GOOGLE GEMINI 3 IS REALLY GOOD, MARKETS TRY TO SETTLE DOWN, TECHNICAL TUESDAY | MARKET CLOSE
GOOGLE GEMINI 3 IS REALLY GOOD, MARKETS TRY TO SETTLE DOWN, TECHNICAL TUESDAY | MARKET CLOSE
171 days agoAmit Kukreja@amitinvesting
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Consider starting or adding to an Amazon (AMZN) position, as its pullback to the $200-$215 range is seen as a strong buying opportunity with a long-term target of $300. For Ethereum (ETH), watch for a potential drop into the $2,600 - $2,800 zone, which is highlighted as a significant discount and an attractive entry point. A pullback in Google (GOOGL) towards the $255-$280 support area could present a healthy buying opportunity for investors who believe in its AI leadership. Investors looking to enter Palantir (PLTR) should target the low $150s or even the $140s with limit buy orders to capitalize on any rapid sell-offs. A potential dip in Tesla (TSLA) to the $350-$360 range is viewed as a key buying opportunity for long-term investors.

Detailed Analysis

Artificial Intelligence (AI) Sector

  • The host is "unbelievably bullish" on the AI sector, citing the release of Google's Gemini 3 as proof that AI is a real, transformative technology and not a fad.
  • The discussion highlights that AI advancements require massive investment in data center infrastructure, including GPUs and TPUs, which benefits the entire semiconductor and cloud computing industry.
  • A major potential catalyst mentioned is Saudi Arabia's plan to increase its investment in the United States to $1 trillion, with a significant focus on AI and technology. This could provide a major boost to chip companies like NVIDIA and AMD, as this potential revenue is not currently factored into their guidance.
  • A counterpoint was raised from analyst Aswath Damodaran, who believes the AI sector is in a bubble. His argument is that companies are spending enormous amounts of capital on AI infrastructure without clear, tangible plans for how they will make money from it.

Takeaways

  • The AI sector remains a primary investment theme with strong long-term growth drivers from both technological innovation and massive government/sovereign wealth fund investment.
  • Investors should be aware of two competing narratives: the "AI is the future" growth story versus the "AI is a bubble" caution story. This tension is causing market volatility.
  • Companies that provide the "picks and shovels" for the AI gold rush (e.g., chip makers, data center operators, cloud providers) are seen as key beneficiaries of this theme.

Google (GOOGL)

  • The host expressed extreme bullishness on Google following the launch of Gemini 3, its latest AI model, which is receiving "universal praise" and outperforming competitors. This is seen as a major validation of Google's AI strategy and its integrated ecosystem of software and custom hardware (TPUs).
  • From a technical analysis perspective, the stock is in a strong uptrend and the structure is "fully intact."
  • However, it has failed to break out to new highs on several recent attempts, suggesting it has entered a sideways consolidation or "holding pattern."
  • Key technical levels to watch are $280 for support. A break below this could lead to a pullback towards the 50-day moving average around $255. As long as it holds above the 20-day moving average (around $275), the uptrend is considered safe.

Takeaways

  • Bullish Sentiment: The fundamental outlook for Google is very strong due to its demonstrated leadership in AI with Gemini 3.
  • Actionable Insight: The stock is currently consolidating near its highs. While the long-term trend is positive, it may trade sideways in the near term. A drop towards $255-$280 could present a healthy buying opportunity for long-term investors who believe in the AI story.

NVIDIA (NVDA)

  • NVIDIA's upcoming earnings report is seen as a critical event for the entire market.
  • Analyst Aswath Damodaran predicted that NVIDIA will beat official earnings estimates but will fail to meet the market's extremely high "whisper" expectations, which could cause the stock to fall even on good news.
  • Technical analyst Jason views the stock as being in a "distributionary" phase, meaning there appear to be more sellers than buyers at current levels.
  • The key price level is $177, which is the "point of control." The stock needs to decisively break and hold above $200 to escape its current range.
  • Failure to break out after earnings could lead to a pullback to revisit lower support levels, with a potential downside target in the $150s.

Takeaways

  • Neutral to Bearish Short-Term Sentiment: Caution is advised heading into NVIDIA's earnings. The bar is set incredibly high, creating a significant risk of a "sell the news" event.
  • Actionable Insight: A flat or even slightly down reaction to a strong earnings report would be considered a "win" given the sky-high expectations. Investors should watch the $200 level as key resistance. A failure to break through could signal a deeper correction is coming.

Amazon (AMZN)

  • The host noted that he made a "small nibble" purchase of Amazon after the stock gave back its entire, significant post-earnings gain.
  • The stock ran from the $212-$214 area up to $255 after earnings, and has now returned to those pre-earnings levels.
  • Technical analyst Jason also bought a small "token piece," viewing the pullback as an opportunity. He likes the long-term setup and believes the deeper the stock goes, the better the buying opportunity becomes.
  • A retest of the $215 area is seen as possible. A drop to near $200 would be considered a very attractive entry point, with a potential long-term target of $300, representing a 50% upside.

