years, jumping 25% year-over-year to $16.13 billion (beating estimates by ~$1.5 billion). • Adjusted EPS came in at $0.42, doubling the expected $0.21 consensus. • Gross margins beat expectations significantly at just shy of 42% (or reported up to 49% in specific segments), and guidance for the upcoming quarter projected revenue between $15.8B and $16.8B (well above the $15.1B estimate). • The company plans to raise its 2026 CapEx from $18 billion to $20 billion, signaling robust demand for CPUs, ASICs, and foundry services. • Shares surged roughly 7% to 12% in after-hours trading following the print.

Takeaways

• The strong performance indicates that the CPU revolution in AI data centers is very real and happening concurrently with GPU demand. • Strong backlogs and manufacturing yield improvements suggest Intel is well-positioned, though investors must monitor forward multiples relative to capital spending increases.


Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD)

• Experienced a modest pullback during regular trading but received a significant "proxy benefit" after-hours following Intel's stellar earnings beat. • CEO Lisa Su noted at a recent event that the total addressable market (TAM) for AI accelerators is projected to reach $1.4 trillion by 2030, up significantly from previous conservative estimates. • Shares pushed higher in after-hours trading alongside Intel as the market gained confidence in overall semiconductor and CPU demand.

Takeaways

• AMD acts as a strong sector proxy; positive results from competitors like Intel validate the broader demand for AI computing hardware.


ServiceNow, Inc. (NOW)

• Suffered a pullback alongside broader software sector weakness, trading down to the $95–$100 range after reporting solid underlying growth. • Management's conference call emphasized a strategic pivot toward cybersecurity (highlighted by the acquisition of Armis for roughly $8 billion) and workflow orchestration. • Forward multiples have compressed significantly (from near 30–40x EBITDA down to around 16x), despite accelerating revenue growth.

Takeaways

• The sell-off in ServiceNow appears driven by macro sentiment and IT budget shifts toward security rather than fundamental business weakness. • The strategic push into cybersecurity reduces the risk of the company being disrupted by generative AI "vibe coding" tools, presenting a potential value opportunity for long-term investors.


Amcor plc (AMCR)

• Surged roughly 14% to 20% after-hours following a strategic partnership announcement with NVIDIA to expand advanced packaging and testing for next-generation AI infrastructure, backed by a significant prepayment/loan structure. • Operates as a key "bottleneck" supplier providing crucial hardware packaging solutions required for high-end AI chips.

Takeaways

• Companies positioned as critical supply chain bottlenecks for AI infrastructure continue to see explosive upside when major partnership deals are announced.


Macroeconomic Themes & Market Risks

Oil Prices: Hovering near the $92–$93 range due to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, acting as a major headstock that threatens to keep inflation sticky. • Interest Rates & Treasury Yields: The 10-year Treasury yield sitting at 4.7% and 30-year mortgage rates reaching approximately 6.87% create a restrictive environment for equities and home demand (impacting housing-related stocks like Opendoor). • Federal Reserve Risk: Persistent inflation driven by high oil prices and tariffs increases the probability that the Fed may be forced to maintain or raise interest rates, potentially creating a headstock for equity valuations.

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About Amit Kukreja
Amit Kukreja

Amit Kukreja

By @amitinvesting

Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!