
Alphabet (GOOGL) is a high-conviction buy as its inclusion in the Dow Jones Industrial Average on June 29th creates a structural tailwind; look for support between $340 - $350 with a price target of $380. For NVIDIA (NVDA), use any dips toward the $190 support level as a dollar-cost averaging opportunity, targeting an eventual move to $260. Micron (MU) remains a "screaming buy" if it reaches the $750 - $780 range, though investors should avoid high-risk options trades ahead of its volatile earnings report. Palantir (PLTR) is currently in a downward trend, and investors should wait for a high-conviction entry point near the $80 level rather than buying the current "trappy" setup. Avoid new positions in Bitcoin (BTC) for now, as failure to hold $65,000 could trigger a significant correction into the $46,000 - $50,000 range.
Based on the podcast transcript from Amit Kukreja's "Market Close," here are the investment insights and asset analyses extracted from the discussion.
• The stock experienced significant volatility, down 13.4% during the session, following a sharp sell-off in South Korean memory markets (Samsung and SK Hynix). • The "memory trade" is currently the poster child for the semiconductor sector; if Micron struggles, the broader AI trade and S&P 500 often follow. • Earnings Preview: Bulls expect a beat to reverse negative sentiment, while bears argue the AI premium is already priced in.
• Technical Support: Support levels are identified at $870 (50% retracement) and a "screaming buy" zone near $750 - $780. • Actionable Insight: The analyst suggests that unless the stock drops 30%, the long-term chart remains intact. Trading with options into earnings is risky as a 6.5% move is already baked into the price.
• Major News: Google is officially joining the Dow Jones Industrial Average, replacing Verizon (VZ), effective June 29th. • This move forces Dow-tracking indices and ETFs to purchase shares, providing a structural tailwind for the stock.
• Sentiment: Bullish. The inclusion in the Dow is a "symbolic shift" toward mega-cap tech dominance. • Technical Levels: Support is found between $340 - $350. If it holds, the next resistance target is $370 - $380.
• Controversial Headline: Mark Zuckerberg is reportedly focusing on a new prediction market app called "Arena." • The analyst expressed a bearish sentiment regarding this "side quest," arguing it distracts from the core AI vision and high CapEx spending. • Mention of a $100M deal for Robert Downey Jr. and a partnership with Kylie Jenner for AI glasses was viewed as a sign of "lost minds" regarding AR/AI hardware.
• Investment View: The analyst finds it hard to defend Meta's current trajectory despite its strong ad business. • Price Targets: A "load the truck" price is identified at $350, with intermediate support at $450.
• The stock is currently in "price discovery" mode to the downside, having broken previous support levels. • It is described as a "trappy" setup where support and resistance break frequently without holding.
• Technical Levels: The next major stop is $114. If it loses $109, there is a high probability (70%) of it falling to the low $80s. • Actionable Insight: The $80 level is highlighted as a high-conviction buy zone.
• Reported revenue of $193M (beating expectations of $181M) and announced a $20B deal with OpenAI. • Despite the "triple beat" (Revenue, EPS, and Guidance), the stock traded down roughly 6% after-hours due to general market ugliness.
• Takeaway: The market is still trying to figure out how to value this "AI chip story." Execution is key, specifically their ability to get supply from TSMC.
• Reported a "triple beat" on earnings, revenue, and guidance. • Announced a $1B share buyback and a shift to a calendar-year reporting schedule.
• Sentiment: Neutral/Bearish. Despite the beat, the stock fell 5% after-hours. The analyst noted that Amazon (AMZN) delivery continues to "eat the lunch" of traditional last-mile providers.
• The stock stopped exactly at $200.17, holding the psychological $200 level. • The analyst notes that NVIDIA often gets stuck in long consolidation channels (similar to 2015).
• Technical Levels: Support is firm at $190. If it dips there, it is considered a "DCA" (Dollar Cost Averaging) opportunity. • Price Target: If $190 holds, the trajectory points toward $260 - $270.
• Sentiment is currently bearish/neutral as it toys with the 200-week moving average.
• Price Targets: If it stays below $65,000, the analyst expects a drop into the $46,000 - $50,000 range. • Actionable Insight: Not a "sell" if you already own it, but it is "not ready" for a move higher yet.
• There is a possibility of a seasonal "summer slump" as traders take profits before July 4th. However, the analyst notes that the first week of July is historically very bullish.
• Mention of CoreWeave, Nebius, and Zeta. • Risk Factor: These "Neoclouds" are heavily leveraged. If access to capital disappears or interest rates shift unexpectedly, this sector faces significant downside risk.
• Rocket Lab (RKLB), ASTS, and SpaceX (via private secondary markets/proxies) all showed similar "red" setups. • Insight: These are high-beta names; the analyst suggests being patient as these positions build into Q3/Q4.

By @amitinvesting
Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!