
Investors should look to NVIDIA (NVDA) as a primary focus this week, using the GTC keynote on Monday as a bullish catalyst while utilizing covered calls to capture high premiums during its current range-bound trading. The recent 4% dip in Meta (META) to the $613 level offers a strategic entry point for long-term investors, as the stock remains fundamentally cheap at 20x forward earnings despite AI model delays. Palantir (PLTR) continues to show superior price stability compared to its software peers; consider adding positions if it nears the $145 support level or selling covered calls to navigate volatility. In the energy sector, Sable Offshore Corporation (SOC) is seeing momentum following the invocation of the Defense Production Act, while rising oil prices suggest a rotation into commodities as a stagflation hedge. Avoid Adobe (ADBE) and Robinhood (HOOD) for now, as executive transitions and declining month-over-month trading volumes create technical headwinds for both stocks.
• The company announced several new deals during AIPCon, which was described as a highly immersive experience focused on product engagement. • Palantir is currently holding levels in the $150s; the analyst noted that even a drop to the $145 range would be relatively strong compared to other SaaS names that have been "obliterated." • Customer feedback from the event highlighted significant margin improvements (e.g., an 18-point swing for a fashion brand) attributed to using Palantir's software to navigate inflation and supply chain issues.
• Resilience: Palantir is showing better price stability than its software peers. • Strategic Positioning: The company is positioning itself as a "war fighter" supporter, with CEO Alex Karp emphasizing that the company unequivocally supports the U.S. government's objectives regardless of political sentiment. • Action: Investors are using the current volatility to collect premiums by selling covered calls on their positions.
• The stock has been trading in a range, recently hitting $187 before falling back to the $180 level. • GTC (GPU Technology Conference) is scheduled for next week, which is expected to be a major bullish catalyst for the stock and the broader AI sector. • Despite the "choppy" market, NVIDIA's growth (guided at 80%) provides a fundamental floor that prevents a total collapse in share price.
• Event Catalyst: Watch for the GTC keynote on Monday; it is historically a "pump" event for the stock. • Income Strategy: The analyst highlights NVIDIA as one of the most lucrative stocks for covered call strategies due to its high volatility and range-bound trading. • Risk: High oil prices and "stagflationary" macro concerns may limit the stock's ability to break out and hold above the $200 level in the near term.
• The stock dropped 4% (down to $613) following reports that it is delaying its new AI model, "Avocado." • The analyst views this sell-off as "stupid" because Meta’s primary revenue driver is advertising, not direct monetization of AI models. • Meta is currently trading at approximately 20x forward earnings, which is considered relatively cheap by historical standards.
• Buying Opportunity: The analyst suggests the 4% drop creates a good entry point for long-term investors, though macro risks (war/oil) remain an overhang. • Metric to Watch: Investors should focus on advertising revenue and consumer sentiment rather than AI model release dates.
• Shares fell 4% to around $73 following the release of February metrics. • While metrics were up year-over-year, they were significantly down month-over-month compared to January, reflecting lower trading volumes in a "choppy" February. • The stock has decoupled from Bitcoin (BTC) recently, moving downward even as crypto showed some resilience.
• Technical Outlook: The technical analysis (TA) for HOOD looks poor, with the stock stuck in a $70–$80 range. • Long-term View: The analyst remains bullish on HOOD becoming a "trillion-dollar company" eventually but suggests using covered calls to navigate the current stagnation.
• Oil prices have spiked back to $96–$97 per barrel after briefly dipping below $70. • The Strait of Hormuz remains a critical flashpoint; any interference with shipping there is causing immediate spikes in crude prices. • Trump mentioned that "rising oil prices are good for the U.S." because the country is a net producer, but the analyst disputes this, noting it hurts supply chains and fuels inflation.
• Macro Risk: High oil is "stagflationary" and makes Federal Reserve rate cuts (previously expected in March or June) highly unlikely. • Investment Theme: Money is rotating into energy and commodities as a "safe haven" while tech and software multiples compress. • Specific Mention: Sable Offshore Corporation (SOC) jumped 10% after-hours following the invocation of the Defense Production Act.
• Adobe (ADBE): Down 7.5% following the news that the CEO is transitioning out. The analyst views this as a "value trap" sentiment-wise, as a CEO leaving during an "AI revolution" signals a lack of confidence. • Rubrik (RBRK): Reported strong earnings but the stock fell anyway, which is cited as a sign of a "broken" software market. • UiPath (PATH): Down 1.5%; there are concerns that Generative AI might disrupt the traditional Robotic Process Automation (RPA) business model.
• Rocket Lab (RKLB): Trading flat around $68; showing some resilience after a significant pullback from recent highs. • Applied Digital (APLD) & Nebius (NBIS): Mentioned as "Neo-cloud" plays that are benefiting from the NVIDIA/AI infrastructure theme. • SpaceX: Discussed in the context of a potential $1.75 trillion IPO. The analyst warned that the NASDAQ is changing rules to allow fast inclusion, which could create a "forced liquidity" event for passive funds.
• Bitcoin (BTC): Holding above $71,000. It has not acted as a perfect inflation hedge recently but remains resilient compared to equities. • Circle (CRCL): Highlighted as a "gem" and the "crypto play of the year," up significantly in the last month.

By @amitinvesting
Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!