MORE TARIFFS GOING LIVE, NEW PALANTIR DEAL, COULD APPLE BUY OUT PERPLEXITY | MARKET OPEN
MORE TARIFFS GOING LIVE, NEW PALANTIR DEAL, COULD APPLE BUY OUT PERPLEXITY | MARKET OPEN
304 days agoAmit Kukreja@amitinvesting
YouTube3 hr 27 min
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

NVIDIA (NVDA) continues to show strength, with analysts targeting $180-$190 per share driven by massive demand for its AI chips from governments and enterprises. For Palantir (PLTR), the upcoming Q2 earnings report is the key catalyst, as investors will be watching for top-line revenue growth to approach the 40% mark. Robinhood (HOOD) is another name to watch ahead of its July 30th earnings, with its AI product launches and asset tokenization plans forming the core bullish case. Positive momentum from industry leader SpaceX could lift the entire space sector, benefiting publicly traded companies like Rocket Lab (RKLB). Finally, keep an eye on SoFi (SOFI), as the $20 price level remains a critical technical and psychological barrier for the stock to overcome.

Detailed Analysis

NVIDIA (NVDA)

  • The host and the market were heavily focused on NVIDIA, which successfully crossed the $4 trillion market cap milestone during the session, with the stock price hitting $164.
  • The host noted that despite the massive run-up, the stock may not be overly expensive. He cited an analyst view of $4.50 in earnings per share (EPS) and a 40x multiple, which would imply a price target of $180.
  • Citi raised its price target on NVDA to $190, citing a surge in demand from governments building their own AI infrastructure (sovereign AI).
  • Other bullish catalysts mentioned include easing supply chain bottlenecks for the new Blackwell chips and the potential for a compliant chip for the China market, which could be a significant source of new revenue.
  • NVIDIA posted a "savage" tweet highlighting that OpenAI has no plans to use Google's custom chips, reinforcing the view that NVIDIA's chips remain superior.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Extremely Bullish. The host is long the stock and celebrated the $4 trillion milestone as a historic moment for the market and the AI revolution.
  • Actionable Insight: The discussion suggests that even at all-time highs, there may be further upside for NVIDIA. The combination of strong demand, easing supply issues, and new market opportunities (like sovereign AI and China) provides a strong fundamental case. However, investors should be aware that the risk/reward is different now than it was at lower prices.

SoFi (SOFI)

  • The key price level discussed for SoFi is $20. The stock opened above this level but struggled to hold it throughout the session.
  • The host mentioned he is holding long-term call options (January 2026) on SoFi, expressing trust in CEO Anthony Noto to keep the stock above $20 in the long run.
  • He noted that holding the options until 2026 would also provide tax benefits by pushing any potential capital gains into the 2027 tax year.
  • SoFi was mentioned as having an AI-driven stock analysis feature, similar to Robinhood's new "Cortex" tool.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Bullish, with a long-term perspective.
  • Actionable Insight: The $20 mark is a critical psychological and technical level for SoFi. Investors are watching to see if the stock can close and hold above this price. The host's strategy highlights a long-term bullish conviction, suggesting that near-term volatility around the $20 level may be less concerning for those with a multi-year outlook.

Palantir (PLTR)

  • Palantir announced a new partnership with Tomorrow.io, a weather intelligence and resilience platform.
  • The host described this as a smaller, "under the radar" deal that won't significantly move the stock but demonstrates the diversity of Palantir's customer base and use cases.
  • For the upcoming Q2 earnings report (expected in early August), the host stated that the market is looking for top-line revenue growth to hit 40%. He believes the stock can survive another quarter in the high 30s, but a dip below 35% would be viewed negatively.
  • The stock has been trading flat recently, and the host believes it needs to "mature into its valuation" by delivering strong growth numbers.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Cautiously Bullish. The host is positive on the company's progress but emphasizes that upcoming earnings are critical.
  • Actionable Insight: The key catalyst for Palantir in the near term is its Q2 earnings report. Investors should watch the revenue growth figure closely, with 40% being the magic number the market wants to see. The stock's performance will likely depend on its ability to meet or exceed these high growth expectations.

Apple (AAPL)

  • Prominent analyst Dan Ives suggested that Apple should acquire AI search company Perplexity for $30 billion.
  • The host viewed this suggestion as a sign of "desperation," indicating that Apple is perceived as being "dead last" in the AI race. While he thinks Apple should do the deal, he doubts Perplexity is willing to sell.
  • A major risk factor mentioned is the political pressure for Apple to bring manufacturing back to the United States and the potential for tariffs on its products.
  • Historically, July has been a strong month for Apple, and the host mentioned a historical pattern could see the stock rise to around $225.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Bearish on its current AI strategy, but neutral on the stock price due to historical trends.
  • Actionable Insight: Apple's lack of a clear, in-house AI strategy is a significant concern. The discussion around acquiring Perplexity highlights this weakness. Investors should monitor any developments in Apple's AI plans and be aware of the ongoing geopolitical risks related to tariffs and manufacturing.

