JENSEN HUANG DOES JOE ROGAN, SALESFORCE, UIPATH, SNOWFLAKE EARNINGS | MARKET CLOSE
JENSEN HUANG DOES JOE ROGAN, SALESFORCE, UIPATH, SNOWFLAKE EARNINGS | MARKET CLOSE
157 days agoAmit Kukreja@amitinvesting
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Consider the recent weakness in NVIDIA (NVDA) as a buying opportunity, as analysts view its fundamental position as strong, especially after a lobbying win that may protect its sales to China. The post-earnings drop in Snowflake (SNOW) could also be a buying opportunity for long-term believers, given the disconnect between its strong results and the negative stock reaction. UiPath (PATH) has become a more compelling investment after achieving its first-ever GAAP profitable quarter, signaling a major positive shift in its financial health. Salesforce (CRM) is showing signs of a turnaround, with strong AI-driven results suggesting its previously underperforming stock may be poised for a recovery. Lastly, the massive earnings beat from Five Below (FIVE) challenges the weak consumer narrative and points to continued strength in the discount retail sector.

Detailed Analysis

UiPath (PATH)

  • Reported earnings after the bell, resulting in a significant after-hours stock price increase, at one point up over 15%, settling around 10-12%.
  • The most significant news was that the company achieved its first-ever GAAP profitable quarter, reporting a profit of $13 million. This was described as a "massive paradigm shift" for the company.
  • Earnings Results (Q3):
    • EPS: Beat expectations by 7% ($0.16 vs $0.15 expected). EPS was up 45% year-over-year.
    • Revenue: Beat expectations by 5% ($411 million vs $392 million expected). Revenue was up 16% year-over-year.
    • Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR): Reached $1.7 billion.
  • The CEO attributed the strong results to momentum from customers scaling "agentic automation" and choosing UiPath's unified platform over standalone tools.
  • The stock was only up 15% year-to-date before this earnings report, suggesting it was not "priced for perfection."

Takeaways

  • The achievement of GAAP profitability is a major milestone and the primary driver of the stock's surge. It signals a fundamental shift in the company's financial trajectory from a cash-burning growth company to a profitable one.
  • For traders who bought in before earnings, the significant pop offered a chance to take profits. For long-term investors, the host suggests this news could turn a "trade into an investment," as profitability is a strong bullish signal.
  • The company's focus on a unified platform that combines deterministic automation, agentic AI, and orchestration is presented as a key differentiator that is resonating with enterprise customers.

Salesforce (CRM)

  • Reported a strong earnings beat, causing the stock to jump as high as 9% in after-hours trading, later settling around 4-5%.
  • The host noted the stock was down 30% for the year going into the report and was likely "oversold."
  • Earnings Results (Q3):
    • EPS: A very strong beat of 14% ($3.25 vs $2.86 expected). EPS was up 35% year-over-year.
    • Revenue: A slight miss, but considered "inconsequential" ($10.25 billion vs $10.27 billion expected). Revenue was up 9% year-over-year.
  • Key Growth Drivers:
    • CEO Marc Benioff highlighted AgentForce and Data360 as major momentum drivers.
    • Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) for these products hit $1.4 billion, an "explosive" 114% year-over-year growth.
    • Client adoption is accelerating, with accounts in production for AI agents increasing 70% quarter-over-quarter.
  • The company raised its guidance for Q4 and the full year.

Takeaways

  • Salesforce's AI strategy, particularly with its AgentForce platform, appears to be working and translating into significant revenue growth and customer adoption. This is a strong sign that the company is successfully leveraging AI as a tailwind.
  • The massive 14% EPS beat for a company of this size was a major positive surprise for the market and suggests strong operational efficiency and margin enhancement.
  • For investors, this report could signal a turnaround for the stock, which has underperformed this year. The positive results and guidance may cause the market to re-evaluate the company's growth prospects.

Snowflake (SNOW)

  • The stock fell significantly after hours, down as much as 9%, despite reporting a "double beat" on earnings.
  • The host expressed confusion over the negative market reaction, stating, "Everything I'm looking at on Snowflake is good. I don't know why that's down."
  • Earnings Results (Q3):
    • EPS: Beat expectations by 13% ($0.35 vs $0.31 expected). EPS was up 75% year-over-year.
    • Revenue: Beat expectations by 3% ($1.21 billion vs $1.18 billion expected). Revenue was up 29% year-over-year.
  • Other Positive Metrics:
    • Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) were up 37% year-over-year to $7.8 billion.
    • Guidance for the next quarter and full fiscal year was described as "fine," with projected 27% year-over-year growth.
  • A partnership with Anthropic was announced, involving a $200 million contract to bring "agentic AI to global enterprises."
  • The host noted the stock was up 60% for the year going into earnings, suggesting it may have been "priced aggressively."