Takeaways

  • Bullish Sentiment: The complete erasure of Amazon's strong earnings move is viewed by the speakers as an attractive buying opportunity for long-term investors.
  • Actionable Insight: Investors could consider starting or adding to a position at current levels. A further drop towards the $200-$215 range would represent an even stronger buying opportunity. The long-term risk/reward is seen as favorable.

Meta (META)

  • The stock saw a strong rebound from a low of $583 to $601 after receiving positive legal news (a court ruling that it is not a legal monopoly).
  • Technically, the stock is at a critical "nibble spot" around $585, but it remains in a downtrend and is trading below all its key moving averages.
  • A "death cross" (a bearish technical pattern) is likely to occur soon, but the analyst notes that these events often paradoxically mark market bottoms.
  • Key levels to watch: A sustained close below $584 makes a drop to $550 highly probable. To reverse the downtrend, the stock needs to reclaim the $635 level.

Takeaways

  • Neutral Sentiment: Meta is at a crucial technical juncture. While it could be a spot for aggressive traders to take a small position, significant risk remains.
  • Actionable Insight: Watch the $584 level. If it breaks, expect more downside. If it holds and starts to build a base, it could be the beginning of a bottoming process. A move above $635 would be a strong confirmation of a trend reversal.

Tesla (TSLA)

  • The company received a permit to operate as a transportation network in Arizona, which is a positive fundamental development for its robotaxi ambitions.
  • From a technical perspective, the stock is "not out of the weeds." The $415 level, which was previously support, is now acting as major resistance.
  • The broader, long-term uptrend is still considered intact.
  • A break below support at $387 would likely lead to a further pullback into the $350s-$360s range. This potential drop is viewed as a buying opportunity for long-term investors, not a reason to panic.

Takeaways

  • Neutral Short-Term, Bullish Long-Term: The stock is in a period of consolidation. While there's risk of a further pullback in the short term, the long-term uptrend remains in place.
  • Actionable Insight: The $350-$360 area is a key zone to watch for a potential "buy the dip" opportunity. For the stock to resume its uptrend, it needs to decisively break back above the $415 resistance level.

Robinhood (HOOD)

  • The analyst noted that Robinhood is a stock where dips get "bought up so freaking fast, it's crazy."
  • The stock's recent consolidation pattern broke down, and it is now approaching a key level of interest around $100-$101.
  • The speakers highlighted that FinTech stocks like Robinhood often bottom first and experience violent reversals after a market pullback.
  • A potential drop to the $85-$90 range was mentioned, but with a strong warning against panic selling, as a sharp rebound could follow immediately.

Takeaways

  • Bullish on Dips: Robinhood is seen as a prime candidate for buying on significant weakness due to its history of sharp, fast recoveries.
  • Actionable Insight: The $100 level is a key area to watch for a potential entry point. Investors should be prepared for high volatility and consider using limit orders to catch any flash dips. Panic selling into weakness is strongly discouraged.

Palantir (PLTR)

  • Similar to Robinhood, Palantir is described as a stock where dips are bought up extremely quickly.
  • The stock lost its key support level at $173.
  • The next major support area is in the $150s. The analyst suggested that a buying opportunity could exist below $150, as close to $140 as possible.
  • Due to the speed at which the stock can move, it was recommended to use "good to cancel, extended hours on" limit buy orders to catch a potential sharp drop.

Takeaways

  • Bullish on Dips: Palantir is viewed as a high-beta name that offers strong buying opportunities during market-wide pullbacks.
  • Actionable Insight: With the $173 support broken, investors looking to enter should target the low $150s or even the $140s. Using standing limit buy orders is a suggested strategy to capitalize on any rapid sell-offs.

Ethereum (ETH)

  • The analyst is sticking to a price target in the $2800s.
  • Ethereum is currently at a key 50% Fibonacci retracement level of $3,166. If it cannot reclaim and hold this level, a drop to the next major support is considered highly probable.
  • The next key support zone is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, which is between $2,628 and $2,750.
  • This $2,600 - $2,800 range was described as a "legitimate discount" and a significant buying opportunity.

Takeaways

  • Bullish on a Deeper Pullback: While a further drop is expected, it is framed as a major buying opportunity rather than a bearish event.
  • Actionable Insight: Investors should watch the $3,170 level. If ETH stays below it, be prepared for a potential drop into the $2,600 - $2,800 zone. This area is highlighted as an attractive entry point for accumulating Ethereum.
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Video Description
twitter: https://x.com/amitisinvesting deepdives: https://amitsdeepdives.substack.com/ 00:00 - Headlines 15:00 - Market Close 18:19 - Aswath 32:23 - SPY TA 42:43 - NVDA TA 48:59 - HOOD TA 56:42 - META TA 1:04:45 - NBIS TA 1:09:23 - RKLB TA 1:13:15 - PLTR TA 1:18:33 - TSLA TA 1:25:35 - SOFI TA 1:29:29 - AMD TA 1:34:29 - AMZN TA 1:39:57 - CRWV TA 1:46:49 - ETH TA 1:52:30 - BMNR TA 1:56:22 - ORCL TA 1:59:40 - DUOL TA 2:01:28 - GRAB TA 2:05:42 - GOOGL TA
About Amit Kukreja
Amit Kukreja

Amit Kukreja

By @amitinvesting

Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!