PALANTIR HITS ALL TIME HIGHS, MARKETS CONTINUE THEIR STRENGTH | MARKET CLOSE
PALANTIR HITS ALL TIME HIGHS, MARKETS CONTINUE THEIR STRENGTH | MARKET CLOSE
12 hours ago•Amit Kukreja•@amitinvesting
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights
  • Palantir (PLTR): Hold or consider a carefully sized position if you can tolerate sharp swings; track reported growth, contract expansion, and free cash flow against the bullish thesis, noting Barclays’ $265 target and the stock’s premium valuation.
  • Verizon (VZ): Consider it for dividend income, but weigh the roughly 6.5%–7% yield against potential competition from SpaceX and monitor whether satellite service threatens customer retention.
  • Oracle (ORCL): Treat the pullback as a potential opportunity only if you accept its debt and OpenAI-related risks; watch operating cash flow, capital spending, and customer payment commitments before adding.
  • Meta (META): View AI-powered shopping as a long-term possibility, not a near-term catalyst; monitor Muse’s repeat usage and evidence that partnerships drive transactions.
Detailed Analysis

Palantir Technologies (PLTR)

  • Palantir closed at $209.05, a new all-time high, after rising about 5.1% that day. The speakers attributed some of the move to Barclays initiating coverage with a $265 price target.
  • The hosts argued that Palantir’s enterprise AI software can deliver measurable business outcomes and that its data-management platform could remain valuable regardless of which AI model providers win.
  • They highlighted expanding contracts, strong operating margins, and customer willingness to pay for multi-year deals. One speaker said that, if CEO Alex Karp is right about $18 billion in free cash flow in a couple of years, a 30-times multiple could help justify the current valuation.
  • One guest forecast revenue growth could exceed 100% in Q3 and reach 110%–115% in Q4; these were his expectations, not reported results. The discussion also cited recent revenue growth of about 94%.
  • The speakers acknowledged that the stock is expensive on current figures and has experienced sharp swings, including a roughly 50% decline earlier in the year before recovering. One investor said he had trimmed some shares to preserve capital but retained most of his position.
  • A guest floated $300 as a possible future price, but this was an optimistic remark—not a formal price target.

Takeaways

  • The bullish case depends on Palantir sustaining rapid growth and converting customer demand into durable free cash flow. Track reported growth, contract expansion, and cash generation against those expectations.
  • The valuation and history of large price swings make position sizing and tolerance for volatility important. The transcript presents strong conviction, but also recognizes that the stock can fall substantially.

Meta Platforms (META)

  • The discussion focused on Muse, Meta’s AI assistant, and the possibility that AI agents could eventually facilitate online shopping and other transactions.
  • The hosts argued that Meta could benefit from its large user base and partnerships, including with Expedia and Shopify, if agentic shopping becomes widely used. One speaker suggested the opportunity could become significant over a decade, but also emphasized that adoption will take time.
  • The conversation cited a Hunterbrook analysis reporting that average daily net gains in active users had fallen 62% from a September surge and downloads were down 8% week over week. The speakers said that early declines in downloads can happen, but questioned whether Muse would become a habitual product.
  • One guest said Meta was growing 28% year over year in the prior quarter and argued that its existing business remained attractive without Muse. He cautioned that Muse should be viewed as a multi-year opportunity rather than an immediate source of revenue.

Takeaways

  • Treat the agentic-shopping opportunity as a long-term thesis, not as proven near-term revenue. Monitor user engagement, repeat usage, commercial partnerships, and evidence that AI features contribute to transactions or advertising.
  • The transcript identifies adoption as a key uncertainty: the potential market may be large, but the speakers had not established that everyday consumers will use these tools frequently.

Alphabet (GOOGL)

  • The speakers debated whether AI assistants could reduce reliance on traditional search. One host said he was beginning to question how much he personally needed search, while also noting that Alphabet’s financial results had not yet supported a clear conclusion that search was being displaced.
  • They expected Alphabet to remain a significant business, but suggested that its business model may need to evolve as AI usage changes how people find information.

