PALANTIR HITS ALL TIME HIGHS, MARKETS CONTINUE STRENGTH, EARNINGS AFTER THE BELL | MARKET CLOSE
PALANTIR HITS ALL TIME HIGHS, MARKETS CONTINUE STRENGTH, EARNINGS AFTER THE BELL | MARKET CLOSE
194 days agoAmit Kukreja@amitinvesting
YouTube3 hr 9 min
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Large institutional investors are making bullish bets on Tesla (TSLA), buying long-dated call options with strike prices as high as $560 for June 2026. Consider SoFi (SOFI) ahead of its imminent earnings report, where a strong quarter could propel the stock towards a $35 price target. In the semiconductor space, Celestica (CLS) was a standout earnings winner, jumping over 10% after hours on a massive 50% year-over-year earnings increase. The recent 9% after-hours drop in Galaxy Digital (GLXY) following a capital raise could be a buying opportunity for investors bullish on data center growth. Lastly, momentum traders should watch Grab (GRAB), which is experiencing a technical breakout and has strong upward momentum.

Detailed Analysis

Palantir (PLTR)

  • The stock reached all-time highs during the day, with the speaker hoping for a close above $190. It ultimately closed at $189.14, up 2.44%.
  • The bullish momentum is supported by recent positive catalysts:
    • A letter of intent was signed with the Defense Ministry of Poland.
    • A $200 million contract with Lumen was secured.

Takeaways

  • Bullish Sentiment: The discussion around Palantir is positive, highlighting its strong performance and significant new contracts.
  • Key Level: The $190 price level was mentioned as a key psychological point for the stock.
  • Catalyst Driven: Recent business wins are seen as major drivers for the stock's upward movement, suggesting investors should monitor news around new government and commercial contracts.

Tesla (TSLA)

  • The stock had a strong day, closing up 4% at $452 after touching $460 at one point.
  • Despite recent earnings that showed negative earnings growth, the market sentiment remains positive.
  • Large institutional buyers ("whales") have been purchasing a significant number of call options, indicating a bullish outlook from sophisticated investors.
    • Targets include the $525 to $550 strike price for November 2025.
    • More recently, the $560 strike for June 2026 was bought.
  • An analyst at Cantor upgraded their price target on TSLA to $510 from $385.
  • The speaker notes that investors seem to be prioritizing Tesla's long-term AI story over its current lack of profit growth.

Takeaways

  • Bullish Sentiment: The market appears to be "looking through" the weak earnings report and focusing on Tesla's long-term potential, particularly in AI.
  • Institutional Interest: The significant call option buying suggests that large investors are betting on substantial price appreciation over the next 1-2 years.
  • Story Stock: Tesla is being valued as a "story stock," where future potential profits are valued more highly than current financial performance. This can lead to high volatility.

Amazon (AMZN)

  • The stock was up 1.3% on the day.
  • The major headline was a report that Amazon plans to cut 30,000 corporate jobs.
  • From an investor perspective, this is seen as a positive move for cutting costs and improving profit margins and earnings per share (EPS).
  • However, the timing of the announcement right before earnings is considered a "yellow flag". It could be a signal that the upcoming earnings report might be weak, and the company is trying to soften the blow with news of cost-cutting.

Takeaways

  • Mixed Short-Term Sentiment: While layoffs are good for the bottom line, the timing creates uncertainty around the upcoming earnings report.
  • Long-Term Bullish on Efficiency: The move is part of a broader trend of companies using AI and restructuring to become more efficient, which Wall Street is expected to reward in the long run.
  • Monitor Earnings: The upcoming earnings call will be crucial to understand the real reason behind the layoffs and the company's near-term outlook.

SoFi (SOFI)

  • The stock achieved a $30 close and was seen moving higher after hours.
  • There is significant anticipation for its earnings report, scheduled for the next morning.
  • The speaker is personally bullish and has taken a position, citing several tailwinds:
    • Upcoming Fed rate cuts are beneficial for lending businesses.
    • Other banks have reported very strong earnings.
    • SoFi is growing much faster than traditional banks.
  • A potential price target of $35 was mentioned if the quarter is strong.
  • Risk Mentioned: The speaker acknowledges that SOFI is known for being volatile and could "dump" to the $25-$26 range even on good news, but this could present a buying opportunity if the underlying business results are solid.

Takeaways

  • Bullish Pre-Earnings Sentiment: The setup for SoFi's earnings appears positive, with multiple macro and industry trends in its favor.
  • High Volatility Expected: Investors should be prepared for a large price swing of 12% or more in either direction following the earnings announcement.
  • Focus on Fundamentals: The key metric to watch will be member growth. If the company can report strong growth (a million new members was mentioned as a key number), it would reinforce the long-term bull case, regardless of the immediate stock reaction.

