S&P HITS AN ALL TIME HIGHS, COREWEAVE & CAVA EARNINGS + TECHNICAL TUESDAY | MARKET CLOSE
S&P HITS AN ALL TIME HIGHS, COREWEAVE & CAVA EARNINGS + TECHNICAL TUESDAY | MARKET CLOSE
269 days agoAmit Kukreja@amitinvesting
YouTube3 hr 45 min
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Driven by significant institutional buying, Ethereum (ETH) has broken out and shows potential to target $5,500. Tesla (TSLA) is displaying a powerful technical setup, where a sustained move above $350 could trigger a rapid rally toward a long-term target of $600. With Google (GOOGL) holding firmly above the $200 level, technicals suggest a potential path towards $225. In the AI chip space, watch AMD (AMD) for a break above $175, which could signal a new leg up towards the $200 mark. For a more speculative idea, Grab (GRAB) is in a tight consolidation pattern, with a potential breakout above the $5 level being a key catalyst to watch.

Detailed Analysis

Here are the investment insights from the podcast transcript.

Ethereum (ETH)

  • The price of Ethereum hit $4,500 for the first time since December 2021 and was pushing towards $4,600 during the show.
  • The host expressed strong bullish sentiment, stating, "It's just hard to be bearish Ethereum right here."
  • Institutional momentum is a key driver. BlackRock and Fidelity ETFs reportedly saw $1 billion in collective inflows in a single day, much of it from institutional investors who use these products to gain exposure.
  • Tom Lee of Fundstrat is reportedly raising $20 billion with a 'B' to purchase Ethereum through the BMNR trust, adding to significant buying pressure.
  • Technical analysis suggests that after breaking out of a long consolidation period, the next major target could be $5,500 or higher.

Takeaways

  • Ethereum is experiencing a strong breakout driven by significant institutional buying and positive market sentiment.
  • Investors looking for exposure could consider buying ETH directly or through related securities like the BitMine (BMNR) trust, which aims to hold Ethereum.
  • The technical picture appears very strong, suggesting the rally may have more room to run, though pullbacks are always possible in the volatile crypto market.

CoreWeave (CW)

  • CoreWeave reported mixed earnings for its second quarter.
    • Revenue Beat: Reported $1.2 billion in revenue, beating expectations of $1.08 billion. This represents a massive 207% year-over-year growth.
    • EPS Miss: Lost 60 cents per share, which was a wider loss than the expected 49 cents per share.
  • The company has a massive $30 billion revenue backlog, indicating extremely strong future demand for its AI cloud platform.
  • The stock reacted negatively to the EPS miss, dropping around 7-10% in after-hours trading.
  • The host noted that on the previous earnings call, the CEO's commentary turned the stock's negative reaction into a positive one, suggesting the upcoming call is critical.

Takeaways

  • CoreWeave is a key player in the AI data center space and is growing its revenue at an explosive rate.
  • The market is currently focused on the bottom-line miss (profitability) rather than the top-line growth (revenue).
  • For long-term investors bullish on the AI theme, the post-earnings dip could present a buying opportunity, assuming the revenue growth story remains intact. Pay close attention to the guidance and tone on the earnings call.

Tesla (TSLA)

  • An in-depth technical analysis suggests Tesla is poised for a very large move.
  • The daily simple moving averages (SMAs) are tightly compressed, a pattern that has historically led to explosive price action.
  • The price is currently trading above these moving averages, indicating the path of least resistance is to the upside.
  • Key Levels to Watch:
    • $335 is a major pivot point. The stock needs to stay above this level to maintain its bullish posture.
    • $350 is a critical resistance level. A breakout above this price could trigger a "quick and violent move" higher due to a thin volume shelf.
  • The long-term technical setup could point towards a target of $600.

Takeaways

  • The technical chart for Tesla is signaling a potentially significant breakout in the coming weeks or months.
  • This is presented as a setup where a multi-month swing trade could align with a long-term investment thesis.
  • Investors should watch the $335 level as key support and the $350 level as the trigger for a potential major rally.

Grab (GRAB)

  • The host is personally very bullish on Grab and believes the stock is being artificially held below the $5 mark by market makers.
  • He disclosed that he is in an "accumulation phase" and bought an additional 500 shares during the session.
  • The short float has increased to 7%, indicating a rise in bearish bets against the stock.
  • Technical analysis shows the stock is "trapped" in a tightening consolidation pattern, which typically precedes a significant price move (either up or down). The 200-day moving average is still angled upwards, which is a positive sign.

