NVIDIA HITS ALL TIME HIGHS, MICRON EARNINGS | MARKET CLOSE
NVIDIA HITS ALL TIME HIGHS, MICRON EARNINGS | MARKET CLOSE
317 days agoAmit Kukreja@amitinvesting
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

. 2. An analyst projects Microsoft (MSFT) could reach a $5 trillion market cap in the next 18 months as it monetizes AI with its massive enterprise customer base.

Detailed Analysis

NVIDIA (NVDA)

  • The host describes NVIDIA as the "world's most valuable company," noting it hit an all-time high of $154.45 during the day and is approaching a $4 trillion market cap.
  • Bullish Sentiment: The stock's 4% gain was attributed to a price target increase from Loop Capital to $250. This was described as a "street high target" that inspired investors to reconsider NVIDIA's growth potential.
  • Growth Drivers:
    • The host believes the massive number of ChatGPT downloads (30 million last month) indicates a huge demand for AI products, which directly translates to a greater need for NVIDIA's chips.
    • Strong earnings from Micron (MU), a key supplier, are seen as a positive sign for the entire semiconductor ecosystem, including NVIDIA. The stock moved up in after-hours trading following Micron's report.
  • Risk Factors:
    • China has been a "headwind" for the company. However, the host notes that NVIDIA is signaling to investors that it can grow even without China revenue, and any sales from that region would be a "cherry on top."

Takeaways

  • The sentiment around NVIDIA is overwhelmingly bullish. The discussion suggests that Wall Street may still be underestimating its growth trajectory, as evidenced by the new high price target from Loop Capital.
  • The strong performance of related semiconductor companies like Micron reinforces the bull case for the entire AI sector, with NVIDIA at its core.
  • Investors seem to be looking past the geopolitical risks related to China, focusing instead on the explosive growth in AI adoption as a primary driver for the stock.

Micron (MU)

  • Micron's earnings were a major focus of the episode, described as a "very important one" for the semiconductor sector's momentum.
  • Stellar Earnings Report: Micron reported a major beat on both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue after the market close.
    • EPS: Came in at $1.91 vs. expectations of $1.61. This represents a 208% year-over-year increase.
    • Revenue: Came in at $9.3 billion vs. expectations of $8.8 billion, a 37% year-over-year increase.
  • Extremely Strong Guidance: The company's forecast for the next quarter was significantly higher than Wall Street expected.
    • Q4 EPS Guidance: $2.50 vs. expectations of $2.01.
    • Q4 Revenue Guidance: $10.7 billion, about $300 million more than anticipated.
  • CEO Comments: The CEO highlighted "all-time high DRAM revenue," "nearly 50% sequential growth in high bandwidth memory (HBM)," and data center revenue that "more than doubled year-over-year." This points directly to the AI infrastructure boom.

Takeaways

  • Micron delivered what the host called "astonishing numbers," beating expectations and providing very strong guidance. This is a clear bullish signal for the company.
  • The results confirm that the demand for memory chips, especially those used in AI data centers, is incredibly strong.
  • As a key supplier to companies like NVIDIA, Micron's success is a positive indicator for the health and continued growth of the entire AI and semiconductor sector. Investors who bought the stock recently saw significant gains after the report.

Robinhood (HOOD)

  • The company hit an all-time high of $82.49 on the day of the podcast.
  • Bullish Updates: The host highlighted several positive updates from the company's annual shareholder meeting:
    • Retirement: Now has $18 billion in assets.
    • Robinhood Strategies (Advisory Product): Grew to 100,000 users and $350 million under management since its late April launch.
    • Gold Credit Card: On track to hit 300,000 users by mid-year.
    • Crypto Promotion: A new crypto asset match promotion attracted $14 million in transfers within the first 24 hours.
  • Guest Thesis: A guest on the show, Josh, stated he has been bullish since $15. He believes the stock is not overvalued, even at all-time highs, because major revenue drivers like staking and potential blockchain integration have not been fully realized yet. He speculates a partnership with Ethereum (ETH) could be announced soon.

Takeaways

  • Robinhood is demonstrating strong execution and rapid growth across its new product lines, from retirement to credit cards. This diversification is a key part of the bullish thesis.
  • The company's ability to attract assets, like the $14 million in crypto transfers in one day, shows its marketing and product initiatives are resonating with users.
  • The discussion suggests there are still significant potential catalysts on the horizon, such as a deeper move into blockchain technology, which could provide further upside for the stock.

