S&P 500 HITS ALL TIME HIGHS AS WE END OUT THE SECOND WEEK OF SEPTEMBER | MARKET OPEN
S&P 500 HITS ALL TIME HIGHS AS WE END OUT THE SECOND WEEK OF SEPTEMBER | MARKET OPEN
239 days agoAmit Kukreja@amitinvesting
YouTube4 hr 9 min
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Analysts view NVIDIA (NVDA) as a core holding, considering any dips a buying opportunity with a price target of over $200 by year-end. Robinhood (HOOD) is presented as a long-term buy with a $120 year-end target, supported by new products and its upcoming inclusion in the **S

Detailed Analysis

Tesla (TSLA)

  • The stock experienced a significant rally, breaking through multiple resistance levels from $370 to over $394 during the podcast. The speaker noted this was the biggest move in a while.
  • Bullish Catalysts Mentioned:
    • Robotaxi Expansion: Tesla received approval to begin testing robotaxis on public roads in Nevada.
    • Strong China Sales: The company registered a record 14,300 vehicles in China for the first week of September, likely driven by customers buying before a tax credit expires.
    • CEO Focus: The Chairman of Tesla's board stated that Elon Musk has completed his "political service" and is now back and focused on Tesla. Elon himself commented that the government is "unfixable" and he's back at Tesla's headquarters. Investors see this as a major positive.
  • Sentiment: The speaker noted that while the stock is expensive, it's not a "bubble." The current rally is seen as investors "front-running" future growth from projects like RoboTaxi, Optimus, and Energy, which are expected to materialize in the coming years.

Takeaways

  • The combination of tangible progress in its robotaxi ambitions, strong sales numbers, and a renewed focus from CEO Elon Musk has created a powerful bullish narrative for the stock.
  • Investors seem to be looking past the next year of potentially flat earnings and are instead pricing in the long-term growth potential of Tesla's AI and robotics ventures.
  • The stock is showing strong technical momentum, breaking through multiple price levels. A guest on the show suggested that if you own the stock, you might consider rolling covered calls further out to avoid having shares called away at lower prices.

Grab (GRAB)

  • The speaker has a "massive position" and has been covering the stock for about nine months, viewing it as an undervalued emerging markets play.
  • The stock experienced a major breakout during the show, rising from the $5.60s to break through the $6.00 level for the first time in three years.
  • Volume was noted as being exceptionally high (over 75 million shares traded versus a 15 million average), suggesting significant institutional interest, not just retail hype.
  • The speaker bought an additional 1,000 shares live on the show at $6.00, stating, "Being afraid of 52-week highs is like being afraid of success."
  • Price Targets Mentioned:
    • The speaker believes a fair value is closer to $7.50 - $8.00.
    • A price of $7-$8 by the end of the year is considered "not that crazy."
    • A more conservative target of $10 by 2027 is also mentioned, which would represent a double from current levels.

Takeaways

  • Grab is showing signs of a major technical and fundamental breakout. The massive trading volume suggests that large investors may be accumulating shares.
  • The investment thesis is based on the company being an undervalued leader in the growing Southeast Asian market, which is poised to benefit from future interest rate cuts.
  • For investors who have been following the story, the current price action is a significant validation. The speaker sees this as a long-term investment with the potential for significant returns over the next few years.

Robinhood (HOOD)

  • The company's recent summit in Las Vegas showcased many new products that impressed the speaker.
  • August Metrics were very strong on a year-over-year basis, with trading volumes and assets under custody (AUC) up over 150%. While slightly down month-over-month, this was seen as a success for a historically slow month.
  • Bullish Catalysts:
    • S&P 500 Inclusion: The stock is being officially added to the S&P 500, which will create forced buying from index funds.
    • New Products: Features like multiple accounts per user are expected to drive significant engagement and attract new assets from competitors.
    • Long-Term Vision: The speaker is extremely bullish on the long-term story, citing a "generational founder" in Vlad Tenev, strong execution, and a massive tailwind from the generational wealth transfer.
  • The speaker believes Robinhood could become a trillion-dollar company over the next decade and views any significant dips as buying opportunities. A price target of $120 by year-end was mentioned.

Takeaways

  • Robinhood is viewed as a "generational" company to buy and hold for the long term.
  • The company is firing on all cylinders with new product launches, strong user growth, and the near-term catalyst of S&P 500 inclusion.
  • For long-term investors, the strategy suggested is to accumulate shares on any pullbacks, as the company is seen as the future of consumer finance.

