NVDA Q3 2025 EARNINGS LIVE | JENSEN HUANG SPEAKS
NVDA Q3 2025 EARNINGS LIVE | JENSEN HUANG SPEAKS
171 days agoAmit Kukreja@amitinvesting
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

NVIDIA (NVDA) remains the highest conviction investment in the AI theme, with its recent earnings and guidance crushing expectations and validating its market dominance. Given its explosive growth, the stock's forward P/E ratio of around 27x is considered reasonable, making any significant price dips a potential buying opportunity. For investors seeking AI exposure beyond a single stock, Google (GOOG) presents a powerful alternative with its own custom silicon, massive datasets, and advancing Gemini models. A more aggressive, higher-risk strategy involves investing in "NeoCloud" companies like CoreWeave and Nebius, which are direct beneficiaries of the AI infrastructure buildout. The strong demand for NVIDIA's GPUs, which these companies provide, reinforces their growth thesis.

Detailed Analysis

NVIDIA (NVDA)

  • The podcast hosts and guests were overwhelmingly bullish on NVIDIA both before and after the earnings report. The sentiment is that NVIDIA is the single most important company for the market and the entire AI investment thesis.
  • Q3 2025 Earnings Results were a significant beat:
    • Revenue: $57 billion, beating expectations of $56 billion. This represents a 62% year-over-year (YoY) growth.
    • EPS: $1.30, beating the expected $1.26.
    • Data Center Revenue: A massive $51.2 billion, showing 66% YoY growth. The hosts noted this was a reacceleration of growth, which was a key question going into the report.
    • Networking Revenue: Reached $8 billion, up an incredible 162% YoY, highlighting NVIDIA's success in selling entire data center solutions, not just GPUs.
  • Q4 2025 Guidance was the biggest highlight:
    • NVIDIA guided for $65 billion in revenue for the next quarter, smashing the street's expectation of $61 billion.
    • The hosts noted that NVIDIA is known for guiding conservatively, implying the actual number could be even higher (potentially $68 billion).
  • Key Commentary from CEO Jensen Huang's call:
    • Demand is overwhelming: "Blackwell sales are off the charts and cloud GPUs are sold out." This directly counters the "AI bubble" fear that data centers are being overbuilt.
    • Older GPUs are still in high demand: Huang mentioned that even Ampere GPUs, which are six years old, are fully utilized. This challenges the bear argument that GPUs have a short, 3-year depreciation cycle.
    • $500 Billion visibility has upside: The company confirmed its visibility into $500 billion in Blackwell and Rubin revenue through the end of calendar year 2026, and stated there is potential upside from new deals like the one with Anthropic and expanded sales to the Middle East.
    • Increasing value per data center: NVIDIA's revenue per gigawatt of data center is increasing with each generation:
      • Hopper generation: $20-25 billion
      • Blackwell generation: $30 billion+
      • Rubin generation: Even higher
    • Strategic Investments are a strength: The company's investments in AI companies like OpenAI and Anthropic are framed as a way to expand the CUDA ecosystem, secure demand, and gain a financial stake in "once-in-a-generation" companies. The deal with Anthropic is a major win, as Anthropic was previously using competitor chips from Amazon and Google.

Takeaways

  • The investment thesis for NVIDIA was strongly validated. The company is executing at a scale and growth rate never seen before for a company of its size.
  • Fears of an "AI bubble" or slowing demand appear unfounded based on the company's results and forward guidance. The "sold out" commentary suggests demand continues to outstrip supply.
  • The stock is trading at a forward P/E ratio of around 27x after the report, which the hosts consider "reasonable" and "cheaper than most of the Mag 7" given its explosive growth.
  • Any significant pullback in the stock price following these strong results could be viewed as a buying opportunity, as the company's fundamental value has increased.
  • NVIDIA's dominance seems to be increasing. Winning over a major customer like Anthropic from competitors and seeing customers return to NVIDIA after trying other solutions reinforces its market leadership.

Google (GOOG)

  • The hosts expressed a bullish sentiment on Google as a major AI player.
  • The release of its Gemini 3.0 model the day before NVIDIA's earnings was seen as a very positive development for the AI space, proving that model capabilities are still advancing rapidly.
  • Google is viewed as a "return of the king" in the AI race, with significant advantages:
    • It has its own custom silicon (TPUs).
    • It has massive proprietary datasets from YouTube and Google Search.
    • It generates enormous free cash flow, allowing it to offer many AI services for free.
  • NVIDIA and Google have a partnership where enterprises can buy NVIDIA servers to run Gemini models on-premise, which could be a long-term tailwind for NVIDIA as Gemini's popularity grows.

Takeaways

  • Google is a formidable competitor and key player in the AI ecosystem. Its success with models like Gemini helps validate the entire AI trend, which indirectly benefits NVIDIA.
  • Investors looking for AI exposure beyond NVIDIA might consider Google, which is seen as being in a powerful position with its combination of cash, data, and proprietary hardware.

Data Center & "NeoCloud" Plays (CoreWeave, Nebius, Iren, Cipher)

  • These stocks are seen as direct beneficiaries of NVIDIA's success and the broader AI buildout.
  • Their stock prices reacted very positively to NVIDIA's earnings in after-hours trading:
    • Nebius was up 11%.
    • CoreWeave was up 7%.
    • Iren was up 8%.
  • CoreWeave was mentioned frequently as a key "NeoCloud" partner and a recipient of a large investment from NVIDIA. The hosts noted that the health of these smaller players and their debt profiles is a concern for some investors.
  • During the earnings call, Jensen Huang gave a shout-out to the "NeoClouds" like CoreWeave and Nebius, stating they play a valuable role in the ecosystem.

Takeaways

  • These smaller data center and cloud companies are a higher-risk, higher-reward way to invest in the AI infrastructure theme.
  • Their performance is highly correlated with NVIDIA's. Positive news from NVIDIA serves as a strong bullish signal for these stocks, as it validates the demand for the GPU capacity they provide.
  • Investors should be aware of the risks, particularly the debt loads these companies are taking on to finance their GPU purchases. However, NVIDIA's explicit support and investment provide a degree of validation.

Bitcoin (BTC) & Ethereum (ETH)

  • The cryptocurrencies were mentioned as having been hit hard prior to the earnings report but saw a significant pump immediately following NVIDIA's strong results.
  • Bitcoin was noted to have jumped $1,500 and reclaimed the $90,000 level in the moments after the report was released.
  • This price action shows a correlation between the health of the lead "risk-on" asset (NVIDIA) and the crypto market.

Takeaways

  • Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies are currently trading in line with high-growth tech stocks and the broader "risk-on" sentiment.
  • Positive macro events or overwhelmingly strong earnings from market leaders like NVIDIA can provide a tailwind for crypto prices. Investors in this space should monitor the health of the broader tech market as an indicator.
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About Amit Kukreja
Amit Kukreja

Amit Kukreja

By @amitinvesting

Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!