S&P NEAR ALL TIME HIGHS, INTEL AND FORD EARNINGS, MARKETS GO GREEN | MARKET CLOSE
S&P NEAR ALL TIME HIGHS, INTEL AND FORD EARNINGS, MARKETS GO GREEN | MARKET CLOSE
197 days agoAmit Kukreja@amitinvesting
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Intel's (INTC) massive earnings beat signals a potential turnaround and a bullish sign for the entire semiconductor sector, including AMD and NVIDIA. A major catalyst for AI infrastructure is Oracle's (ORCL) record $38 billion deal to build data centers, signaling massive long-term demand. This trend strongly benefits data center REITs like Digital Realty Trust (DLR), which just reported a staggering 510% earnings beat. Google (GOOGL) also received a major boost by confirming a multi-billion dollar AI partnership with Anthropic, validating its cloud and AI chip strategy. Finally, Palantir (PLTR) continues its commercial expansion with a formative $200 million deal with Lumen (LUMN), reinforcing its growth narrative.

Detailed Analysis

Intel (INTC)

  • Intel reported earnings that massively beat expectations, causing the stock to surge over 10% in after-hours trading, breaking the $40 and $41 levels.
  • Earnings Per Share (EPS): Came in at 23 cents, a beat of over 2,000% compared to the 1 cent Wall Street expected.
  • Revenue: Beat expectations, coming in at $13.6 billion versus $13.14 billion expected.
  • Gross Margins: Showed significant improvement at 40%, beating the expected 36%. This is a strong sign for a hardware business.
  • Segment Performance:
    • Beat: Data Center and Client Computing revenue both beat expectations.
    • Miss: Foundry revenue (the chip manufacturing business for other companies) missed expectations.
  • The CFO mentioned that the data center refresh is happening "faster than anticipated," leading to a supply crunch that could last into the next year.

Takeaways

  • The massive earnings beat suggests a strong turnaround for Intel, which has underperformed its peers for years. The market reacted very positively to the news.
  • The speaker noted a powerful sentiment: "If Intel, which quite frankly has sucked for the past couple of years, is beating EPS by 20%... Just imagine the others." This suggests Intel's strong performance could be a bullish signal for the entire semiconductor sector, including competitors like AMD and NVIDIA.
  • The US government is a major shareholder in Intel, and this strong performance could be seen as an early win for the government's investment in domestic chip manufacturing.

Data Centers & AI Infrastructure (Investment Theme)

  • This sector saw a huge surge in interest and stock prices after hours, driven by a major announcement from Oracle (ORCL).
  • Oracle is nearing a record $38 billion corporate debt sale to fund the construction of new data centers in Texas and Wisconsin, which will be used by Oracle and OpenAI.
  • This massive capital raise signals incredible demand for AI compute infrastructure and is seen as a major tailwind for the entire industry.
  • Digital Realty Trust (DLR), a data center company, also reported a staggering 510% EPS beat, further confirming the strong financial performance within the sector.
  • Bitcoin mining companies that are pivoting to data center services, such as IREN, Cypher (CIFR), and Bitfarms (BITF), all saw their stocks pump on this news.

Takeaways

  • The $38 billion Oracle deal is a massive vote of confidence in the future of AI and the need for data centers. This is a strong bullish indicator for any company involved in building or supplying data center infrastructure.
  • Investors could look at companies in this space, from large established players to smaller, transitioning Bitcoin miners, as potential beneficiaries of this long-term trend.
  • The speaker cautions that some pumps, like those in Cypher (CIFR) and Bitfarms (BITF), were also tied to filings showing that market maker Jane Street took a stake. This is often part of their normal business operations and not necessarily a fundamental investment thesis, so investors should be aware that such pumps can be short-lived.

