STOCKS GET HIT ON IRAN CONFLICT, DELL, MDB, PALO ALTO NETWORKs, CRDO, GITHUB EARNINGS | MARKET CLOSE
STOCKS GET HIT ON IRAN CONFLICT, DELL, MDB, PALO ALTO NETWORKs, CRDO, GITHUB EARNINGS | MARKET CLOSE
13 hours agoAmit Kukreja@amitinvesting
YouTube2 hr 22 min
Watch on YouTube
Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Dell Technologies (DELL) presents an immediate core holding in AI infrastructure after raising full-year revenue guidance to $192 billion, backed by a record $95 billion AI server backlog.

Investors should accumulate Micron Technology (MU) on macro-driven pullbacks to capitalize on a severe high-bandwidth memory (HBM) shortage and an upcoming catalyst on December 9, when the company resumes aggressive share buybacks.

Recent market weakness below $180 creates an attractive entry point for Palantir Technologies (PLTR) as it expands its defense AI footprint with a new $150 million U.S. Army TITAN contract.

Post-earnings dips in Credo Technology Group (CRDO) offer a favorable entry point into next-generation data center optics ahead of an expected revenue ramp exceeding $600 million in the second half of the fiscal year.

Robinhood Markets (HOOD) is an actionable growth play in digital finance as high-margin fee revenue from the Robinhood chain and banking deposits accelerate, though investors should manage risk around Bitcoin (BTC) volatility.

Detailed Analysis

Dell Technologies (DELL)

  • Dell delivered a massive earnings beat and guidance raise for the quarter:
    • Adjusted EPS came in at $7.04 (up 203% year-over-year) versus expectations of $4.92.
    • Total revenue reached $47 billion (up 58% year-over-year), topping the consensus estimate of $44.92 billion.
    • Raised full-year revenue guidance by $25 billion to $192 billion (up roughly 70% year-over-year) and adjusted EPS guidance to $25.50.
  • AI-driven infrastructure demand continues to accelerate rapidly:
    • Booked a record $60.9 billion in AI server orders in Q2, with AI server revenue reaching $16.4 billion.
    • AI order backlog exited the quarter at $95 billion, with a customer count exceeding 6,500.
    • Traditional server and networking revenue grew 122% year-over-year to $10.5 billion, driven by data center modernization, server consolidation, and agentic AI workloads.
    • Storage revenue grew 26% year-over-year to $4.9 billion, led by proprietary Dell IP products.
  • Shareholder returns totaled an all-time record of $4.3 billion in the quarter through $3.8 billion in share buybacks and $0.63 per share in quarterly dividends.

Takeaways

  • Dell is demonstrating elite operational execution and expanding profit margins by positioning itself as the primary end-to-end hardware and server rack partner for AI deployments, hyperscalers, and enterprise data centers.
  • The massive backlog and raised guidance indicate that data center buildouts and server refresh cycles remain robust despite broader macroeconomic turbulence.

Micron Technology (MU)

  • The long-term investment thesis for memory remains highly bullish due to a severe supply-demand imbalance:
    • Global memory capacity/output is expanding at roughly 20% annually, while demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) and enterprise DRAM is increasing by 200%+ annually.
    • Spot prices for DRAM rose 8% month-over-month, and NAND prices are climbing sharply.
    • Long-term Wall Street consensus revenue forecasts for 2031 have more than tripled from $47 billion to $154 billion.
  • Capital allocation and partnerships provide strong structural support:
    • Micron is restricted from share repurchases until December 9, after which management plans to direct 100% of excess cash to buybacks (projected by analysts to potentially retire up to 40% of shares by 2028).
    • Secured long-term supply allocation agreements with major enterprise clients, including Tesla, Ford, GM, and Anthropic.

Takeaways

  • Memory is currently the primary hardware bottleneck for AI and physical automation (e.g., autonomous vehicles and robotics).
  • Investors can view macro-driven sell-offs in MU as potential accumulation opportunities given its cash flow generation, strong pricing power, and upcoming share repurchase catalyst.

Palantir Technologies (PLTR)

  • The U.S. Army awarded an order for eight additional TITAN (Tactical Intelligence Targeting Access Node) systems:
    • Estimated contract value for this expansion is approximately $150 million, bringing the total contract run-rate toward $300 million to $400 million out of the Army's broader $1.4 billion program.
    • The TITAN platform serves as an AI-powered tactical command vehicle integrating deep sensing across terrestrial, high-altitude, and space vectors.
  • Solidifies Palantir's status as a prime U.S. defense contractor with sticky government integration, high operating margins, and strong competitive moats.
  • The stock faced short-term pressure alongside broader tech, closing just below $180.

