PALANTIR SIGNS A $100M DEAL, NVIDIA HITS ALL TIME HIGHS, JOBS DATA  | MARKET OPEN
PALANTIR SIGNS A $100M DEAL, NVIDIA HITS ALL TIME HIGHS, JOBS DATA | MARKET OPEN
317 days agoAmit Kukreja@amitinvesting
YouTube3 hr 36 min
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

With powerful momentum and a new $250 price target from Loop Capital, NVIDIA (NVDA) is considered a high-conviction investment with a clear path to further gains. The broader semiconductor theme remains a core AI play, as Micron's (MU) strong earnings signal healthy demand for the entire ecosystem, including AMD (AMD). For a long-term growth opportunity, consider Palantir (PLTR), whose new contract positions it to become the essential operating system for the future nuclear energy sector. Robinhood (HOOD) also presents a compelling growth story as it successfully expands into a diversified financial services company. Conversely, investors should be cautious with Tesla (TSLA) in the near term due to expected weak deliveries and executive turnover.

Detailed Analysis

NVIDIA (NVDA)

  • The stock hit a new all-time high of $156.90 in the pre-market and opened at an all-time high. The host noted it is on a clear path with "blue skies."
  • The market seems to be re-evaluating NVIDIA's multiple, questioning why it isn't valued similarly to companies like Costco or Netflix, which have lower growth and margins.
  • Loop Capital upgraded the stock to a $250 price target, which helped fuel the rally.
  • At $162 per share, NVIDIA would become a $4 trillion company, a milestone the host feels could happen "rather easily" given the current momentum.
  • The host mentioned that every $10 move in NVIDIA's stock price is equivalent to $250 billion in market cap.
  • A guest on the show from an AI startup predicted that NVIDIA and Microsoft would be the first companies to reach a $5 trillion market cap in the next 12 to 24 months.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment is extremely bullish. The market is rewarding NVIDIA's dominance in the AI revolution, and analysts are raising price targets aggressively.
  • The stock is in a strong uptrend, driven by powerful momentum. Investors may view any potential pullback as a buying opportunity.
  • While the valuation is high, the narrative is that its growth, margins, and central role in AI justify the premium price.

Palantir (PLTR)

  • Palantir signed a $100 million, 5-year contract with a company called "The Nuclear Company."
  • The deal is to co-develop and deploy a Nuclear Operating System (NOS), the first AI-driven software system for nuclear construction. The goal is to make building nuclear plants faster, safer, and cheaper.
  • The host views this as a major strategic win. The dollar amount is less important than Palantir establishing itself as the potential de facto operating system for the entire nuclear energy industry, which is seen as a future trillion-dollar sector fueled by AI's energy needs.
  • This deal is seen as a return to "OG Palantir deals" that build a framework for massive future growth, similar to what they've done for shipyards and aviation.
  • The stock hit a new all-time high of $148.22 during the podcast.

Takeaways

  • The nuclear contract is a significant long-term catalyst, reinforcing the bull thesis that Palantir can become the essential operating system for entire industries.
  • Investors are pricing in the future potential of these large-scale partnerships, not just the immediate revenue.
  • The stock is trading at all-time highs, indicating strong positive sentiment. New investors should be aware they are buying into this strength at a premium valuation.

Robinhood (HOOD)

  • The annual shareholder meeting revealed strong growth metrics:
    • 1.5 billion prediction contracts traded since launch.
    • Retirement accounts now hold $18 billion in assets.
    • The advisory product, Robinhood Strategies, has 100,000 users and $350 million in assets under management (AUM) after just three months.
    • They expect 300,000 Gold credit card users by the end of the year.
  • The host defended Robinhood's valuation against comparisons to Schwab. While Schwab has trillions in assets, it is a legacy company with flat growth. Robinhood, in contrast, is an innovative, high-growth company, which is why the market is rewarding it with a higher relative valuation.
  • The host compared Robinhood's journey to Amazon's early days, where it was considered "grossly overvalued" for years before its growth and profitability (with AWS) fully justified the price.