OpenDoor (OPEN)

  • The stock has been on a "euphoric" run, moving from $0.50 to $10. It was up 75% the day before the podcast.
  • The rally is driven by hype around new leadership, including the former COO of Shopify as the new CEO and the return of co-founders to the board.
  • The new CEO's compensation is heavily tied to the stock price reaching $33, which is seen as a bullish sign.
  • A board member, Keith Raboy, stated on CNBC that the company's previous problems were due to a "bloated" cost structure, not a flawed business model, and that they could cut 80% of their workforce.
  • The speaker remains personally skeptical of the "iBuying" business model and is not investing, preferring to see actual earnings growth first. He feels no "FOMO" (fear of missing out).

Takeaways

  • This is a high-risk, high-reward, story-driven stock. The current price is based on the belief that a new "legendary" leadership team can turn the business around.
  • Investors are betting on the story and the leadership, not on current fundamentals. The speaker warns against betting against the stock due to the strong retail momentum but is also not recommending buying into the hype.
  • This is a speculative play. If the new CEO succeeds in fixing the business model and cutting costs, there could be significant upside. If not, the stock could fall just as quickly as it rose.

Bitmine (BMNR)

  • Described as a high-risk, high-reward "moonshot" and a "leverage bet on Ethereum."
  • The company holds a large amount of Ethereum (rumored to be over 2.1 million ETH) on its balance sheet, so its stock price is closely tied to the price of ETH.
  • The brand of Tom Lee (of Fundstrat) is a major factor, as his involvement attracts significant investor capital, which the company can use to buy more Ethereum.
  • A price target of $70-$80 by the end of the year was mentioned, but this is highly contingent on Ethereum reaching $5,000-$6,000.
  • The stock was seen breaking through the $50 and $51 levels during the show.

Takeaways

  • BMNR is a way to get leveraged exposure to the price of Ethereum. If you are bullish on Ethereum, BMNR is presented as an attractive, albeit risky, investment.
  • The investment is not just about Ethereum's price but also about Tom Lee's ability to raise capital and grow the company's treasury, similar to what Michael Saylor did for MicroStrategy with Bitcoin.
  • This is a volatile, speculative asset. Its success is almost entirely dependent on the price of Ethereum continuing to rise.

NVIDIA (NVDA)

  • The speaker and guests are extremely bullish on NVIDIA, calling it "the most important company in the world."
  • Oracle's massive $300 billion deal with OpenAI is seen as further proof that the AI spending cycle is not slowing down, which directly benefits NVIDIA.
  • A guest on the show, Steve, believes the stock is going "a lot higher" and that his previous growth projections were too conservative.
  • Price Targets Mentioned:
    • Over $200 by the end of the year.
    • $250 - $275 next year.
  • The recent dip to $165 was seen as a clear buying opportunity.

Takeaways

  • The investment case for NVIDIA remains stronger than ever. Major cloud and AI deals across the industry continue to validate the immense and ongoing demand for its chips.
  • Despite its large market cap, the company's growth is still accelerating. It is viewed as a core holding for any AI-themed portfolio.
  • Dips in the stock are viewed by the speakers as opportunities to buy more.

Other Investment Mentions

  • AI as a Sector: The consensus is that the AI sector is still undervalued, despite the run-up in many stocks. Oracle's massive earnings beat and backlog growth are cited as primary evidence that the market is still underestimating the future growth of AI.
  • Ethereum (ETH): Bullish sentiment is driven by the expectation of Federal Reserve rate cuts, which makes "risk-on" assets like crypto more attractive. A potential $10,000 price target by year-end was mentioned, though presented as an optimistic scenario.
  • Microsoft (MSFT): Bullish sentiment following news that the company is finalizing a deal to own a 30% stake in OpenAI. This gives Microsoft shareholders direct exposure to the upside of the world's leading AI research lab.
  • Oracle (ORCL): The business is seen as incredibly strong following its "monster" earnings and a $300 billion deal with OpenAI. However, the speaker is cautious about buying the stock after it already jumped 40%, suggesting it may need time to consolidate.
  • Palantir (PLTR): The speaker attended a company event and came away with a bullish impression. Customer feedback on its AIP platform is strong, and the company does not appear to be slowing down. Earnings are expected to be strong.
  • Small Caps (IWM): Mentioned as a pick by analyst Tom Lee, who believes they are highly undervalued and will be the biggest beneficiaries of Fed rate cuts. The podcast host was more skeptical, still preferring large-cap tech.
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About Amit Kukreja
Amit Kukreja

Amit Kukreja

By @amitinvesting

Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!