MARKETS TAKE A DIP, TESLA NEW CARS, TECHNICAL TUESDAY | MARKET CLOSE
MARKETS TAKE A DIP, TESLA NEW CARS, TECHNICAL TUESDAY | MARKET CLOSE
214 days agoAmit Kukreja@amitinvesting
YouTube3 hr 55 min
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Consider UnitedHealth (UNH) as an immediate trade, as it is breaking out above $362.57 with a target of $377-$380. For NVIDIA (NVDA), a pullback to the $180 area is identified as a strong technical buying opportunity. Analysts are very bullish on Super Micro Computer (SMCI), viewing it as a "layup" with a near-term price target in the $60s. Watch Palantir (PLTR) for a breakout above the key $190 resistance level, which could trigger a move towards the next target of $215. In cryptocurrency, a pullback in Ethereum (ETH) to the $4,200 level is seen as an attractive zone to add to positions.

Detailed Analysis

Tesla (TSLA)

  • Tesla announced two new, more affordable car models: the Model 3 standard for $36,990 and the Model Y standard for $39,990.
  • The market sentiment was bearish on the announcement, with the stock falling around 4%. The price point was not considered as "affordable" as many had hoped (under $35,000).
  • There are concerns that these new models might "cannibalize" sales of the more expensive premium models without creating enough new sales volume to significantly boost growth.
  • On the positive side, the range for both new models is a solid 320 miles.
  • Technical Analysis (TA): The stock is testing a critical support level at $414.50 - $415, which was its 2021 all-time high.
    • A break below $415 would be very bearish and could lead to a rapid decline.
    • The area around $415 is considered a near-term "buy zone" from a trading perspective.
    • A deeper pullback could find support in the $370s. Despite a potential dip, the long-term prevailing uptrend is still considered intact.

Takeaways

  • The market's reaction to the new models was negative. Investors should watch sales data over the next year to see if these models truly increase overall sales volume or just shift sales from higher-margin cars.
  • From a technical standpoint, $415 is the key price to watch. A sustained hold above this level is bullish, while a break below could signal further downside. Traders might see a dip to this level as a buying opportunity, but with a clear stop if it breaks.

Oracle (ORCL)

  • The stock experienced significant intraday volatility, dropping as much as 7% on a negative report from The Information. The report claimed Oracle was losing money on renting out NVIDIA's latest chips and had very low profit margins (16%) on the business.
  • This news temporarily dragged down other AI-related stocks.
  • Oracle's management aggressively refuted the report, calling it "stupid" and inaccurate. NVIDIA's CEO also commented, stating he believes Oracle will be "wildly profitable."
  • The podcast host explains that the accounting for this business model can be misleading initially. Oracle incurs the high upfront costs of buying and installing GPUs immediately, while the revenue from renting them out ramps up over time, which can temporarily pressure margins.
  • Analysts at Goldman Sachs and Mizuho viewed the dip as a buying opportunity.
  • Oracle is hosting an AI World Day and a Financial Analyst Day soon, where they are expected to provide clarity on the profitability of their AI infrastructure business.

Takeaways

  • The sharp dip in Oracle was caused by a disputed media report. The company's strong denial, coupled with support from NVIDIA's CEO, suggests the market may have overreacted.
  • Investors should pay close attention to Oracle's upcoming investor events for official details on their AI margins and growth strategy. The pullback could represent an entry point for those bullish on Oracle's role as a major AI cloud provider.

NVIDIA (NVDA)

  • CEO Jensen Huang is bullish, stating that competitor/customer Oracle will be "wildly profitable" from its AI chip rental business.
  • Elon Musk's XAI is reportedly raising $20 billion, with NVIDIA as a key investor. However, it appears to be a creative debt deal where XAI will use $2 billion of NVIDIA's investment to buy $2 billion worth of NVIDIA GPUs.
  • TA: The stock has broken out above $184 but is currently retesting that level.
    • A move above $187.50 would provide a secondary confirmation of the breakout.
    • A "better dip buy" opportunity exists around the $180 level, where multiple technical indicators converge. The ideal buy zone is between $179.98 and $182.

