NVIDIA HAS IT'S BEST DAY IN HISTORY, SOFTWARE UP, IREN, MRVL, RBRK, AFRM EARNINGS | MARKET CLOSE
NVIDIA HAS IT'S BEST DAY IN HISTORY, SOFTWARE UP, IREN, MRVL, RBRK, AFRM EARNINGS | MARKET CLOSE
14 hours agoAmit Kukreja@amitinvesting
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

NVIDIA (NVDA) remains the premier artificial intelligence hardware play, backed by projected 70%+ revenue growth and 12-month analyst price targets ranging from $300 to $400.

Recent post-earnings pullbacks in Marvell Technology (MRVL) present a compelling buying opportunity as soaring demand for custom AI silicon supports an increased $18 billion revenue outlook for fiscal year 2028.

Short-term industry supply bottlenecks make Micron Technology (MU) an attractive semiconductor accumulation trade on price dips ahead of broader data center hardware expansion.

For high-risk growth investors, IREN (IREN) offers strong pure-play AI cloud infrastructure upside after securing $4 billion in contracted annual recurring revenue for 2026 while fully phasing out its Bitcoin mining operations.

In cybersecurity, avoid lagging catch-up trades like SentinelOne (S) and wait for better valuations on high-momentum leaders like Rubrik (RBRK) before establishing new positions.

Detailed Analysis

NVIDIA (NVDA)

  • Recorded one of its largest single-day market cap additions in history, adding $442 billion to $480 billion as shares surged approximately 9%.
  • Management projects 70%+ revenue growth for the upcoming year, substantially outpacing previous Wall Street expectations of 40%.
  • CEO Jensen Huang noted that industry-wide high-bandwidth memory supply bottlenecks are lasting longer and are larger than initially anticipated.
  • Wall Street 12-month analyst price targets were cited between $300, $350, and $400, with discussion of reaching $250 by year-end.
    • S&P 500 portfolio weighting limits and broader macroeconomic concerns (inflation, interest rates, geopolitical risks) were highlighted as potential headwinds to near-term multiple expansion.
  • Reportedly acquired AI platform Hugging Face, which recently unveiled an open-source robotics project.
  • Reports emerged that NVIDIA may be ending revenue-sharing agreements with smaller neocloud providers to avoid regulatory and antitrust scrutiny.

Takeaways

  • NVIDIA remains the core beneficiary of exponential AI compute demand, though investors should monitor supply chain memory constraints and valuation limits related to index weighting.

IREN (IREN)

  • Reported Q4 revenue of $137.2 million (AI cloud revenue generated $70.5 million) and a net loss of $684 million, primarily driven by $450.4 million in non-cash impairments from decommissioning bitcoin mining rigs.
  • Guided massive FY27 capital expenditures (CapEx) of $25 billion to $30 billion, supported by $19 billion in total capital raised over the past 12 months (including $6.5 billion in GPU financing).
  • Announced $4 billion in contracted Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) for 2026 capacity ($1 billion operating today), declaring 2026 capacity sold out.
  • Completed delivery of Horizon 1 (50 megawatts) to Microsoft, with Horizons 2 through 4 targeted for delivery in the December quarter.
  • Announced a multi-year deal with an unnamed "leading frontier AI lab," which drew sharp criticism from analysts for lacking transparency regarding the customer's identity and contract value.
  • Confirmed plans to fully decommission remaining bitcoin mining operations by December 2026 to focus exclusively on AI data center infrastructure.

Takeaways

  • IREN offers significant upside as a pure-play energy and AI infrastructure provider with secured land and power, but carries elevated execution risk and dilution concerns due to high CapEx targets and lower revenue transparency compared to peers.

Marvell Technology (MRVL)

  • Delivered record Q2 FY27 revenue of $2.739 billion (up 37% year-over-year) and non-GAAP EPS of $0.94, exceeding guidance midpoint.
    • Data center revenue rose 46% year-over-year to $2.17 billion.
  • Raised full-year FY27 revenue outlook to approximately $12 billion (+45% YoY) and FY28 outlook to $18 billion (+50% YoY).
  • Guided Q3 revenue to $3.15 billion and EPS to $1.10, though the stock slipped 2% to 3% after hours due to slightly softer gross margin targets.
  • Highlighted robust demand for custom silicon (expected to more than double in FY28), optical DSPs (800G and 1.6T), and scale-up data center switching products.
  • Disclosed an expanded commercial custom silicon agreement and warrant structure with a major hyperscaler.

