STOCKS HAVE AN UGLY DAY,  TECHNICAL TUESDAY | MARKET CLOSE
STOCKS HAVE AN UGLY DAY, TECHNICAL TUESDAY | MARKET CLOSE
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Tesla (TSLA) presents a high-conviction swing trade around $335, risking a stop-loss below $325 for an upside target between $360 and $415.

In semiconductors, Broadcom (AVGO) offers an attractive tactical buy near its $380 support level, aiming for a rebound to $450+ ahead of early September earnings.

Uber Technologies (UBER) is steadily consolidating outside the artificial intelligence hype, creating an opportunistic long setup off its $72 base toward a year-end target of $85 to $90.

For broader market exposure, wait to buy dips on the S&P 500 (SPY) in the $740 to $750 support zone rather than chasing current highs against heavy resistance.

Exercise caution with Meta Platforms (META) as multi-week trial risks could drag shares toward $350 to $440, while Bitcoin (BTC) remains attractive for accumulation as it builds firm support in the $63,000 to $64,000 range.

Detailed Analysis

S&P 500 (SPY)

  • Equities experienced broad-based selling pressure driven by macroeconomic factors rather than artificial intelligence fundamentals.
    • The US 10-Year Treasury Yield pushed past 4.7% and the 30-Year Yield reached 5.3%, creating debt-financing competition for major corporate hyperscalers.
    • The VIX rebounded 3% from two-year lows, oil prices climbed to $84.50, and geopolitical friction around Iran added market uncertainty.
  • Technical analysis shows the index testing its breakout consolidation range.
    • Resistance is firmly set at 770 to 774.
    • The primary support zone to watch for a pullback sits between 740 and 750 (specifically the 738–745 level), which would represent a normal, healthy retest of the broader bull trend.

Takeaways

  • Treat pullbacks into the 740–750 range on the SPY as potential dip-buying opportunities while the wider upward trend remains intact.
  • Avoid chasing long positions until the index firmly reclaims 770–774, or consider cheap short-term hedges ahead of upcoming FOMC minutes.

Meta Platforms (META)

  • The stock fell over 4% to $543 as a major federal trial involving 29 states began in California over allegations of addictive platform designs and youth safety.
    • State attorneys are seeking damages ranging from $200 billion up to $1.4 trillion, as well as algorithmic and feature changes (e.g., infinite scroll, autoplay).
    • The trial is expected to create headline risk and downward pressure over the next seven weeks.
  • Technical charts display an "umbrella" pattern (bearish), currently testing immediate support near $530–$532.
    • A failure to hold $530 could open a path down to $440 (a standard 50% retracement) or even deeper into the $350–$400 zone.
    • Resistance remains heavy overhead near $595 and $690.

Takeaways

  • Avoid aggressively buying the dip immediately; the stock behaves like a falling knife in the early stages of a multi-week legal overhang.
  • Long-term investors should prepare dry powder to dollar-cost average if the stock flushes into deep value territory around $350–$440.

Broadcom (AVGO)

  • The stock pulled back from $420 to $377, offering an attractive risk/reward entry for a mega-cap semiconductor leader.
    • Selling pressure was partially exacerbated by news of a VMware security hack, which analysts view as an overreaction given VMware's specific virtualization niche.
  • Technicals show the stock retesting key support around $380, aligning closely with its 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA).
    • If $380 holds, technical targets point toward a bounce back to $450+ ahead of early September earnings.
    • If $380 fails, downside risk extends to $308.

Takeaways

  • Consider tactical long entries around $380 with a stop-loss just below support, aiming for a recovery to $450+ into earnings.

NVIDIA (NVDA)

  • Shares fell 2.3% in tandem with the broader semiconductor pullback.
    • Attention turned to AI startup Etched, which raised $700 million at a $21 billion valuation to build inference chips, hiring heavily from ex-NVIDIA talent.
    • The news reinforces strong capital expenditure in the semiconductor ecosystem, though it introduces future inference competition.
  • Technicals indicate a short-term consolidation phase ahead of earnings.
    • Potential short-term downside retest to $213 before attempting a push back to $220.
    • Crucial support must hold above the 50-day SMA and the $208–$210 zone.

Takeaways

  • Look for consolidation and stabilization around $213 before opening tactical pre-earnings swing trades targeting $220.

Micron Technology (MU)

  • The stock dropped 7%, retesting lower levels following a strong multi-week rally off July lows.
  • Technical resistance sits at $979–$1,050, while immediate retracement levels align near $850–$871.
    • A deeper pullback toward $800–$850 provides an attractive 3.8:1 to 4:1 risk-to-reward setup, using the $700 July low as a hard invalidation point.