Takeaways

  • NVIDIA continues to be at the center of the AI universe, with its GPUs being the critical component for major players like XAI.
  • For investors looking for an entry point, a pullback to the $180 area is identified as a strong technical buying opportunity. A break above $187.50 could signal the next leg up.

AMD (AMD)

  • The stock had a massive move up after a major positive announcement, with some traders reportedly doubling their accounts.
  • TA: The stock showed a classic technical pattern: it broke out, pulled back to retest the exact breakout level ($164.50), and then exploded higher.
    • It is currently holding its first extension target at $205.37.
    • If it stays above $210.98, the next targets are $224 and then $245.
    • A potential pullback could find strong support and a buying opportunity around $185.

Takeaways

  • AMD's recent news has been a major positive catalyst.
  • The stock is in a strong uptrend. For those who missed the initial move, a dip to the $185 level is highlighted as a potential entry point. For current holders, the next key levels to watch are $224 and $245.

SoFi (SOFI)

  • The stock had a strong day, rising over 6%.
  • Positive momentum is attributed to a combination of factors: positive news around student loans, the potential for a rate-cutting environment, and a potential deal to buy loans from the government.
  • TA: The stock successfully bounced off the bottom of its long-term channel support.
    • A monthly close above $26.61 is key to keeping the uptrend intact.
    • A breakout above $30.30 could lead to a move towards $34.50 - $35.
    • In the near term, as long as it holds $27.85, the next target is $28.75.

Takeaways

  • SoFi is benefiting from a favorable macro and company-specific news environment.
  • The technical picture is improving. A break above the $30 resistance level could unlock significant upside, with $35 being a potential target that aligns with fundamental expectations for a strong quarter.

Robinhood (HOOD)

  • The host is very bullish on the upcoming earnings report in early November, expecting the company to "print" money. He anticipates a run-up in the stock price leading into the report.
  • TA: The stock recently hit its $150 upside target and is now in a resting or consolidation phase.
    • A dip to around $140 is possible.
    • A deeper, more attractive buying opportunity would be in the $132 - $137 range.
    • The analyst expects about a week of sideways-to-down action before another rally into the earnings announcement.

Takeaways

  • Expectations are very high for Robinhood's next earnings report. The period leading up to the announcement could be volatile but is expected to trend upwards.
  • Investors looking to enter or add to a position could watch for a dip into the $130s for a better risk/reward entry point.

Palantir (PLTR)

  • The stock has been trading sideways for about 20 days and appears to be coiling for a significant move.
  • TA: The key resistance and breakout level is $190. There is a "wall of sellers" at this price that the stock has been chipping away at.
    • The stock is forming a series of higher lows, bouncing off an ascending trendline. This is a constructive, bullish pattern.
    • If it successfully breaks through the $190 resistance, the next major target is around $215.

Takeaways

  • Palantir is in a consolidation pattern, which typically resolves in a strong move up or down. The current pattern appears bullish.
  • A breakout above $190 is the key signal for the next leg up. Investors could watch this level closely. The target for a successful breakout is $215.

Cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin (BTC) & Ethereum (ETH)

  • Both cryptocurrencies experienced a pullback, with Bitcoin falling from $125,000 to $121,000 and Ethereum from $4,700 to $4,400.
  • Despite the dip, institutional interest is high, with a record $5.95 billion in net inflows into crypto ETFs last week.
  • A new dynamic in the market is the emergence of "DATs" (Digital Asset Treasuries), which are corporate entities buying and holding crypto, adding a new source of demand.
  • TA (BTC): A standard pullback could take it to the $117,000 - $118,000 range, which would be a retest of its prior breakout. A bounce from there would be bullish.
  • TA (ETH): The analyst believes Ethereum may start to outperform Bitcoin during this pullback. The major buying opportunity was at $3,800. The current dip could find support, but a deeper pullback to $4,200 is possible and would be a "great reloading zone."