Takeaways

  • The discussion points to a watch item rather than a firm bearish call: track search usage, advertising performance, and how effectively Alphabet adapts its products to AI-assisted discovery.
  • No price target or specific buy/sell recommendation was given.

Oracle (ORCL)

  • One guest said he was interested in Oracle after its share price had fallen, describing it as relatively inexpensive on a forward basis and arguing that the market’s concerns were overstated.
  • The discussion cited about $36.4 billion in cash, $148.3 billion in debt, $1.43 billion in interest expense, and $10 billion in EBITDA. The guest argued that growing cash from operations and the lag between capital spending and revenue could support the investment case.
  • The main concern raised was Oracle’s exposure to OpenAI: participants questioned whether OpenAI would be able to meet its financial commitments. The guest said that the key issue was whether OpenAI could continue paying its bills.
  • The guest preferred Oracle’s potential upside, while another speaker said he preferred Broadcom from a quality perspective.

Takeaways

  • The bullish case rests on Oracle turning its AI-related investment and commitments into cash flow, while managing a large debt load. Monitor operating cash flow, capital spending, and the ability of major customers to meet commitments.
  • OpenAI-related exposure was explicitly identified as a risk; the transcript did not establish how much that exposure might affect Oracle if customer expectations change.

Broadcom (AVGO)

  • Broadcom was described as a potential buyer following weakness tied to concerns about AI infrastructure demand and an OpenAI revenue headline.
  • One speaker said he preferred Broadcom to Oracle on business quality, while another believed Oracle might offer more upside.

Takeaways

  • The discussion was cautiously positive but did not provide a valuation, price target, or detailed Broadcom-specific thesis. Any investment view would require further assessment of AI-related demand and the company’s own results.

AI Infrastructure and Compute

  • The speakers said AI infrastructure stocks were vulnerable to changes in how investors perceive demand, particularly if that demand is seen as dependent on OpenAI or Anthropic.
  • They distinguished between the underlying need for computing capacity, which they viewed as durable, and the market’s confidence in spending plans, which they viewed as fragile.
  • A report that OpenAI revenue was $20 billion below expectations initially pressured AI-related stocks; OpenAI later clarified the figures, but some stocks continued to reflect the concern.
  • The speakers also raised the possibility that an Anthropic IPO could affect liquidity and investor appetite for other AI-related stocks. They were less enthusiastic about the IPO after discussing Anthropic’s leadership and governance.

Takeaways

  • The central investment question is whether AI spending translates into customer revenue and business outcomes—not just infrastructure commitments. Watch earnings, capital spending, and customer demand.
  • The transcript flags uncertainty around AI-company financial expectations and IPO-related capital flows, but does not offer a firm forecast for either.

NVIDIA (NVDA)

  • NVIDIA fell below $230 during the session, which the speakers attributed to concerns about the outlook for AI infrastructure rather than a new company-specific development.
  • One host argued that the week’s headlines did not appear to justify the full decline, while acknowledging that investor perceptions of AI spending can move the stock.

Takeaways

  • The discussion framed the decline as tied to broader AI-demand sentiment. Monitor customer spending and AI infrastructure demand rather than treating the price move alone as a change in NVIDIA’s fundamentals.
  • No specific price target or recommendation was stated.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM)

  • TSMC was described as having fallen from around $480 to $453 during the week, with the speakers linking the weakness to concerns about OpenAI and AI-related spending.
  • TSMC was also mentioned in connection with a reported partnership involving GlobalFoundries to make silicon interposers for advanced packaging in the United States; the host said he had not yet reviewed the details.

Takeaways

  • The transcript identifies AI-spending sentiment and supply-chain partnerships as relevant factors, but offers no detailed company outlook. Verify the partnership details and monitor demand for advanced packaging.

GlobalFoundries (GFS)

  • GlobalFoundries was described as an interesting company with multiple partnerships. The discussion cited a recent partnership with Marvell and raised a question about its reported TSMC-related partnership for U.S. advanced packaging.
  • Its shares were down about 2.2% that day.