Hims & Hers (HIMS)

  • Hims & Hers announced plans to expand into Canada in 2026. The stock initially jumped on the news but later gave back most of its gains.
  • The host, who is long the stock, discussed the common argument that Hims lacks a strong moat, with its success being driven more by aggressive marketing than proprietary technology.
  • A bullish point mentioned is that a former VP of Product from Robinhood recently joined Hims, which could lead to faster product innovation and a better user experience, potentially strengthening its competitive advantage.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Bullish.
  • Actionable Insight: The expansion into Canada is a positive long-term development. The key debate for investors is whether the company's brand and user experience can create a durable moat. The addition of key talent from a successful product-led company like Robinhood is a positive sign for future growth.

Robinhood (HOOD)

  • Robinhood officially launched Cortex, a new AI-powered feature that provides users with a digest of information about stocks, including why they are moving.
  • The host reiterated his belief that Robinhood's 3% IRA match is a key part of its moat, as legacy brokerages cannot easily replicate the offer due to different cost structures.
  • The company is also pioneering the tokenization of assets, which the host believes could be an "iPhone moment" for the company if they can successfully tokenize assets like private company stock and real estate.
  • Earnings are scheduled for July 30th.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Bullish.
  • Actionable Insight: Robinhood is aggressively innovating with AI features like Cortex and long-term strategic initiatives like asset tokenization. These developments, combined with its popular IRA match program, form the core of the bullish thesis. The upcoming earnings report on July 30th will be a key event for investors.

Investment Themes & Other Opportunities

Ethereum "Treasuries" (BMNR, SBET, BTBT)

  • These stocks, which aim to be the "MicroStrategy of Ethereum," saw extreme volatility.
  • BMNR was a focus, having run up dramatically in previous days. However, during the session, the company announced a $2 billion at-the-market offering.
  • This news caused the stock to crash, falling from over $120 to below $60. The host used this as a prime example of the risks of "chasing momentum" in highly speculative stocks.
  • SBET, which was up over 17% in the pre-market, also reversed course and ended the day in the red.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Very Bearish/Cautious.
  • Actionable Insight: This is a high-risk, high-reward theme. The dramatic collapse of BMNR after its offering announcement serves as a stark warning about the dangers of investing in story-driven, momentum stocks without strong fundamentals. Investors should be extremely cautious and understand the potential for massive dilution and price swings.

Space Sector (SpaceX, RKLB)

  • SpaceX (a private company) is reportedly raising a new funding round at a $400 billion valuation, a significant increase from its previous $350 billion valuation.
  • SpaceX also received a license to launch its Starlink commercial operations in India, a massive market.
  • The host noted that this positive news for SpaceX is bullish for the entire publicly-traded space sector.
  • Rocket Lab (RKLB) was specifically mentioned as a beneficiary of this positive sentiment.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Bullish on the overall sector.
  • Actionable Insight: Strong positive developments for the industry leader, SpaceX, can lift the entire sector. Investors looking for exposure to the growing space economy could consider publicly traded companies like Rocket Lab (RKLB) as a way to participate in the theme.

YieldMax ETFs (MISTY, PLTY)

  • The host discussed the strategy behind YieldMax ETFs like Misty (MISTY), which uses synthetic covered calls on an underlying stock (MicroStrategy in this case) to generate a high dividend yield.
  • He explained that the high yield is a return of capital, and the biggest risk is NAV erosion, meaning the ETF's share price can decline significantly, especially in a bear market for the underlying stock.
  • He warned against buying YieldMax ETFs on stocks that are trading at all-time highs, such as PLTY (for Palantir), because a correction in the underlying stock would lead to a sharp drop in the ETF's price.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Neutral, with a strong emphasis on understanding the risks.
  • Actionable Insight: These are complex products designed for income generation, not capital appreciation. The primary risk is the loss of principal if the underlying asset falls. The best time to consider these ETFs is when the underlying stock is beaten down, not when it is at an all-time high.

Crypto Adoption

  • A major airline, Emirates, announced it will begin accepting Bitcoin (BTC) and other cryptocurrencies for flight payments.
  • The host sees this as a "pretty wild" and bullish development for the legitimacy and real-world utility of cryptocurrencies.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Bullish.
  • Actionable Insight: Mainstream adoption by major global companies like Emirates is a key long-term catalyst for the crypto space. This signals growing acceptance and could pave the way for more use cases beyond just speculative investment.
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twitter: https://x.com/amitisinvesting 00:00 - Intro 07:00 - Apple 44:00 - Market Close 1:00:00 - Nvidia 2:43:00 - SNAP CEO 3:12:00 - Jeffries
About Amit Kukreja
Amit Kukreja

Amit Kukreja

By @amitinvesting

Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!