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • The host discussed two major developments that are extremely positive for Bitcoin.
  • Mortgage Collateral: The Federal Housing Administration (FHA) has officially stated that Bitcoin can be used as collateral for mortgages. This is seen as a massive step in normalizing Bitcoin as a legitimate financial asset.
  • Government Backing: A White House official was quoted saying the U.S. has a plan to "continue buying more Bitcoin."
  • The host argues that these moves mean the U.S. government is now "incentivized to not have Bitcoin collapse," as it would undermine the mortgages it is now backing.

Takeaways

  • The sentiment is extremely bullish. Government acceptance and integration of Bitcoin into the traditional financial system (like mortgages) is a powerful long-term catalyst.
  • This institutional and governmental adoption fundamentally changes the risk profile of Bitcoin, potentially making it a more stable, long-term store of value.
  • These developments could lead to increased demand and a higher price for Bitcoin as it becomes more deeply embedded in the financial system.

Microsoft (MSFT)

  • The stock hit an all-time high and received multiple price target raises, including one to $600 from Wedbush.
  • Dan Ives' Bull Case: Analyst Dan Ives appeared on CNBC and made a strong bullish case for Microsoft.
    • He believes Microsoft could reach a $5 trillion market cap in the next 18 months and that his $600 price target is "probably conservative."
    • His thesis is that for every $100 a customer spends with Microsoft, there is an incremental $50 of AI spend on the table.
    • He called Microsoft the "clear front runner on the enterprise hyperscale AI front," suggesting they are "playing chess and others are playing checkers."

Takeaways

  • The expert view presented is that Microsoft is a leader in the "software phase of AI" and that its growth potential is still not fully priced into the stock.
  • The key takeaway is the massive monetization opportunity from its existing enterprise customer base. The ability to upsell AI services could be an enormous, long-term revenue driver.
  • Despite its massive size, the discussion frames Microsoft as a stock with significant upside potential over the next 1-2 years.

Investment Themes & Other Stocks

Speculation and "High Flyers"

  • The host issued a strong warning about chasing speculative stocks with weak fundamentals, using Surf Air Mobility (SRFM) as a prime example. The company took advantage of a massive stock price run-up to issue new shares (dilution), causing the stock to crash 30%.
  • ASTS (ASTS) was also mentioned for diluting shareholders, though it was described as a more "legit company."
  • Takeaway: Be extremely cautious with stocks that are rising rapidly without clear fundamental reasons. Management teams often use these opportunities to raise capital at the expense of recent buyers. This is what the host means by "no crying in the casino."

Hims & Hers Health (HIMS)

  • The stock is under pressure due to a public dispute with Novo Nordisk over compounded GLP-1 weight-loss drugs.
  • The host is still long the stock, believing the core business is strong and this is not a "thesis breaker."
  • However, a guest with a pharmaceutical background presented a bearish case, arguing that Novo Nordisk likely has a very strong legal position and the situation could lead to significant reputational damage for HIMS.
  • Takeaway: The stock is currently facing significant uncertainty and controversy. Investors are divided, and the outcome of the dispute with Novo Nordisk is a major risk factor.

TSSI (TSSI)

  • A guest presented a bullish deep-dive on this small-cap AI infrastructure company, which is up 100% year-to-date.
  • Bull Case: It's a key partner for Dell, building out complex AI data centers. It's being added to the Russell 2000 index and is growing revenue at a phenomenal rate (526% quarter-over-quarter). The guest argues it is "grossly undervalued" compared to its peers and the broader AI multiple.
  • Risk Case: As a small-cap stock that has run up significantly, the risk of dilution is present. The company also has debt from a recent expansion.
  • Takeaway: TSSI is presented as a high-risk, high-reward way to play the AI infrastructure build-out, potentially offering more upside than larger players like NVIDIA. However, investors must be aware of the risks associated with small-cap stocks, including debt and potential dilution.
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Video Description
twitter: https://x.com/amitisinvesting 00:00 - NVDA 15:00 - Market Close and Micron Earnings 25:00 - Dan Ives on MSFT 45:30 - Josh joins to discuss HOOD and macro 1:35:00 - Mamdani campaign
About Amit Kukreja
Amit Kukreja

Amit Kukreja

By @amitinvesting

Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!