NVIDIA Q2 2026 EARNINGS | JENSEN HUANG SPEAKS LIVE
NVIDIA Q2 2026 EARNINGS | JENSEN HUANG SPEAKS LIVE
13 hours agoAmit Kukreja@amitinvesting
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

NVIDIA (NVDA) remains a cornerstone long-term investment backed by projected 70% revenue growth in fiscal year 2028, making any near-term pullbacks from temporary gross margin dips prime buying opportunities. Investors can capitalize on hardware bottlenecks by buying memory leaders like Micron Technology (MU) and SK Hynix, which hold immense pricing power through 2028 due to structural shortages in high-bandwidth memory (HBM). In cybersecurity, CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) and Okta Inc. (OKTA) are high-conviction buys as the rapid rollout of autonomous AI agents drives non-discretionary spending toward endpoint defense and identity security. Salesforce Inc. (CRM) offers compelling value in enterprise software as it successfully monetizes enterprise workflows through its new Claude Force platform, disproving fears that AI will disrupt traditional SaaS business models. Rotate capital away from legacy consumer hardware makers like HP Inc. (HPQ) due to persistent margin compression, and prioritize exposure to specialized AI infrastructure and cloud computing.

Detailed Analysis

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)

  • Delivered record Q2 financial results driven by explosive global demand for artificial intelligence infrastructure:

    • Total Q2 revenue reached $96.2 billion, up 106% year-over-year, surpassing Wall Street expectations of ~$92 billion.
    • Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) came in at $2.22, beating the $2.09 consensus estimate (up 111% year-over-year).
    • Data Center revenue hit $89 billion, up 117% year-over-year, split between hyperscalers ($49 billion) and the enterprise/neocloud segment ($40 billion).
    • Returned $26 billion to shareholders in Q2 ($20 billion in share buybacks and $6 billion in dividends), with $99 billion remaining under its repurchase authorization.
  • Provided historic multi-year forward guidance highlighting sustained, supply-constrained demand:

    • Guided Q3 revenue to $108 billion (+/- 2%), representing approximately 90% year-over-year growth.
    • Provided preliminary full-year guidance for fiscal year 2028 of approximately 70% revenue growth (~$680 billion+), significantly higher than Wall Street estimates of ~$580 billion.
    • Management noted that demand remains higher than 100%, but revenue is currently constrained by supply chain capacity across memory, wafers, packaging, and data center buildouts.
  • Disclosed product roadmap and expanding platform economics:

    • Revenue opportunity per data center gigawatt is expanding rapidly: from $18 billion with Hopper, to $25 billion with Grace Blackwell, to $40 billion with the newly ramping Vera Rubin architecture.
    • Vera Rubin has entered full production and is expected to mark the fastest product ramp in the company's history, representing ~20% of Data Center revenue in Q3.
    • Standalone Vera CPU revenue is projected to more than double in fiscal year 2028, expanding the total addressable market.
    • Announced a major expansion with Amazon Web Services (AMZN) to deploy an additional 2 million GPUs, Vera CPUs, robotics software, and host NVIDIA's Nemotron open models through fiscal year 2029.
  • Outlined supply chain commitments and ecosystem financing:

    • Total multi-year supply and infrastructure commitments increased to $279 billion (with aggregate ecosystem obligations, leases, and guarantees nearing $500 billion through 2032), primarily driven by memory procurement and data center capacity.
    • Partnered with leading institutional investors (Apollo, BlackRock, Blackstone, Brookfield, Goldman Sachs, and KKR) to mobilize over $500 billion in third-party private capital to finance AI factory infrastructure for frontier labs.
    • Addressed concerns over "circular financing" by clarifying that NVIDIA does not make direct customer loans, but secures durable, fungible compute assets with rental revenue-sharing models.
  • Highlighted cost pressures and margin trajectory:

    • Q2 gross margin held at 75%, but Q3 gross margin is guided down to 74%, expected to bottom in Q4 at 71%–72% before stabilizing at 72%–73% in fiscal year 2028.
    • Margin pressure is primarily driven by sharp price increases in high-bandwidth memory (HBM), which NVIDIA plans to offset with product price increases taking effect in early fiscal 2028.

Takeaways

  • High-Visibility Growth: NVIDIA's unprecedented multi-year guidance (70% growth in FY28) confirms that enterprise and sovereign AI spending is accelerating rather than slowing down.
  • Temporary Margin Headwind: Expect short-term gross margin contraction toward 71%–72% over the next two quarters due to memory cost inflation before price hikes restore margins in 2028.
  • Ecosystem Dominance: By controlling full-stack architectures (GPUs, CPUs, networking, and software) and securing long-term supply, NVIDIA continues to widen its competitive moat against custom cloud silicon (ASICs).