Takeaways

  • The potential opportunity discussed is strategic partnerships and supply-chain positioning. The speakers did not provide a specific valuation view or price target, and one had not yet reviewed the latest partnership news.

Marvell Technology (MRVL)

  • Marvell was mentioned as a partner of GlobalFoundries. The host suggested that strategic partnerships to secure supply chains may have contributed to Marvell’s guidance increase.

Takeaways

  • The transcript offers a limited, potentially positive read-through from partnership activity and guidance, but no detailed company analysis or recommendation.

Micron Technology (MU)

  • Micron was described as having been hit alongside other AI infrastructure stocks. It was essentially flat on the day after being near $1,100 the previous day, according to the transcript.

Takeaways

  • The discussion linked Micron’s movement to sentiment around AI infrastructure rather than a new company-specific thesis. No price target or recommendation was given.

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)

  • AMD was named among stocks hit by headlines that day, but the speakers did not discuss the company’s fundamentals or outlook.

Takeaways

  • The transcript provides no company-specific investment thesis. Treat the mention as a market-movement observation, not a recommendation.

CoreWeave (CRWV)

  • CoreWeave was listed among AI infrastructure stocks that had been pressured by concerns about AI spending and demand. The discussion also noted that some AI infrastructure names continued to fall after an initial market shock.
  • One speaker still owned the stock and briefly considered trimming it, but did not give a detailed thesis.

Takeaways

  • The key issue raised is whether AI compute demand and customer spending expectations hold up. The transcript does not provide a price target or a clear recommendation.

Nebius Group (NBIS)

  • Nebius was mentioned as part of the “neocloud” group exposed to AI infrastructure sentiment. It was essentially flat on the day after weakness in the group.

Takeaways

  • The speakers did not offer a company-specific view. The broader risk discussed was that perceived AI demand—especially if tied to a small number of AI companies—could be fragile.

IREN (IREN)

  • IREN was listed among AI infrastructure stocks that declined, closing at $35.19, down about 1.46% that day.
  • One speaker said he owned a position but offered no detailed company analysis.

Takeaways

  • The transcript suggests that IREN is being affected by broader AI infrastructure sentiment. No specific recommendation or price target was given.

Lumentum (LITE)

  • Lumentum’s CEO reportedly said the company was sold out until 2029. The statement helped photonics-related stocks, with Lumentum up about 5% that day.

Takeaways

  • The reported demand visibility is a positive signal, but the transcript does not discuss valuation, margins, or whether that demand will translate into sustained results. Monitor company guidance and execution.

SanDisk (SNDK)

  • SanDisk was described as falling after earlier strength, closing at $1,581, down about 2% that day.

Takeaways

  • No company-specific thesis was provided. The transcript’s broader caution was that AI-related stocks can react sharply to changes in perceived demand.

Amkor Technology (AMKR)

  • Amkor was grouped with TSMC and GlobalFoundries among semiconductor-related companies that had been affected by the AI spending shock.

Takeaways

  • The discussion did not provide a company-specific outlook or recommendation. Monitor developments in AI-related demand and advanced packaging.

Astera Labs (ALAB)

  • The transcript referred to a ticker transcribed as “AAOY,” which appears to refer to Astera Labs. The stock was up about 3% that day after being up more in the morning, alongside strength in photonics-related stocks.

Takeaways

  • The mention was limited to the day’s price movement; no company-specific thesis or recommendation was offered.

AST SpaceMobile (ASTS)

  • AST SpaceMobile fell about 10.4% that day and had at one point reached $47. The speakers attributed the pressure to concern that SpaceX could compete with telecom carriers through its satellite-to-phone plans.
  • One host said the situation could be a test of investor conviction but cautioned that sticking with a stock only makes sense if the investment thesis remains intact. The speakers did not present a detailed AST SpaceMobile analysis.