Takeaways

  • This is a high-conviction, speculative play based on the host's belief that the company is undervalued and its stock is being suppressed.
  • The technical setup confirms that a breakout is likely coming. A positive catalyst, such as a guidance raise or another strong earnings report, could be what ignites the move.
  • Investors should be aware of the increased short interest, which adds to the risk but could also fuel a "short squeeze" if the price breaks upward.

CAVA Group (CAVA)

  • CAVA reported disappointing earnings, causing the stock to plummet ~20% in after-hours trading.
  • While they beat on EPS (16 cents vs. 13 cents expected), they missed on revenue.
  • The primary reason for the drop was a significant miss on same-store sales, which grew only 2.1% versus the 6.1% that was expected.
  • The company also cut its full-year forecast for same-store sales growth.

Takeaways

  • The sharp decline highlights the market's sensitivity to slowing growth, especially in the restaurant sector.
  • This could be an early indicator of consumers pulling back on discretionary spending.
  • Investors in the fast-casual dining space should be cautious, as this weakness could be a broader trend affecting peers like Chipotle (CMG).

Major Tech & AI Stocks

NVIDIA (NVDA)

  • NVIDIA hit a new all-time high of $184.48 but was not the main driver of the market's rally, which the host viewed as a bullish sign of broadening market participation.
  • Takeaways: Technical analysis points to a potential move towards $200, with $186 being a key level to watch. Traders should be cautious of a "fake out" on the initial break of all-time highs.

Google (GOOGL)

  • The stock has been holding above the key psychological level of $200 for two consecutive days.
  • Technical analysis suggests a potential path to $211, $220, and ultimately $225. The host is bullish on his call options.
  • Takeaways: Holding above $200 is a strong sign. The technicals suggest further upside, making it an attractive name in big tech, especially as it has lagged some peers year-to-date.

Meta (META)

  • The stock is showing strong momentum, approaching $800. The host mentioned that Threads now reportedly has 400 million monthly active users, which could become a significant new revenue stream.
  • Takeaways: The fundamental story is strong with potential growth from Threads. Technicals point to a target of $825 if it can successfully break out and hold above the $790 resistance level.

Palantir (PLTR)

  • The stock had a strong day, with some brokers showing a spike to $190.
  • Takeaways: The stock has hit its recent technical price target of $185. For the rally to continue, it needs to consolidate and hold these gains before making a move toward the next level of $195.

AMD (AMD)

  • The stock is showing a constructive setup, holding above the key $170 level.
  • Takeaways: A break above $175 and then $182.50 would confirm a new leg up. The next major sentimental and technical target is $200.

Other Notable Mentions

Financial Sector (BAC, GS, MS)

  • Financials were one of the best-performing sectors of the day, with Bank of America (BAC) up 3% and Goldman Sachs (GS) up 3.5%.
  • Takeaways: This performance is a key sign of a broadening market rally. It shows that investors are finding opportunities outside of the big tech and AI names, which is a sign of a healthy market. This strength is likely tied to the increasing probability of Fed rate cuts.

Robinhood (HOOD)

  • The stock is "maturing" with less extreme volatility than in the past.
  • Takeaways: The technicals are pointing to higher prices, with potential targets at $125, $133, and ultimately $154. The host is very bullish on the company's long-term potential to become a "finance unicorn."

Circle (CRCL)

  • The company had a great earnings report, but the stock sold off from its highs during the day.
  • After the market closed, the company filed to offer 10 million shares (2 million new, 8 million from selling stockholders), causing the stock to drop further.
  • Takeaways: This is a classic "sell the news" and dilution event. While dilution can be negative for the stock price in the short term, long-term investors may trust that the company will use the capital raised to fuel future growth.

Rocket Lab (RKLB)

  • The stock has been consolidating. The technical analysis suggests that bears have had multiple opportunities to push the stock lower but have failed, indicating that buyers are stepping in.
  • Takeaways: This looks like an accumulation phase. While the stock is not yet in a confirmed uptrend (needs to get above the 20-day moving average), the failure of sellers to break it down is a bullish sign. A breakout could target the $60 level.
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Video Description
twitter: https://x.com/amitisinvesting 00:00 - S&P all time highs and headlines 15:00 - Market Close and earnings 36:30 - Bessent speaks 53:30 - SPY TA 57:20 - TSLA TA 1:11:15 - PLTR TA 1:14:00 - HOOD TA 1:20:15 - NVDA TA 1:27:00 - SOFI TA 1:29:46 - AMD TA 1:34:48 - RKLB TA 1:40:47 - HIMS TA 1:46:40 - GOOGL TA 2:00:00 - GRAB TA 2:07:30 - META TA 2:11:25 - BMNR TA 2:16:45 - ETH TA 2:26:05 - Rapid Fire
About Amit Kukreja
Amit Kukreja

Amit Kukreja

By @amitinvesting

Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!