Apple (AAPL)

  • The stock was a major contributor to the market's rally, closing up 2% at $268.78.
  • It is getting very close to a $4 trillion market capitalization, a milestone the speaker believes it will hit if earnings are good.
  • Analysts at JP Morgan are bullish, citing momentum from the iPhone 17 cycle and expecting strong revenue growth.

Takeaways

  • Bullish Sentiment: Apple is seen as a key leader in the market rally with strong institutional support.
  • Catalyst to Watch: The upcoming earnings report is the next major catalyst. A strong report could push the company to the historic $4 trillion valuation mark.
  • Long-Term Growth Story: The discussion points to the next iPhone cycle as a driver for future growth, indicating a positive long-term outlook.

Semiconductor & Chip Stocks

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)

  • The stock had a great day, closing at an all-time high of $259.
  • A notable mention was a politician on the House Appropriations Subcommittee on Energy buying the stock on August 17th, shortly before the Department of Energy announced a $1 billion partnership with AMD.

NVIDIA (NVDA)

  • The stock was up nearly 3% to $191.42.
  • It experienced a brief dip after news of a new competing chip from Qualcomm but quickly recovered as the market deemed the threat to be minor.

Qualcomm (QCOM)

  • The stock was initially up 20% on news of a new chip that could compete with AMD and NVIDIA.
  • It gave back half of those gains to close up 10%, as the market's excitement cooled.

Cadence Design Systems (CDNS)

  • Reported a "double beat" on earnings, with both revenue and EPS exceeding expectations.
  • Despite the strong report (revenue up 10% YoY, EPS up 18% YoY), the stock was flat to slightly down after hours.

Amcor (AMCR)

  • Reported a "double beat" and its best quarter in history for revenue.
  • The stock was flat after hours, with the speaker noting it is more of a 6 to 12-month investment thesis based on a potential "re-rating" of its valuation as growth continues. The CEO's retirement was also announced.

Celestica (CLS)

  • This was the standout earnings winner, with the stock jumping 10-15% after hours.
  • The company reported a massive beat on earnings (EPS up 50% YoY) and revenue (up 28% YoY).
  • The stock was already up 224% year-to-date before this move.

Takeaways

  • Broad Sector Strength: The semiconductor sector continues to show incredible strength, with leaders like AMD and NVDA hitting new highs.
  • Earnings Reactions Vary: Even with strong earnings, not all stocks are being rewarded. CDNS and AMCR were flat despite good news, while CLS saw a massive jump. This suggests that market expectations are very high across the sector.
  • Competition is a Factor: The market is closely watching for competitive threats, as seen in the volatile reaction to the Qualcomm news, but seems to believe NVIDIA and AMD have a strong moat for now.

Cryptocurrency & Crypto-Related Stocks

Ethereum (ETH)

  • The price touched $4,200 but ended the day slightly down, later quoted at $4,157. The sentiment was neutral.

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • The price was mentioned as being "just below 115." (Note: This price seems unusual given the context of other assets and likely reflects a specific, non-standard market data source used in the podcast).

Bitcoin Miners

  • Performance was mixed across the sector.
  • Winners: CleanSpark (CLSK), Irene (IREN), Marathon (MARA), Riot (RIOT).
  • Losers: TerraWolf (WULF), Hive (HIVE), Bitfarms (BITF), Cypher (CIFR).

Galaxy Digital (GLXY)

  • The company announced it was offering $1 billion in exchangeable senior notes to fund business growth.
  • Risk Mentioned: This is a form of shareholder dilution, and the stock reacted negatively, falling 9% after hours.
  • The speaker believes this dip might be a buying opportunity, as the demand for their data center business is strong enough to absorb the new shares.

Takeaways

  • Mixed Crypto Sentiment: The crypto market itself appeared to be consolidating, with mixed performance among miners.
  • Dilution Risk in Growth Stocks: The Galaxy Digital situation is a classic example of a risk in high-growth stocks. When their stock price runs up, companies often issue new shares to raise capital, which can cause a short-term price drop.
  • Data Center Demand: The underlying bullish thesis for a company like Galaxy is tied to the massive demand for data centers, which is a key theme to watch.

Other Investment Themes & Stocks

Rare Earth Stocks (TMQ, MP, USAR)

  • This sector experienced a significant sell-off (TMQ down 15%, MP down 7%).
  • Bearish Sentiment: The decline is attributed to a shift in market narrative. If geopolitical tensions with China decrease, the perceived need for domestic US-based rare earth suppliers also decreases, hurting the investment case for these companies.

Robinhood (HOOD)

  • The stock had a strong day, up 4% to $146.
  • A new product catalyst was the addition of 400 closed-end funds (CEFs) to its platform, expanding its investment offerings.

Grab (GRAB)

  • The stock was up 4% to $6.10, described as a "breakout."
  • It was noted that the stock was trading at $5.40 just last week, suggesting it was "on sale" and has strong upward momentum.
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About Amit Kukreja
Amit Kukreja

Amit Kukreja

By @amitinvesting

Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!