Takeaways

  • The recent dip is seen as a normal pullback within a larger uptrend, driven by strong institutional inflows.
  • For investors, a dip in Bitcoin to the $117k-$118k area could be an entry point. For Ethereum, a pullback to $4,200 is seen as an attractive level to add to positions. The previous major buy zone was $3,800.

Investment Themes & Other Stocks

AI & Data Center Plays

  • IREN (IREN): The company is raising up to $1 billion through convertible notes. This is seen as a smart strategic move to fund growth (buying GPUs, land) in a bull market. A technical pullback to the $50 - $52 range is seen as a potential buying opportunity.
  • Nebius (NBIS): After a dip on the Oracle news, the stock is considered a buy "literally right now" around $115-$120. A move over $123 could signal a run towards $150.
  • Dell (DELL): Very bullish outlook. The company doubled its revenue and EPS growth forecasts (8% and 15% respectively), citing massive demand for AI infrastructure.
  • Super Micro Computer (SMCI): The analyst is very bullish, viewing it as a "layup." He believes the company is poised to report its "best quarter ever" due to its position in the server market for AI. The next target is in the $60s, potentially heading towards $70 or $80 long-term.
  • Crypto Miners Pivoting to AI (IREN, CIFR, etc.): A major theme is Bitcoin miners repurposing their facilities (real estate, power access) to become data center plays for AI, renting out space and compute to hyperscalers like Google. This has caused their stocks to pivot dramatically. While potentially "bubblicious," it's a powerful narrative driving these stocks higher.

Healthcare Sector

  • General Theme: The podcast featured a guest who believes the market rally needs to broaden into other sectors, highlighting Healthcare as an area with attractive growth and valuations.
  • UnitedHealth (UNH): The technical setup is described as "trade on right now." It's breaking out above $362.57 and looks poised for a quick move to the $377-$380 area to fill a price gap.

Space Sector

  • Rocket Lab (RKLB): Hit an all-time high. While considered expensive, the host is a long-term bull, viewing it as a "smaller SpaceX." A healthy pullback to the $52 - $54 "hot zone" would be a prime buying opportunity. The next upside target is $68.62.
  • AST SpaceMobile (ASTS): Made a new all-time high even after announcing a dilutive stock offering, showing immense market appetite for the space sector. A pullback to the $58 area would be a buying opportunity, though it seems far off.

Other Notable Mentions

  • Netflix (NFLX): The technical chart looks very constructive after a double-bottom retest. A move over $11.73 is a key bullish signal, with a clear path to $12.50. The analyst likes the setup.
  • Amazon (AMZN): The analyst is starting to "nibble" at the stock, seeing the bears' inability to push it lower as a sign of strength. He sees a path to $275 next year, post-earnings.
  • PayPal (PYPL): The chart is showing signs of life, breaking out of a long-term base. A pre-earnings run-up to the $75-$80 range is possible. A sustained move higher would require a fundamental business turnaround.
  • Meta (META): The chart is in a downtrend and faces significant overhead resistance. The analyst is cautious, stating it needs to get above $735 to be bullish again. A miss on earnings could send it to $670 or lower.
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Video Description
twitter: https://x.com/amitisinvesting 00:00 - Tesla New Cars 15:00 - Market Close 35:00 - TSLA TA 40:00 - SOFI TA 44:50 - RKLB TA 49:50 - HOOD TA 54:52 - PLTR TA 1:00:00 - BMNR TA 1:05:10 - SPY TA 1:10:50 - NVDA TA 1:14:57 - AMD TA 1:20:48 - META TA 1:26:05 - AMZN TA 1:32:00 - PYPL TA 1:37:10 - RDDT TA 1:39:45 - NFLX TA 1:48:40 - NBIS TA 1:55:15 - GRAB TA 2:00:42 - IREN TA 2:03:45 - SMCI TA 2:09:08 - BULL TA 2:11:00 - OSCR TA 2:14:30 - CRM TA 2:18:07 - UNH TA 2:20:45 - GOOGL TA 2:24:05 - MSTR TA 2:35:00 - Rapid Fire
About Amit Kukreja
Amit Kukreja

Amit Kukreja

By @amitinvesting

Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!