Takeaways

  • Palantir continues to reinforce its irreplaceable role in sovereign defense and enterprise software, where proprietary data governance and battlefield AI cannot be easily replicated by generic AI models.

Robinhood Markets (HOOD)

  • The rollout of the proprietary Robinhood chain is experiencing rapid fee growth:
    • Daily fee generation surged from $280,000 to over $2.13 million on peak volume days, temporarily capturing more daily fee revenue than the base Ethereum network.
  • Business diversification beyond crypto trading continues to accelerate:
    • Robinhood Banking has crossed $4 billion in deposits, alongside rapid adoption of credit card products and event contracts/prediction markets.
  • Near-term stock performance remains sensitive to broad cryptocurrency market volatility and Bitcoin (BTC) price swings (which fell near $77,253).

Takeaways

  • HOOD is evolving from a retail trading brokerage into a full-scale digital financial ecosystem capable of monetizing tokenized assets, high-yield cash deposits, and transaction fee layers.

Palo Alto Networks (PANW)

  • Reported strong Q4 financial results:
    • Adjusted EPS reached $1.02 versus $0.98 expected, with revenue of $3.14 billion (up 34% year-over-year).
    • Next-Generation Security Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) grew 63% year-over-year to $9.1 billion, beating expectations of $8.91 billion.
    • Reaffirmed long-term targets to reach $20 billion in ARR by fiscal year 2030.
  • Announced the strategic acquisition of Console, an AI-native automation platform designed to integrate agentic AI security across enterprise workflows.
  • Near-term share price faced initial post-earnings volatility due to a high valuation multiple (nearly 300x P/E) going into the print.

Takeaways

  • As frontier AI models and autonomous agents proliferate, enterprise cybersecurity is shifting toward automated, platform-wide defenses. PANW remains a market leader in next-gen security, though high multiples require continued top-tier execution.

GitLab (GTLB)

  • Delivered a strong double beat on earnings:
    • Adjusted EPS came in at $0.24 versus $0.18 expected (a 33% beat).
    • Revenue reached $286 million (up 21% year-over-year) versus $273 million expected.
  • Net ARR growth exceeded 40%, driven by increased enterprise demand for code governance, software supply-chain security, and development lifecycle controls as AI-assisted coding expands.
  • Shares rose 12% to 16% in after-hours trading following the announcement.

Takeaways

  • GitLab is benefiting directly from the surge in AI-generated code, as enterprises require robust developer platforms to secure, govern, and deploy complex software pipelines.

Credo Technology Group (CRDO)

  • Reported solid quarterly earnings and forward guidance:
    • Q1 EPS was $1.20 versus $1.17 expected, on revenue of $479 million (up substantially year-over-year).
    • Guided Q2 FY27 revenue to between $525 million and $535 million, with gross margins between 67% and 69%.
    • Anticipates an inflection in the second half of the fiscal year, driven by over $600 million in optical product revenue.
  • Joined industry consortiums around CPX (Co-Packaged Optics) to target next-generation scale-up data center interconnects.
  • The stock sold off 5% to 8% after-hours despite the beat, largely due to high valuation and a strong run-up prior to earnings.

Takeaways

  • CRDO provides crucial optical and connectivity hardware for AI data center clusters. High expectations can create post-earnings pullbacks, offering more favorable entry points for long-term investors tracking data center bandwidth demand.

MongoDB (MDB)

  • Reported Q2 earnings that surpassed consensus expectations:
    • Adjusted EPS of $1.90 versus $1.61 expected, on revenue of $771 million (up 30% year-over-year).
    • Raised full-year revenue outlook to $3.03 billion and increased operating margin guidance.
    • Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) accelerated 91% to $1.52 billion.
  • Despite the beat, shares dropped 9% to 14% in after-hours trading, reflecting high market beta and broader multiple compression across high-growth software stocks.

Takeaways

  • MongoDB continues to execute well operationally in data management for modern applications, but high-multiple database software remains subject to sharp market volatility when macroeconomic risks elevate.
Ask about this postAnswers are grounded in this post's content.
Video Description
twitter: https://x.com/amitisinvesting deepdives: https://amitsdeepdives.substack.com/ free news terminal - https://caktusjxck.com/
About Amit Kukreja
Amit Kukreja

Amit Kukreja

By @amitinvesting

Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!