NVIDIA HAS A RECORD QUARTER, WILL THE MARKET LET IT RUN? | MARKET OPEN
NVIDIA HAS A RECORD QUARTER, WILL THE MARKET LET IT RUN? | MARKET OPEN
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Quick Insights

NVIDIA (NVDA) is a prime buying opportunity on any pullback toward the $200 level, backed by historic revenue guidance and upgraded Wall Street price targets ranging from $300 to $515.

With Bitcoin (BTC) establishing solid support above $80,000, investors can gain leveraged upside through Coinbase (COIN) as it targets a technical move toward $230.

Palantir Technologies (PLTR) is primed for a momentum trade, where a clean breakout above the $185 to $186 resistance level opens a short-term path toward $190 to $200.

Within the AI hardware supply chain, buy Amkor Technology (AMKR) for potential upside toward a newly initiated $70 price target, while using current weakness to accumulate undervalued shares of Micron Technology (MU).

Meta Platforms (META) stands out as an attractive mega-cap value investment after clearing a major legal overhang, whereas investors should wait for pullbacks rather than chasing recent post-earnings spikes in Salesforce (CRM) and CrowdStrike (CRWD).

Detailed Analysis

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)

  • Record Q2 Results: NVIDIA reported quarterly revenue of $96 billion (up 106% year-over-year), with data center revenue reaching $89 billion, GAAP EPS surging 128% year-over-year, and gross margins holding near 75%. The company also repurchased $26 billion in stock and guided Q3 revenue to $108 billion.
  • Historic Forward Guidance: NVIDIA set a floor of 70% revenue growth for the next year, well above consensus Wall Street estimates of 40%. Management noted that unconstrained demand exceeds 100%, but current revenue is bounded by supply chain bottlenecks (memory, advanced packaging, and data center buildouts).
  • Strategic Supply Commitments & Acquisitions: The company has committed nearly $300 billion in multi-year purchase obligations to secure key supply chain components (such as memory and wafers). Additionally, reports indicate NVIDIA acquired AI hub Hugging Face for $13 billion to strengthen its open-source and developer distribution moat.
  • Valuation & Price Target Upgrades: Analysts aggressively raised targets following the print:
    • UBS: Raised from $352 to $515
    • Raymond James: Upgraded to $515
    • Melius Research: Raised to $400 to $425
    • Bernstein: Raised to $315 to $400
    • Goldman Sachs: Raised to $285 to $300
    • JP Morgan: Raised to $280 to $320
    • Citi / Mizuho / Stifel: Raised to $300 to $315

Takeaways

  • NVIDIA is currently trading at a highly attractive forward valuation (PEG ratio around 0.5 to 0.6), making any dip below the $200 level a major buying opportunity.
  • The company's multi-year visibility, pricing power, and ecosystem lock-in provide strong downside protection, with fair value fundamentally aligning toward the $250 to $300+ range once broader macroeconomic overhangs clear.

Salesforce Inc. (CRM)

  • Earnings Surge: The stock rose 14% to 18% after posting a strong quarter, marking one of its best single-day performances in years.
  • Anthropic Partnership: Salesforce announced a major collaboration with Anthropic, rebranding its AI agent offering to ClaudeForce.
  • Market Reception vs. Reality: While the partnership provides strong public relations by pairing the top enterprise CRM with a leading AI foundation model, the functionality primarily allows customers to query Salesforce CRM data via Claude. However, the market viewed the alliance as validation that AI foundation models will partner with enterprise SaaS rather than disrupt it.

Takeaways

  • The Anthropic partnership removes immediate existential disruption fears, providing strong sentiment relief for the stock.
  • Investors should avoid chasing the immediate double-digit post-earnings spike and instead look for pullbacks to build or add to long-term positions.

CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD)

  • Accelerating Growth: CrowdStrike reported accelerating revenue growth of 26% year-over-year (up from 23% in the prior period), sending the stock up 14% to 18%.
  • Valuation Concerns: Despite solid operational execution and the market's enthusiasm for AI-driven cybersecurity demand, the stock trades at an exceptionally rich valuation multiple while still lacking sustained GAAP profitability.

Takeaways

  • The risk-to-reward profile for entering net-new positions at current extended levels is unfavorable.
  • Investors holding existing positions may consider holding for ongoing momentum, but new capital should wait for meaningful consolidation or pullbacks.

Palantir Technologies (PLTR)

  • Technical Breakout: Palantir rallied over 4%, breaking through long-standing resistance at $180 to trade around $184 to $185, its highest level in roughly eight to nine months.
  • SaaS Sector Tailwinds: The stock is benefiting from the broad rotation back into enterprise software (reflected in a 6% surge in the IGV software ETF).