Salesforce Inc. (CRM)

  • Reported strong second-quarter financial results that beat expectations:

    • Q2 revenue reached $11.34 billion (up 12% year-over-year), exceeding consensus estimates of $11.32 billion.
    • Adjusted EPS came in at $5.90 vs. $2.91 expected, heavily boosted by a $2.4 billion to $2.6 billion strategic investment gain (likely tied to its early stake in Anthropic).
    • Raised Q3 revenue guidance to $11.5 billion vs. $11.4 billion expected.
  • Announced an expanded partnership with Anthropic:

    • Unveiled Claude Force, combining Anthropic's Claude large language models with Salesforce's Agentforce and enterprise data workflows to create automated business applications.
    • Demonstrated that traditional enterprise software platforms are actively integrating frontier AI rather than being displaced by it.

Takeaways

  • Refuting the "Software is Dead" Narrative: Strong enterprise execution and AI model integration show traditional software-as-a-service (SaaS) companies can monetize AI agents to drive expansion.
  • Valuation Upside: The combination of core margin expansion, accelerating enterprise agent adoption, and balance sheet value from private AI investments provides solid support for the stock.

CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD)

  • Delivered a strong beat-and-raise quarterly performance:

    • Revenue reached $1.47 billion, up 26% year-over-year (accelerating from 22% in the prior quarter), beating estimates of $1.44 billion.
    • Adjusted EPS was $0.31, topping the $0.29 consensus estimate.
    • Raised full-year revenue guidance to $5.96 billion – $6.01 billion (approaching the $6.0 billion milestone), with Q3 revenue guided to $1.53 billion vs. $1.52 billion expected.
  • Capitalizing on enterprise AI security demand:

    • Management noted that widespread enterprise AI adoption is expanding the cybersecurity attack surface, making autonomous endpoint and data protection essential.

Takeaways

  • Secular AI Tailwinds: As companies deploy autonomous AI agents across their operations, cybersecurity spending is treated as mission-critical infrastructure, driving re-accelerating subscription growth for market leaders.
  • Premium Valuation: While trading at a high multiple of sales, consistent guidance raises and accelerating annual recurring revenue support continued institutional demand.

Okta Inc. (OKTA)

  • Exceeded top- and bottom-line estimates for the quarter:

    • Revenue grew 11% year-over-year to $805 million, beating expectations of $793 million.
    • Adjusted EPS came in at $1.05, beating consensus estimates of $0.96 by 9%.
  • Strategic position in autonomous agent security:

    • Highlighted that as autonomous AI agents proliferate across enterprise software, every agent requires trusted identity verification, clear access controls, and security auditing, opening new monetization avenues.

Takeaways

  • Identity as an AI Prerequisite: Okta is carving out a role as the identity layer for automated AI workflows, creating potential for usage-based and subscription revenue expansion as enterprise agent deployment scales.

Memory & Specialized Cloud Providers (MU, NBIS, SK Hynix)

  • Severe bottlenecks in high-bandwidth memory (HBM) and specialized compute capacity are shifting pricing power across the AI supply chain:
    • Memory Manufacturers (Micron Technology, SK Hynix): Extreme supply tightness and rising component pricing are compressing chipmakers' margins while providing multi-year revenue visibility and cash flow generation for memory producers through 2028.
    • NeoCloud Providers (Nebius, CoreWeave): Independent AI cloud infrastructure providers are benefiting from sustained GPU shortages, enabling strong rental pricing power and long-term revenue-sharing agreements with hardware vendors.

Takeaways

  • Critical Infrastructure Bottleneck: Memory providers and specialized AI data center operators offer strong collateral exposure to the AI hardware buildout with multi-year contract backlogs and attractive relative valuations.

HP Inc. (HPQ)

  • Reported quarterly results with mixed underlying dynamics:
    • Revenue of $15.6 billion beat expectations of $14.3 billion; adjusted EPS of $0.83 topped the $0.69 estimate.
    • Despite beating guidance, the stock declined approximately 7% in after-hours trading due to broader consumer hardware margin pressures and PC pricing headwinds.

Takeaways

  • Consumer Hardware Lag: Traditional personal computing hardware continues to face consumer spending friction and inflation pressures, contrasting sharply with the massive capital flows directed toward enterprise data center infrastructure.
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About Amit Kukreja
Amit Kukreja

Amit Kukreja

By @amitinvesting

Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!