Takeaways

  • There is a major disconnect between Snowflake's strong reported results (double beat, strong growth, major AI partnership) and the negative stock reaction.
  • Investors should investigate further to understand the market's concern. It could be related to guidance being slightly below the very high expectations, margin concerns, or simply a "sell the news" reaction after a 60% run-up in the stock price.
  • The negative reaction could present a buying opportunity for long-term believers in the company, as the fundamental growth story and AI strategy appear intact and even strengthened by the Anthropic partnership.

NVIDIA (NVDA)

  • The stock finished the day down about 1% to around $179, despite a broadly green market and positive news for the company. The host personally bought the dip at $180.
  • Bullish Catalysts:
    • Lobbying Win: A Bloomberg report indicated that NVIDIA is poised for a "major lobbying win" as lawmakers excluded a proposal from a defense bill that would have restricted AI chip sales to China. This is seen as very bullish for future revenue.
    • CEO Visibility: CEO Jensen Huang appeared on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast and spoke at a conference in Washington D.C., increasing the company's public profile and reinforcing its vision for AI.
    • Host's View: The host finds it "laughable" that NVIDIA is red while derivative plays like Amcor (AMCR) are up 8%, suggesting the market is overly scared of a supposed "AI bubble" and is unfairly discounting NVIDIA.
  • Jensen Huang's commentary emphasized the need for US energy growth to power AI factories and re-industrialize America. He also predicted that in 2-3 years, 90% of the world's knowledge will be generated by AI.

Takeaways

  • The host is very bullish on NVIDIA and views the current price weakness as a buying opportunity, citing a disconnect between the stock price and the company's strong fundamental position and positive news flow.
  • The potential to continue selling chips to China is a significant financial catalyst that the market seems to be ignoring in the short term.
  • CEO Jensen Huang is actively shaping the public narrative around AI and NVIDIA's central role in it, which could be a long-term positive for investor perception and understanding.

Robinhood (HOOD)

  • The stock was up 6.5% on the day.
  • A major positive headline was the success of its 2% match promotion for users transferring Tesla (TSLA) stock to the platform.
  • The promotion brought in $1.4 billion in net deposits in less than a month.
  • This $1.4 billion represents 16% of the entire net deposits the company received in the previous quarter (Q3).
  • The average account size for these transfers was a very high $500,000.

Takeaways

  • Robinhood is successfully executing its strategy to attract wealthier clients and larger account sizes, directly challenging the bear narrative that it is only a platform for small-time meme stock traders.
  • The company is demonstrating its ability to rapidly grow assets under custody, which the host describes as becoming an "asset vortex." This momentum is a strong bullish indicator for the business.

Other Stocks & Cryptocurrencies

  • Palantir (PLTR): Up 3%. CEO Alex Karp was featured from the DealBook conference, passionately defending the company's pro-America, pro-working-class stance and criticizing competitors like Microsoft for now copying Palantir's strategies (like building an ontology). This reinforces the bull case for investors who believe in Karp's vision.
  • Five Below (FIVE): Stock was up after hours following a massive earnings beat. EPS was $0.68 vs $0.26 expected (a 162% beat), and revenue also beat significantly. The company also issued strong guidance for the holiday quarter. This challenges the "weak consumer" narrative and shows strength in the discount retail sector.
  • C3.ai (AI): The stock was down about 5% after hours. While it beat on top and bottom lines, the underlying numbers were called "ugly," with revenue down 20% year-over-year. The takeaway is that the company is failing to show real growth despite being in the hot AI sector.
  • Tesla (TSLA): Up 4% on the day. The pump was attributed to news about a potential "robotics czar" being appointed, which the market sees as a tailwind for Tesla's robotics and AI ambitions.
  • Meta (META): Sold off about 1% into the close for unknown reasons. A bullish piece of news was that Meta hired a top user interface designer away from Apple, which is a positive signal for Meta's talent acquisition.
  • Bitcoin (BTC) & Ethereum (ETH): Bitcoin was holding strong above $93,000. A major institutional tailwind was highlighted: BlackRock CEO Larry Fink publicly admitting he was wrong about crypto. Ethereum's "Fusaka" upgrade was happening, but the immediate price impact was minimal.
  • Symbotic (SYM): The stock dropped 12-13% after hours. The drop was caused by the announcement of a mixed shelf offering, which dilutes existing shareholders.
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About Amit Kukreja
Amit Kukreja

Amit Kukreja

By @amitinvesting

Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!