Takeaways

  • Marvell is well-positioned for multi-year acceleration in custom AI silicon and optical interconnect infrastructure, making post-earnings pullbacks attractive entry points for long-term growth.

Rubrik (RBRK)

  • Reported blowout earnings, beating adjusted EPS expectations by over 400% at $0.20 vs. $0.04 expected (+767% YoY).
  • Revenue grew 40% year-over-year to $427 million (beating expectations of $387 million), with subscription ARR up 33% and gross margins reaching 78%.
  • Management raised full-year revenue, free cash flow, and EPS guidance.
  • Despite the strong beat, shares dropped 10% to 11% in after-hours trading after running up from $42 to $121 into all-time highs prior to earnings.

Takeaways

  • Rubrik demonstrates exceptional fundamental execution in data security and cyber recovery, but the post-earnings sell-off illustrates the danger of buying into "priced-to-perfection" momentum at peak valuations.

SentinelOne (S)

  • Reported Q2 EPS of $0.08 vs. $0.07 expected (+100% YoY) and revenue of $291 million vs. $290 million expected (+21% YoY).
  • Shares dropped 10% after hours despite beating top- and bottom-line estimates.
  • Analysts criticized the company as a lagging "catch-up trade," noting its failure to take meaningful enterprise market share following recent outages at primary competitor CrowdStrike.

Takeaways

  • Second-tier cybersecurity providers continue to face execution hurdles against dominant leaders like CrowdStrike and Palo Alto Networks; avoid relying on catch-up trades in highly consolidated sectors.

Micron Technology (MU)

  • Semiconductor memory suppliers have lagged broader hardware rallies despite strong overall AI compute spending.
  • Extended industry memory bottlenecks are dampening short-term sentiment, creating multiple compression.
  • Analysts highlighted plans to accumulate shares while the stock trades under $1,000, with DRAM entry targets noted in the low $50s.

Takeaways

  • With overall AI hardware infrastructure projected to grow over 70%, memory bottlenecks represent a supply timing issue rather than a structural demand drop, presenting accumulation opportunities during pullbacks.

Ulta Beauty (ULTA)

  • Beat Q2 EPS estimates at $6.55 vs. $6.19 expected (+13% YoY) on revenue of $2.74 billion (+9% YoY).
  • Raised full-year EPS guidance to $29.00 per share (up from $28.80 expected).
  • Highlighted steady strength in beauty and cosmetics discretionary spending relative to apparel peers.

Takeaways

  • Ulta remains a resilient consumer staple play with solid pricing power and earnings stability in an uncertain retail consumer backdrop.

Affirm Holdings (AFRM)

  • Beat Q2 revenue expectations by 5% and announced an expanded Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) rollout with Shopify into Australia.
  • Significant EPS upside was heavily driven by a $1.4 billion income tax expense benefit.
  • Continues to separate itself from weaker BNPL competitors like Klarna, maintaining strong credit execution despite cautious consumer sentiment at major retail partners.

Takeaways

  • Affirm is outperforming its fintech competitors through strategic tier-one partnerships, though investors should account for one-off tax items when evaluating core operational profitability.

Gap (GAP)

  • Q2 EPS beat at $0.52 vs. $0.48 expected (+20% YoY), while revenue slightly missed at $3.65 billion vs. $3.69 billion expected.
  • Stock surged 11% to 14.5% in after-hours trading as capital rotated out of extended tech names into defensive, value-oriented apparel retail.

Takeaways

  • Modest operational execution paired with a low valuation multiple can generate sharp upside moves during market rotations toward defensive consumer value.

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • Consolidating around the $80,000 price mark.
  • Benefited from broad-based risk-on sentiment across equity, technology, and alternative asset classes.

Takeaways

  • Bitcoin continues to hold key support levels, remaining a core beneficiary of broad tech liquidity and risk appetite.
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About Amit Kukreja
Amit Kukreja

Amit Kukreja

By @amitinvesting

Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!