SPY DOWN 1%, GOLD ALL TIME HIGHS, FIRST DAY TO END OUT SEPTEMBER | MARKET CLOSE + TECHNICAL TUESDAY
SPY DOWN 1%, GOLD ALL TIME HIGHS, FIRST DAY TO END OUT SEPTEMBER | MARKET CLOSE + TECHNICAL TUESDAY
248 days agoAmit Kukreja@amitinvesting
YouTube3 hr 31 min
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

A favorable court ruling for Google (GOOGL) removes a major overhang, with analysts eyeing a potential pullback to the $217 level as an entry point for a move towards $250. This news also directly benefits Apple (AAPL), which could see further upside if the stock holds above the key $235 support level. In the cybersecurity sector, Zscaler (ZS) stands out as a strong performer after beating earnings expectations while its competitors have shown weakness. The rally in precious metals continues, with Gold hitting all-time highs and Silver breaking out as central banks reportedly favor them over government debt. These trends suggest continued strength for technology leaders and hard assets.

Detailed Analysis

Here are the investment insights from the podcast transcript.

Google (GOOGL)

  • A U.S. judge issued a sealed decision in the DOJ's online search monopoly case against Google. The market reacted very positively to this news, with the stock surging after hours, hitting prices as high as $226.
  • The initial interpretation is that the ruling is not the "worst-case scenario" that investors feared.
  • Bloomberg later reported that the ruling does not require Google to sell its Chrome browser and does not require Google to end its payments to Apple and other partners for being the default search engine.
  • This news is seen as removing a major cloud of uncertainty that has been hanging over the stock. The host noted that institutional investors were heavy buyers of Google in the second quarter.
  • The technical analyst, Jason, noted that this fundamental news supersedes technicals. He suggested a healthy pullback could bring the stock to the $217 "golden zone" before potentially moving higher.
  • Longer-term price targets of $230 and $250 were mentioned based on technical extensions.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment is extremely bullish. The resolution of the DOJ case without a forced breakup or an end to the lucrative Apple partnership is a significant win for Google.
  • Investors who have been holding the stock through the uncertainty are being rewarded.
  • For those looking to enter, the technical analyst suggested a pullback to the $217 area could present a healthier entry point rather than chasing the after-hours pump.
  • The removal of this legal overhang could allow the market to re-focus on the company's fundamentals, including its AI (Gemini) and cloud (GCP) growth drivers.

Apple (AAPL)

  • The Google DOJ ruling is also very bullish for Apple. The company receives an estimated $20 billion per year from Google to be the default search engine on its devices, and this revenue stream appears to be safe.
  • The stock rallied significantly in after-hours trading on the Google news, hitting prices around $236 - $238.
  • This positive catalyst overshadowed earlier news about Apple losing a key robotics researcher to Meta, which the host initially viewed as a negative for Apple's long-term trajectory.
  • There are also rumors of a potential partnership for Google's Gemini AI to become the default infrastructure for Siri.
  • The technical analyst sees Apple as a potential "pairs trade" to Google, meaning it could continue to benefit from the positive sentiment. If the stock holds the $235 level, the next targets are $239 and then the $245 - $250 area.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment is very bullish. The Google news protects a significant, high-margin revenue stream for Apple and removes a major risk.
  • The stock is now re-approaching its 2025 highs, showing strong momentum.
  • The upcoming Apple event in a few weeks could provide an additional catalyst.
  • Investors could watch the $235 level as a key area of support. A hold above this level could signal further upside.

Zscaler (ZS)

  • Zscaler reported earnings that beat analyst expectations on both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue.
  • Revenue grew 21% year-over-year, and the stock jumped approximately 9% in after-hours trading.
  • The host noted this performance was "very encouraging," especially when compared to weaker results from competitors like Fortinet (FTNT) and the muted stock reactions for Palo Alto Networks (PANW) and CrowdStrike (CRWD) after their own earnings.
  • The cybersecurity sector is seeing consolidation, and Zscaler has been the subject of acquisition rumors for years.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment is bullish. Zscaler's strong earnings report in a tough environment for cybersecurity stocks is a positive sign.
  • The company is demonstrating strong execution and growth, which could make it stand out in its sector.
  • For investors interested in cybersecurity, Zscaler appears to be a strong performer that is bucking the trend of some of its peers.

Cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin (BTC) & Ethereum (ETH)

  • Bitcoin (BTC) was mentioned as being relatively flat, trading around $110,600. Its stability was noted as a reason for MicroStrategy (MSTR) being green on the day.
  • Ethereum (ETH) was also relatively flat, trading around $4,275.
  • There is increasing interest from international institutions. The host mentioned that Jack Ma's fund in China reportedly bought 10,000 ETH.
  • Well-known strategist Tom Lee is reportedly bullish on Ethereum, and his fund, BitMine, purchased another 100,000 ETH.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment is neutral to cautiously bullish. While prices were flat, the underlying story of increasing institutional adoption for Ethereum is a positive long-term catalyst.
  • These are not immediate price movers but indicate a growing foundation of large-scale buyers for Ethereum.
  • Investors in the crypto space should monitor this trend of institutional buying as a potential sign of future demand.

Commodities: Gold & Silver

  • Gold was reported to be trading at all-time highs of $3,600.
  • Silver also saw a strong move, breaking above $37.
  • The host theorized that the rally in precious metals is less about fear in the stock market and more about fear of holding government debt (Treasuries).
  • This is supported by reports that central banks are increasing their gold holdings relative to treasuries. India, a country with a deep cultural connection to gold, was mentioned as one country planning to buy less U.S. debt in favor of gold.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment is bullish. The rally in gold and silver is strong and appears to be driven by a fundamental shift from central banks and nations away from U.S. Treasuries.
  • This trend could have more room to run as long as concerns about government debt and currency debasement persist.
  • Investors might view gold and silver as a hedge against inflation and a weakening position of U.S. government bonds.

Other Stocks & Themes

  • Meta (META): The company is actively poaching top talent in robotics and AI from Apple. This is seen as a very positive sign for Meta's innovation and long-term growth, as the company is aggressively pursuing new S-curves beyond advertising.
  • Opendoor (OPEN): The stock was up 14% on a down day for the market, trading above $5. This strength came despite news that the former CEO filed to sell a large block of shares (5 million shares at $4.99). The market's positive reaction suggests strong underlying momentum.
  • Host's Personal Trade: The host mentioned buying 50 more shares of BM&R (BMNR) at $42.20, viewing the day's dip as an attractive opportunity.
  • Upcoming IPOs: A number of IPOs are coming to market, including Klarna, Gemini, and FIGURE. The host believes there is enough "risk on appetite" for these IPOs to do well, which could be a positive sign for overall market sentiment.
  • Duolingo (DUOL): The stock is down significantly, with the host mentioning a 40% loss on his position. The technical analyst was cautious, stating the market is "clearly not convinced" and he would need to see the stock get back over $340 before getting interested. The primary concern is the narrative that AI will make language-learning apps obsolete.
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Video Description
twitter: https://x.com/amitisinvesting 00:00 - Headlines 03:25 - Trump 15:00 - Market Close 29:40 - Google 48:55 - GOOGL TA 59:21 - APPL TA 1:04:17 - CRM TA 1:09:41 - AVGO TA 1:12:45 - ZETA TA 1:14:27 - ENPH TA 1:18:26 - BABA TA 1:22:29 - ORCL TA 1:28:15 - PYPL TA 1:36:00 - GOOGL News 1:45:50 - XYZ TA 1:52:18 - SNAP TA 1:56:58 - COIN TA 2:01:04 - RIVN TA 2:08:41 - LMND TA 2:16:15 - IREN TA 2:19:30 - JOBY TA 2:22:15 - MSTR TA 2:31:15 - UNITY TA 235:17 - NBIS TA 2:38:50 - RCAT TA 2:40:50 - LLY TA 2:44:50 - ONDS TA 2:46:30 - TTD TA 2:53:17 - UNH TA
About Amit Kukreja
Amit Kukreja

Amit Kukreja

By @amitinvesting

Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!