Takeaways

  • Palantir is testing heavy resistance in the $185 to $186 zone; a clean breakout with volume opens a path toward $190 to $200.
  • If running covered call strategies, look at strikes in the $190 to $195 range rather than selling calls too close to the money during strong sector-wide momentum.

Bitcoin (BTC) & Crypto-Linked Equities (HOOD, COIN, MSTR)

  • Crypto Price Action: Bitcoin reclaimed and broke through the $80,000 level, signaling strong support and reducing the likelihood of a retest of the $60,000 range.
  • Equity Beneficiaries:
    • Robinhood (HOOD): Pushing toward $110 to $112.
    • Coinbase (COIN): Gaining momentum around $191, with technical upside toward $230 if Bitcoin targets $100K.
    • MicroStrategy (MSTR): Up at $132, showing strong leverage to Bitcoin's price trajectory.

Takeaways

  • Bitcoin stabilizing above $80,000 provides a favorable backdrop for crypto-native equities.
  • For equity investors, HOOD and COIN offer direct operational leverage to increased trading volumes and retail engagement as crypto assets push toward higher cycle targets.

AI Hardware & Supply Chain (MU, AMKR, MRVL, IREN)

  • Micron Technology (MU): The stock declined despite NVIDIA confirming that high-bandwidth memory (HBM) remains the primary bottleneck for AI accelerators. The market continues to discount memory stocks due to fears over peak cyclical pricing.
  • Amkor Technology (AMKR): Rallied 6% to 7% after Bank of America initiated coverage with a $70 price target, highlighting its critical role in advanced packaging for NVIDIA.
  • Marvell Technology (MRVL): Positioned well for AI networking and custom silicon demand heading into its earnings report.
  • Iris Energy (IREN): The market is awaiting tangible multi-billion-dollar enterprise/hyperscaler contract announcements to validate its contracted power and data center capacity.

Takeaways

  • Memory names like MU remain fundamentally undervalued relative to guaranteed multi-year demand, offering attractive risk/reward for patient investors willing to look past short-term pricing sentiment.
  • NeoCloud and data center infrastructure providers like IREN must demonstrate concrete deal execution rather than just contracted capacity to earn higher valuation multiples.

Zeta Global Holdings (ZETA)

  • New Highs: Zeta crossed the psychological $30 milestone (up over 6%), establishing a firm trading base in the upper $20s to low $30s compared to its mid-teens lows earlier in the year.
  • Fundamentals: The company carries an attractive valuation of roughly a $7 billion market cap on approximately $2 billion in revenue while showing consistent growth.

Takeaways

  • Reclaiming the $30 handle improves technical visibility and attracts institutional momentum.
  • Long-term investors should let positions run, but avoid chasing intraday spikes at the $30 resistance level without broader market confirmation.

Meta Platforms (META)

  • Legal Settlement Clarity: Meta settled a major state lawsuit regarding youth safety for up to $17 billion ($11.66 billion guaranteed paid over 10 years, with the remainder contingent on industry-wide adoption by competitors like TikTok and YouTube).
  • AI Infrastructure Usage: Reports indicate Meta continues to spend heavily on third-party frontier AI models (such as Anthropic) while internally developing its own proprietary models ("Watermelon" and "Muse").

Takeaways

  • The settlement removes a major legal overhang with minimal immediate cash flow disruption due to the 10-year installment structure.
  • Meta remains one of the most value-attractive Mega-Cap tech names, well-positioned to directly monetize AI through advertising optimization.

Lucid Group (LCID)

  • Spike on Recycled News: Lucid jumped 9% to 11% intraday following mainstream media reports highlighting a position disclosure by Donald Trump.
  • Context: The reported trade was an older, relatively small purchase (under $50,000 from late June) rather than a fresh fundamental catalyst.

Takeaways

  • The intraday price surge is driven by retail momentum and recycled news rather than fundamental improvement.
  • Investors should be wary of chasing this spike, as low-conviction momentum rallies in unprofitable EV names tend to fade quickly.
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Video Description
twitter: https://x.com/amitisinvesting deepdives: https://amitsdeepdives.substack.com/ free news terminal - https://caktusjxck.com/ 00:00 - Intro 07:40 - NVDA 22:00 - Software 30:00 - Neoclouds 41:30 - Trump 44:00 - Market Open 1:29:00 - META 1:32:00 - Stacey 2:35:00 - SNPS CEO 2:42:00 - Dylan Patel
About Amit Kukreja
Amit Kukreja

Amit Kukreja

By @amitinvesting

Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!