Google (GOOGL)

  • Google's stock moved higher after hours following official confirmation of a massive deal with AI company Anthropic.
  • The deal is described as being worth "tens of billions of dollars" and will involve Anthropic expanding its use of Google's custom AI chips (TPUs) and cloud services.
  • This partnership is a major validation of Google's AI infrastructure and its ability to compete with other cloud providers for major AI workloads.
  • The stock previously saw a run-up when this deal was just a rumor, and the confirmation provides a solid catalyst.

Takeaways

  • This is a significant win for Google's Cloud division, proving its technology is competitive at the highest level of AI development.
  • This partnership could lead to substantial, long-term revenue for Google and strengthens its narrative as a key player in the AI revolution, which is a positive sign heading into its earnings report.

Palantir (PLTR)

  • CEO Alex Karp appeared on Fox Business to discuss a new partnership with telecom infrastructure company Lumen (LUMN).
  • The deal was described as a "multi-year, multi-million dollar partnership" to deploy Palantir's AI platform to enhance Lumen's network.
  • While Karp did not confirm the exact amount, it was reported by Bloomberg to be a $200 million deal. Karp called it a "very large deal" and "formative" for Palantir.
  • The partnership aims to modernize telecom infrastructure to handle the massive data load required by AI applications.

Takeaways

  • This is another major commercial contract for Palantir, reinforcing the narrative that its business is successfully expanding beyond its government roots.
  • Deals of this size show that large enterprises are willing to make significant investments in Palantir's AI platform (AIP), which is a bullish sign for the company's growth ahead of its upcoming earnings.

Ford (F)

  • Ford reported earnings that beat on both the top and bottom lines.
  • EPS: 45 cents vs. 36 cents expected.
  • Revenue: $47 billion, which was $4 billion more than Wall Street expected.
  • Despite the beats, the stock fell about 4% after hours. The drop was attributed to the company lowering its guidance for future free cash flow and EBITDA, partly due to a factory fire.

Takeaways

  • The strong revenue beat ($4 billion more than expected) is a positive sign for the consumer economy. It suggests that consumers were willing to purchase significantly more Ford vehicles than analysts predicted.
  • While the lowered guidance hurt the stock in the short term, the underlying demand appears strong. Investors should watch to see if the company can overcome its operational issues, as the consumer appears to be holding up.

CrowdStrike (CRWD)

  • The stock was up 4.3% on the day.
  • The CEO appeared on CNBC and made a bullish case for the cybersecurity industry in the age of AI.
  • His key quote was that people "should not be afraid of AI eating software. They should be afraid of software not being secure enough."
  • The argument is that AI will make software less secure, which will dramatically increase the demand for advanced cybersecurity solutions like those offered by CrowdStrike.

Takeaways

  • This is a strong counter-argument to the fear that AI will automate away the need for software companies.
  • If the CEO's thesis is correct, the proliferation of AI will serve as a major long-term growth driver for the cybersecurity sector, positioning CrowdStrike as a key beneficiary.

Quantum Computing Stocks (RGTI, QBTS)

  • Quantum computing stocks like D-Wave (QBTS) and Rigetti (RGTI) had a volatile day.
  • The volatility was driven by conflicting reports about the U.S. government potentially taking equity stakes in these companies.
  • An administration official told CNBC they are "not currently negotiating equity stakes," which caused the stocks to fall from their pre-market highs.
  • However, Rigetti issued a statement saying, "If the U.S. does not lead in supporting these breakthroughs, others will, posing significant risks to our national security." This highlights the geopolitical pressure to invest in the sector.

Takeaways

  • This sector is highly speculative and moves aggressively on headlines and rumors. The key words from the government were "currently" and "equity," leaving the door open for future deals or other forms of investment like warrants.
  • Investing in this space is high-risk, high-reward. The technology is still in its early stages, and the companies have very little revenue, making them more like "meme stocks" that trade on narrative rather than fundamentals.
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About Amit Kukreja
Amit Kukreja

Amit Kukreja

By @amitinvesting

Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!