Takeaways

  • The competitive threat from SpaceX was the explicit concern. Investors following the company would need to assess whether its business case and competitive position remain intact; the transcript does not resolve that question.

Rocket Lab (RKLB)

  • Rocket Lab was listed among stocks hit by headlines and was essentially flat on the day, continuing some of the prior session’s weakness.
  • The speakers referred to it as a stock with a strong retail-investor community, but did not discuss company fundamentals.

Takeaways

  • The transcript offers no company-specific recommendation or price target. Community enthusiasm should not substitute for assessing the business and its risks.

SpaceX (Private)

  • SpaceX was discussed in connection with a reported agreement to buy up to 14 megahertz of paired 800 MHz spectrum from Grain Management for about $8 billion.
  • A host cited estimates that a full network buildout could cost $80 billion–$130 billion and argued that the addressable opportunity may be limited relative to the major U.S. carriers. He viewed regulatory approval, network capacity, and execution as uncertainties.
  • Another speaker suggested that the service might be more compelling in rural areas or as part of a broader ecosystem involving Tesla products and robots. The speakers agreed that consumers would need reliable coverage and a compelling price to switch providers.
  • The discussion also noted that SpaceX was reportedly valued at around $2 trillion in comparisons with Palantir; no formal valuation analysis was offered.

Takeaways

  • The opportunity is a potential expansion into direct-to-phone connectivity, but the transcript highlights regulatory, buildout-cost, coverage, and customer-adoption questions.
  • SpaceX is private, so the discussion does not provide a direct public-market investment recommendation.

Verizon Communications (VZ)

  • Verizon was discussed as a potential incumbent exposed to SpaceX’s proposed wireless service. The speaker argued that SpaceX would have to provide dependable service to persuade customers to switch.
  • One host said he bought more Verizon shares that day, citing its dividend yield of roughly 6.5%–7%.

Takeaways

  • The transcript presents a dividend-oriented investment view alongside a competitive concern from SpaceX. The key question is whether new satellite service meaningfully affects Verizon’s customers or business; no price target was given.

AT&T (T)

  • AT&T was discussed alongside Verizon and T-Mobile as a potential target of SpaceX’s wireless ambitions. The conversation cited a roughly 6%–10% share-price decline for the major carriers on the day of the spectrum news.
  • The hosts argued that customers may not switch unless SpaceX delivers reliable coverage and attractive pricing.

Takeaways

  • The explicit concern is potential competition from SpaceX, while the speakers questioned whether that competition would be sufficient to cause widespread switching. No company-specific recommendation was given.

T-Mobile US (TMUS)

  • T-Mobile was mentioned as one of the major carriers potentially affected by SpaceX’s wireless plans. The discussion also said that the spectrum being purchased had previously been acquired from T-Mobile for about $3 billion, before SpaceX’s reported agreement to buy it for a higher amount.
  • The speakers debated whether SpaceX’s service would be good enough to persuade existing customers to switch.

Takeaways

  • Monitor regulatory developments and whether satellite service becomes a meaningful substitute or complement to terrestrial networks. The transcript did not provide a T-Mobile-specific outlook.

Shopify (SHOP)

  • Shopify was described as having closed above $170, a level it had not sustainably surpassed since 2021, according to the speakers.
  • Shopify was also mentioned as a partner that could support Meta’s potential agentic-shopping business. The speakers framed AI-enabled shopping as a long-term opportunity.

Takeaways

  • The discussion points to two possible catalysts: continued business momentum and a role in AI-assisted commerce. The transcript did not offer a Shopify price target or a detailed assessment of the company’s fundamentals.

Zeta Global (ZETA)

  • Zeta was described as a company trying to build stronger engagement with retail investors and a recognizable business community. One host said he had a strong interest in the company.
  • The discussion referenced a Zeta event as positive, but did not provide specific financial results or a valuation.

Takeaways

  • The transcript’s positive comments were mainly about investor engagement, not a specific investment thesis. Consider business performance and valuation separately from community enthusiasm.

