
Investors should consider NVIDIA (NVDA) a high-conviction buy as it trades at its most attractive valuation relative to growth since 2019, especially with new clearance to sell H200 chips in China. Meta Platforms (META) offers a tactical "buy the dip" opportunity near the $600 level following an irrational market reaction to its $10 billion Canadian data center expansion. Broadcom (AVGO) remains a premier long-term hold following a massive $30 billion deal with Apple, solidifying its role as a critical AI infrastructure provider. For those tracking high-growth software and aerospace, recent market volatility has created entry points for Palantir (PLTR) near $129 and Rocket Lab (RKLB) at $82. Finally, exercise caution with Wix (WIX) as new competition from Cloudflare (NET) threatens its core business model, while GoDaddy (GDDY) is currently the preferred trade in that sector.
• China Market Expansion: Reports indicate China will allow major tech firms (Alibaba, Tencent, Baidu, JD) to begin purchasing NVIDIA H200 chips. • Market Dominance: NVIDIA currently represents approximately 8% of the S&P 500. • Valuation: The stock is trading at valuation levels (price-to-earnings/sales) not seen since early 2019, despite the business being fundamentally larger and more profitable. • Sentiment: The analyst views NVIDIA as a market leader; when NVIDIA shows sustained momentum, it often signals a short-term bottom for the broader tech sector.
• Bullish Outlook: The analyst considers NVIDIA the "cheapest it has been" relative to its growth since 2019. • Actionable Entry: Sustained breakouts in NVDA are used as a signal to enter other technology positions.
• Infrastructure Investment: Meta announced a $10 billion investment to build its first data center in Canada (Alberta), powered by natural gas. • AI Models: Reports suggest Meta’s internal coding models (potentially under the "Spark" project) are beginning to challenge competitors like Claude Code. • Legal Risks: Mention of a lawsuit claiming potential damages of $1.4 trillion, though the analyst dismissed this as "crazy claims" unlikely to impact the long-term thesis. • Market Reaction: The stock saw a minor "tank" (down ~2%) following the Canada data center news, which the analyst viewed as an irrational market reaction to planned CapEx.
• Buying the Dip: The analyst purchased Meta at $603.92, viewing the dip as a "nibble" opportunity. • CapEx Justification: Continued investment in data centers is seen as a positive sign of Meta's commitment to the "AI industrial complex."
• Apple Partnership: Broadcom signed a $30 billion deal with Apple to produce over 15 billion U.S.-made chips, including components for Wi-Fi, Bluetooth, and potentially AI server chips. • Manufacturing: Apple is investing $1.5 billion directly into Broadcom’s Fort Collins facility.
• Long-term Holding: Despite being "underwater" on a previous buy at $394.15, the analyst remains bullish due to Broadcom's integration into Apple's AI supply chain. • Sector Strength: This deal reinforces Broadcom’s position as a primary "pickaxe maker" for the AI era.
• Short Report: Hunterbrook Media released a short report alleging Bloom is heavily dependent on a Chinese supply chain for Scandium (a rare earth metal), contrary to the CEO's public claims. • Geopolitical Risk: The report suggests the Chinese Communist Party holds an "off switch" for Bloom’s data center energy solutions. • Market Position: Bloom recently expanded a deal with Brookfield from $5B to $25B and is a key energy provider for Oracle data centers.
• Skepticism of Short Thesis: The analyst is skeptical of the short report, noting that most hardware companies have Chinese supply chain exposure. • Valuation Warning: Acknowledges the stock is "expensive" and could see a correction to the low $200s, but remains a long-term pick for the "energy-constrained" AI theme.
• Fed Minutes: The June FOMC minutes showed officials backed holding rates steady. While inflation remains a concern (partly due to AI demand and Middle East tensions), there is no immediate push for a rate hike. • Geopolitical Tension: Significant discussion regarding Iran and the potential end of the ceasefire. Trump confirmed strikes against Iranian military targets. • Oil Prices: Oil showed volatility, peaking near $76 before settling around $73.
• Market Resilience: The market "ignored" geopolitical headlines (Trump/Iran) in favor of the Fed's "nothing burger" minutes, which signaled no imminent rate hikes. • Investment Strategy: The analyst used the morning "flush" (market dip) to buy several names, including Palantir (PLTR) at $128.98, Rocket Lab (RKLB) at $82, and Shopify (SHOP) at $117.
• Released Grok 4.5 (via xAI), focused on coding and agents. The analyst notes the valuation has recently dipped below previous "IPO" levels in secondary markets, creating a potential entry point.
• Cloudflare (NET), Akamai (AKAM), and Fastly (FSLY) saw significant gains. • Insight: Strong earnings from DigitalOcean (DOCN) signaled high demand for CDN (Content Delivery Network) infrastructure.
• Sartre Research issued a "Long GoDaddy / Short Wix" recommendation. • Risk: Cloudflare’s new instant website deployment tool is seen as a direct threat to Wix.
• Levi Strauss (LEVI): Beat earnings expectations but the stock fell 5%. The analyst views this as a sign of general "consumer discretionary" anxiety despite strong company performance.

By @amitinvesting
Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!