Takeaways

  • Wait for price action to settle in the $800–$850 range rather than buying the initial flush, targeting a retest of $979+.

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)

  • Shares are hovering on a frequently tested support level, raising concerns of a potential breakdown.
    • Repeated tests of support make the level weaker over time, creating a heavy chart pattern.
  • If the current support fails, the next major historical buying zone sits near $360, with the 200-day SMA around $325.

Takeaways

  • Hold off on new long positions until AMD demonstrates a clear breakout above overhead resistance or flushes toward the $360 buy zone.

Tesla (TSLA)

  • The stock demonstrated relative strength, holding key breakout support around $335.
  • Chart structure indicates a favorable 7:1 risk-to-reward swing trade setup.
    • Invalidation sits tightly below $325.
    • Upside targets point to a rapid move through the gap toward $360, with longer-term swing targets at $400–$415.

Takeaways

  • Favorable tactical long candidate around $335, risking a stop below $325 for an upside swing toward $360–$415.

Alphabet / Google (GOOGL)

  • Held relatively flat at $344, showing constructive consolidation following antitrust trial overhangs.
  • Price is holding around the $340 midpoint retracement, above its key moving average cluster (20-day, 50-day, and 200-day SMAs).
    • Major structural support remains at $320–$325.
    • The chart pattern indicates the stock is nearing the end of its long-term accumulation base.

Takeaways

  • Favorable asset for long-term accumulation near $340, with invalidation on sustained breaks below $320.

Robinhood (HOOD)

  • Dropped 5% to $91.53, lagging the wider market rally and facing compression across its key daily moving averages.
    • Concerns linger over potential regulatory shifts regarding prediction markets, which have driven recent volume growth.
  • Technical inflection point is centered at $90.
    • Holding $90 keeps the multi-month base intact for a potential breakout above $100.
    • A decisive breakdown below $90 risks a fast flush into the $70–$80 support range.

Takeaways

  • High-volatility watch: monitor the $90 level closely. Be prepared to cut short-term trades if $90 is lost, or accumulate if the stock tests deeper support near $75–$80.

Uber Technologies (UBER)

  • Demonstrating steady accumulation outside of the immediate AI hype cycle, holding firm support around $72.
  • Daily moving averages are compressing, signaling an impending volatility squeeze.
    • Threat from autonomous vehicle competitors (e.g., Tesla RoboTaxi, Waymo) remains distant from an operational/distribution standpoint.
    • Upside target stands at $85–$90 heading into year-end.

Takeaways

  • Constructive long holding or swing trade candidate off the $72 base, targeting $85–$90.

Gold (GLD) & Gold Miners (GDX)

  • Gold reached a technical double top at historical resistance after a multi-session momentum run.
    • High sustained oil prices represent a major operating cost headwind for gold miners (GDX).
  • Technical retracement targets for GLD point back toward the 50-day SMA near $380, with a deeper macro support target at $311.
  • GDX faces downside risk toward the $55–$60 zone.

Takeaways

  • Exercise caution with long positions in precious metals at current resistance levels.
  • Consider tactical short positions on GDX or GLD, targeting a retracement to $380 on GLD.

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • Rebounded from $63,000 to trade around $64,600–$65,000, buoyed by regulatory news.
    • The SEC proposed a new framework offering clarity and conditional safe harbor rules for certain crypto investment contracts under the Securities Act of 1933.
  • The asset is showing resilience by moving sideways despite elevated bond yields, strong macro headwinds, and geopolitical stress.

Takeaways

  • The stabilization around the $63,000–$64,000 range suggests a potential base is forming, supported by improving regulatory frameworks.
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twitter: https://x.com/amitisinvesting deepdives: https://amitsdeepdives.substack.com/ free news terminal - https://caktusjxck.com/ jason - https://x.com/PaperGainsInc jason webinar - https://event.webinarjam.com/wwqn3/register/mmrp7h7q?webinar_id=27 00:00 - Headlines 15:00 - Market Close 31:42 - SPY TA 40:34 - QQQ TA 43:15 - META TA 53:57 - NBIS TA 1:01:43 - AVGO TA 1:08:39 - NVDA TA 1:11:03 - CRWV TA 1:15:22 - INTC TA 1:18:23 - BE TA 1:21:50 - AMD TA 1:26:15 - RKLB TA 1:28:42 - GOOGL TA 1:31:38 - IREN TA 1:36:20 - MRVL TA 1:40:00 - HOOD TA 1:46:00 - SPCX TA 1:48:52 - SMCI TA 1:51:50 - SOFI TA 2:01:12 - ASTS TA 2:17:02 - PLTR TA 2:25:00 - Rapid Fire
About Amit Kukreja
Amit Kukreja

Amit Kukreja

By @amitinvesting

Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!