Takeaways

  • Robinhood is successfully executing its strategy to expand into a diversified financial services company beyond just stock trading.
  • The market is clearly prioritizing Robinhood's rapid growth and innovation over the massive-but-stagnant asset base of legacy competitors.
  • For investors, the bet on Robinhood is a bet on continued high-speed growth and market share capture in the financial industry.

Hims & Hers (HIMS)

  • The stock had been down significantly following news related to its GLP-1 (weight loss drug) offerings and a partnership with Novo Nordisk.
  • The host, a shareholder, stated he is holding his position because his original investment thesis was based on the long-term potential of a personalized digital healthcare platform, not on the short-term GLP-1 news.
  • During the podcast, the stock rallied over 9% on news that Hims & Hers hired a new Chief Product Officer, DearJah, who previously led the successful Robinhood Gold product at Robinhood.
  • This hire is seen as a very bullish signal that the company is serious about strengthening its technology and product offerings, reinforcing its identity as a tech-focused healthcare company.

Takeaways

  • HIMS is a volatile stock, highly sensitive to news. The sharp negative reaction to the Novo news was followed by a sharp positive reaction to the new executive hire.
  • The bull case is that HIMS is a technology company disrupting healthcare. The new CPO from a successful FinTech company like Robinhood strengthens this narrative.
  • This is a high-risk, high-reward investment. Investors must be comfortable with significant price swings and believe in the long-term vision beyond any single product line.

Semiconductor Sector

  • Micron (MU): Reported strong earnings and raised guidance, confirming that demand in the semiconductor ecosystem is thriving. However, the stock was surprisingly flat after the report, which the host attributed to possible profit-taking after a large run-up.
  • AMD (AMD): Is participating in the semiconductor rally alongside NVIDIA. The host noted its strong performance, rising from around $95 to over $145 in about a month and a half.
  • Overall Sentiment: The discussion was very bullish on the entire semiconductor space. Micron's positive report was seen as a green light for the health of the whole ecosystem, benefiting players like NVIDIA, AMD, and TSM.

Takeaways

  • The fundamental story for semiconductors remains very strong, driven by the AI revolution.
  • Micron's strong earnings can be seen as a bullish indicator for its customers and partners, even if MU's own stock didn't rally immediately.
  • Investors looking for exposure to the AI theme continue to see semiconductors as a core holding.

Tesla (TSLA)

  • The stock has given back its gains from the "Robotaxi" event, suggesting a "sell the news" reaction.
  • A BMO analyst note suggested that Waymo (Google) is "miles ahead" of the competition in autonomous vehicles, creating a headwind for Tesla's narrative.
  • Q2 deliveries, expected in the coming week, are anticipated to be weak.
  • News broke during the podcast that two executives are leaving the company: Omiad Afshar (a key Musk confidant and head of operations) and Jenna Farua (head of HR). It was unclear if they left or were fired, adding to uncertainty.

Takeaways

  • Tesla is facing several near-term headwinds: weakening delivery numbers, increasing competition in the AV space, and executive turnover.
  • The market appears to be taking a "wait and see" approach to the Robotaxi story, demanding more concrete proof of progress and scale.
  • The stock remains highly volatile, with a wide potential price range. The upcoming earnings report will be critical for setting the direction.

Rocket Lab (RKLB)

  • The stock experienced a massive, unexplained rally during the podcast, surging over 15% to hit new highs around $37.
  • The host could not identify a specific fundamental reason for the surge, noting that an upcoming launch was already known.
  • The stock has a relatively high short float of 12%, leading to speculation that the rally was a short squeeze driven by technical breakouts and momentum traders.

Takeaways

  • This is a high-risk momentum play. The stock's rapid ascent appears disconnected from any new fundamental information.
  • The high short interest makes it susceptible to a short squeeze, which can cause explosive upward moves but also makes it vulnerable to sharp reversals once the buying pressure subsides.
  • Investors should be extremely cautious, as trading a stock in a potential squeeze is very risky.
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twitter: https://x.com/amitisinvesting 00:00 - Goolsbie live 27:00 - Macro 50:00 - Market Open 1:21:48 - Home Sales 1:46:51 - NVDA 1:57:00 - Eliano for Palantir 3:20:00 - Warren
About Amit Kukreja
Amit Kukreja

Amit Kukreja

By @amitinvesting

Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!