Hims & Hers Health (HIMS)

  • Hims was up about 10% that day. One speaker said the broader healthcare sector may have contributed, but was unsure about the effect of a lawsuit concerning peptides.
  • The same speaker said Hims had lost positive free cash flow in the first half of the year and expected it to become free-cash-flow positive in the second half. He described his own position as a trade and said he had not done enough independent research before buying.

Takeaways

  • Watch whether the company returns to positive free cash flow as expected and how the legal issue develops. The speaker’s comments were cautious and explicitly acknowledged limited research.

SoFi Technologies (SOFI)

  • SoFi was discussed as a company with a substantial retail following. One guest proposed that it hold an event combining an investor day, analyst day, and customer-focused presentations.
  • He also suggested SoFi could pursue a larger role in retirement-plan custody and business banking, but this was a proposal—not an announced company plan.

Takeaways

  • The transcript’s potential opportunity is broader business adoption and retirement-account services, but these were ideas from a guest rather than confirmed initiatives. Track what the company actually announces and executes.

Grab Holdings (GRAB)

  • Grab was mentioned as a stock that, like other growth names, may face criticism and volatility. One speaker referred to it as one of his holdings but did not discuss its business outlook.

Takeaways

  • No company-specific thesis, price target, or recommendation was provided. The discussion emphasized the importance of doing independent research rather than relying on a stock’s retail following.

Robinhood Markets (HOOD)

  • Robinhood was mentioned as an example of a company that engages with retail investors through events. The discussion did not address its financial performance or valuation.

Takeaways

  • The reference was about investor engagement, not an investment recommendation. No stock-specific action was suggested.

Snowflake (SNOW)

  • Snowflake was discussed in the context of releasing an enterprise large language model. One speaker questioned whether the product offered a strategic advantage, describing it as potentially creating another commodity model that Palantir could connect to.
  • The comments recalled an earlier debate when Snowflake’s product announcement coincided with a decline in Palantir shares.

Takeaways

  • The transcript raises a competitive-positioning question: whether Snowflake’s AI offerings are differentiated. It does not provide a broader view of Snowflake’s business or a recommendation.

CrowdStrike (CRWD)

  • CrowdStrike was used as a valuation comparison with Palantir. A guest cited forward EPS estimates of $2.07 for 2028 and a valuation of about 132 times forward earnings, versus Palantir at about 60 times in his comparison.
  • The guest also cited CrowdStrike’s recent year-over-year growth of about 26% and argued that Palantir’s faster growth could justify a higher relative valuation. These were the guest’s figures and argument.

Takeaways

  • The comparison was used to support the Palantir valuation case, not to present a standalone CrowdStrike thesis. The transcript does not offer a CrowdStrike recommendation.

Palo Alto Networks (PANW)

  • Palo Alto Networks was also used as a cybersecurity-sector comparison. A guest cited estimated EPS growth of about 34.7% and argued that Palantir’s faster growth supported a premium valuation for Palantir.
  • The speakers suggested that cybersecurity stocks may also be receiving a valuation premium because of concerns about AI-related security risks.

Takeaways

  • The discussion was primarily comparative and did not provide a standalone view on Palo Alto Networks. No price target or recommendation was given.

Tesla (TSLA)

  • Tesla was mentioned as an example of a company that built a strong retail-investor following and as part of a potential broader ecosystem with SpaceX services and future robots.
  • No Tesla financial outlook or price target was discussed.

Takeaways

  • The comments were about retail engagement and a possible ecosystem—not a company-specific investment recommendation.

Moderna (MRNA)

  • Moderna was up about 12% that day. The speakers also noted its inclusion in the Nasdaq-100 and suggested that healthcare-sector strength may have helped, though they did not establish a specific cause.

Takeaways

  • The transcript provides only a market-movement observation. No company-specific thesis or recommendation was offered.

