PALANTIR CRUSHES EARNINGS, THE US BANS CHINESE AI EQUIPMENT, BESSENT SAYS A DEAL SOON | MARKET OPEN
PALANTIR CRUSHES EARNINGS, THE US BANS CHINESE AI EQUIPMENT, BESSENT SAYS A DEAL SOON | MARKET OPEN
20 hours agoAmit Kukreja@amitinvesting
YouTube2 hr 35 min
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Capitalize on strong enterprise demand and surging revenues by maintaining a long-term bullish position in Palantir Technologies (PLTR). Accumulate shares of Grab Holdings (GRAB) to capture Southeast Asia's regional growth, supported by a new $750 million share buyback and a robust $5.4 billion net cash position. Approach Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) cautiously near the $500 level, monitoring its MI450 GPU ramp-up and supply chain constraints before buying due to aggressive valuation multiples. Leverage the broader structural bull market in the S&P 500 Index (SPY), which has crossed the 7,600 mark on strong Q2 earnings and declining Treasury yields. Finally, watch official energy supply announcements regarding the Strait of Hormuz to manage potential "sell-the-news" reactions as oil prices decline.

Detailed Analysis

Palantir Technologies (PLTR)

  • Reported Q2 revenue of $1.94 billion, up 93% year-over-year, beating expectations of $1.8 billion.
  • Achieved a Rule of 40 score of 155% and adjusted operating margins of 55% ($1.1 billion in net income).
  • Raised full-year revenue guidance from $7.6 billion (70% growth) to $8.15 billion (82% growth).
  • CEO Alex Karp emphasized the massive enterprise demand for "AI sovereignty" and operational control over data via the company's ontology and forward-deployed engineers, rather than raw model layers.
  • Stock surged significantly, crossing the $150 to $160 range on the day.

Takeaways

  • Enterprise-focused AI applications that deliver immediate business outcomes are capturing strong market share and pricing power compared to basic model providers.
  • Maintain a long-term bullish outlook given accelerating growth rates and strong free cash flow generation.

Grab Holdings (GRAB)

  • Reported a strong earnings beat across key operational metrics, including revenue and a record EPS.
  • Raised full-year guidance to $4.15 billion and announced a $750 million share buyback program.
  • Monthly Transacting Users (MTUs) grew 17% year-over-year to 54 million in Southeast Asia, with Grab Unlimited subscriptions up 20%.
  • GrabFin is nearing profitability (expected in H2), serving as a major operating leverage driver.
  • Strong cash position of $7.4 billion gross and $5.4 billion net cash, with regional consolidation continuing to favor their ecosystem.

Takeaways

  • Fundamental execution remains strong, and management is actively utilizing undervaluation with share buybacks.
  • Consider accumulating shares as a long-term regional growth play in Southeast Asia.

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)

  • Trading near the $500 level ahead of its post-market earnings report.
  • The company faces high expectations amid strong AI data center demand, though analysts note the valuation multiple is aggressive.
  • Industry backdrop remains sold out for advanced memory and wafers, putting heavy focus on management's forward guidance and MI450 GPU ramp-up.

Takeaways

  • High valuation multiples mean execution must be flawless to see continued upside momentum post-earnings.
  • Monitor guidance closely regarding supply chain constraints and manufacturing capacity rather than headline beats alone.

S&P 500 Index & Macro Environment (SPY)

  • Hit all-time highs, crossing the 7,600 mark following a strong corporate earnings season where 85% of S&P 500 companies beat Q2 expectations.
  • Oil prices dropped roughly 3% to 4% amid positive diplomatic developments and potential deal negotiations involving Iran, Oman, and the Strait of Hormuz.
  • Treasury yields are trending downward, providing a favorable backdrop for risk-on equity assets.
  • Institutional tech inflows remain historically high, even following the retail-driven liquidation events in July.

Takeaways

  • A stabilizing macroeconomic backdrop combined with strong corporate earnings supports a continuation of the structural bull market.
  • Watch for official announcements regarding energy supply lines (Strait of Hormuz) as a primary catalyst for further market upside or potential "sell-the-news" reactions.
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Video Description
twitter: https://x.com/amitisinvesting deepdives: https://amitsdeepdives.substack.com/ free news terminal - https://caktusjxck.com/ 00:00 - Intro 05:50 - Palantir Earnings 15:00 - GRAB 21:00 - Trump Iran 42:00 - Bessent 44:00 - Market Open 1:16:30 - JOLTS 1:38:40 - Rubio 1:40:41 - Airtable 2:17:00 - AMD Preview
About Amit Kukreja
Amit Kukreja

Amit Kukreja

By @amitinvesting

Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!