Oracle and Other AI-Related Software Companies

  • The speakers discussed a broader concern that AI products from frontier-model companies could disrupt software businesses. They argued that enterprises may be reluctant to hand over their full workflows and proprietary data to external AI providers.
  • Palantir was presented as a potential beneficiary because it can organize enterprise data and connect different models, while the discussion acknowledged that the software-disruption scenario was possible.

Takeaways

  • The key investment question is whether established software companies can integrate AI while maintaining customer trust and control over data. The transcript does not settle which companies will win across the sector.

BitMine Immersion Technologies (BMNR) and Crypto

  • The transcript mentions a ticker transcribed as BMNR, apparently in a crypto-related context. One speaker said he bought one share after others urged him to do so, but emphasized that he did not follow crypto and lacked conviction.
  • No specific cryptocurrency, price target, or crypto investment thesis was discussed.

Takeaways

  • The speakers’ comments caution against buying unfamiliar investments based solely on social or community pressure. The transcript does not support an actionable cryptocurrency view.

Vistra (VST)

  • Vistra was discussed as an energy company with exposure to nuclear, solar, and natural gas. A speaker said it had contracts with companies including Meta and Amazon and cited a reported White House commitment of up to $4 billion to expand nuclear facilities.
  • Another speaker said he was not familiar enough with Vistra to assess it.

Takeaways

  • The potential opportunity discussed is electricity demand and nuclear expansion. The transcript does not provide a valuation analysis or a recommendation; verify the contract and funding details.

Constellation Energy (CEG)

  • Constellation was mentioned as a company the speakers found interesting in the context of nuclear power and rising energy needs. They did not identify it as a confirmed winner in the sector.

Takeaways

  • The discussion supports only a broad nuclear-energy theme. No company-specific recommendation or price target was given.

Bloom Energy (BE)

  • Bloom Energy was described as interesting in the context of meeting energy demand. It was up about 2.7% that day, and one speaker noted that it had entered the S&P 500.

Takeaways

  • The speakers did not provide a detailed view of Bloom’s business or valuation. Monitor the company’s results and its ability to benefit from the energy-demand theme.

Oklo (OKLO) and NuScale Power (SMR)

  • The speakers said they wanted to believe that small modular reactors could become an important part of the energy mix, but emphasized that the technology was not yet proven and they did not know which company would win.
  • They identified nuclear power as a potential long-term answer to growing energy needs.

Takeaways

  • The opportunity is speculative and tied to future deployment of small reactors. The transcript explicitly identifies technology and winner-selection uncertainty; no recommendation was made.

General Electric Vernova (GEV)

  • GEV was briefly mentioned in response to a question about Vistra, with a speaker clarifying that GEV was not the company being discussed. No investment analysis followed.

Takeaways

  • The transcript provides no actionable company-specific insight or recommendation.

QXO (QXO)

  • One guest said QXO was misunderstood and that he had been adding to his position. He said he was prepared for the stock to fall as low as $8 per share and viewed his investment on a five-to-ten-year horizon.
  • No detailed company fundamentals or valuation analysis were provided.

Takeaways

  • The speaker expressed long-term conviction, while explicitly acknowledging the possibility of a substantial further decline. The transcript does not provide enough business detail to independently assess that view.

S&P 500 and Market Outlook

  • The S&P 500 was described as near all-time highs despite rising yields and concerns about oil prices. One guest said 8,000 by year-end was possible; another said it depended on macroeconomic developments.
  • The speakers identified possible Federal Reserve rate hikes, rising unemployment, oil prices, the Iran conflict, and the strength of upcoming earnings as factors that could affect the market.
  • They noted that historical market pullbacks of around 10% can occur and said high-flying stocks could fall during a broader selloff.

Takeaways

  • The conversation was broadly constructive on market momentum but not unconditionally bullish. The speakers emphasized monitoring interest rates, employment, energy prices, geopolitical developments, and earnings rather than assuming that recent strength will continue.
  • The 8,000 S&P 500 figure was a guest’s possibility, not a consensus forecast.
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About Amit Kukreja
Amit Kukreja

Amit Kukreja

By @amitinvesting

Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!