CRYPTO BOUNCES, GAMESTOP EARNINGS, FED MEETING TOMORROW, TECHNICAL TUESDAY | MARKET CLOSE
CRYPTO BOUNCES, GAMESTOP EARNINGS, FED MEETING TOMORROW, TECHNICAL TUESDAY | MARKET CLOSE
150 days agoAmit Kukreja@amitinvesting
YouTube3 hr 23 min
Watch on YouTube
Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Ethereum (ETH) has broken a key resistance level, presenting a potential "low risk, high reward" trade with a near-term price target of $3,500. Technical analysts see NVIDIA (NVDA) as a "coiled viper" setting up for a move towards $195, as long as it holds support above $184. For Meta (META), a pullback to the $645 level is being identified as a prime buying opportunity based on historical chart patterns. Driven by positive news and rumors of a SpaceX IPO, Rocket Lab (RKLB) is a compelling play on the Data Centers in Space theme, with a break above $56 signaling a potential major move higher. Finally, GE Vernova (GEV) signaled strong confidence by boosting its share buyback to $10 billion and doubling its dividend, providing a bullish fundamental catalyst for the stock.

Detailed Analysis

Here are the investment insights extracted from the podcast transcript.

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • The host noted a significant bounce in crypto, with Bitcoin reaching $94,627 on the day.
  • Holding the $93,000 level is considered an exciting and positive sign.
  • The $95,000 level has not been seen for a month, making the current price action notable.
  • After being down for the year, Bitcoin is now flat, which is seen as an improvement from the $82,000 range it was in two weeks prior.

Takeaways

  • Bullish short-term sentiment due to the strong price bounce and the ability to hold key psychological levels.
  • The rally is seen as a potential front-run of an expected Fed rate cut.
  • Investors should watch if Bitcoin can reclaim and hold the $95,000 level as the next major milestone.

Ethereum (ETH)

  • The price broke above $3,300, which was viewed as a positive development.
  • A technical analyst on the show stated a key resistance level was $3,166. Breaching this level represents a "power shift" where the bulls are now in control.
  • The next immediate price target is around $3,562. The analyst believes the trade to $3,500 is a "low risk, high reward" setup.
  • After hitting the $3,500 - $3,600 range, some consolidation or a pullback would be considered healthy.
  • The ultimate bullish sign would be if the old resistance of $3,166 turns into a new support level on a pullback.
  • A year-end price target of $4,000 or even $4,300 was mentioned as a possibility if the bullish momentum continues.

Takeaways

  • Strong bullish sentiment with a clear technical breakout.
  • The short-term price target is $3,500 - $3,600.
  • A critical level for investors to watch is $3,166. If this level holds as support during any future dips, it would strongly confirm the bullish trend.

SoFi (SOFI)

  • The host disclosed that he bought more SoFi stock during the day at a price around $26.87 - $26.89.
  • The stock was down over 2.8%, closing at $26.83. The host expressed confusion about the drop, especially since a $1.5 billion share dilution was already completed.
  • The host's thesis for buying is that the stock is undervalued "below 30" going into a potential rate-cutting cycle.
  • The drop was partly attributed to negative sentiment across the banking sector after JPMorgan's CEO warned of future credit losses and guided for higher expenses.
  • A technical analyst suggested the stock could dip further into the $25s but liked the long-term story of the company raising capital to issue more loans in a lower-rate environment.

Takeaways

  • The host is personally bullish and is buying the dip, viewing the current price as an attractive entry point.
  • The stock faces short-term headwinds from sector-wide concerns and recent dilution.
  • The long-term bull case is that the newly raised cash will fuel loan growth as interest rates fall. A potential dip into the $25s could be a further buying opportunity for long-term believers.

Rocket Lab (RKLB)

  • The stock was up significantly, trading at $53.43, with a notable green candle towards the end of the day.
  • The rally was attributed to two main factors:
    • Positive news regarding the framework for its Neutron launch system.
    • A major rumor that competitor SpaceX is considering a 2026 IPO at a $1.5 trillion valuation. Rocket Lab is known to trade in sympathy with major SpaceX news.
  • The "Data Centers in Space" theme was mentioned as a massive long-term tailwind for space infrastructure companies like Rocket Lab.
  • A technical analyst described the chart as "dangerously good" and stated that if SpaceX goes public at that valuation, Rocket Lab could become a "triple-digit stock."
  • Key technical levels to watch are resistance at $56 and then the mid-$60s.

Takeaways

  • Bullish sentiment driven by company-specific news and a massive potential industry catalyst (SpaceX IPO).
  • Rocket Lab is a key way for public market investors to get exposure to the growing space economy and themes like "Data Centers in Space."
  • Investors should watch for a break of key resistance levels at $56 and above, which could signal the next major move higher.

NVIDIA (NVDA)

  • The stock was down slightly, closing just under $185, despite what the host called "bullish headlines" related to China.
  • A technical analyst on the show is long NVIDIA and views the chart as constructive.
  • He noted a series of "higher lows" and a successful test of the $184 level, which was previous resistance and is now acting as support. This is a bullish "SR flip" (Support/Resistance flip).
  • He believes the stock will eventually fill a price gap up to $195.
  • The chart is described as a "coiled viper" that is setting up for a "squeeze," suggesting a potentially sharp move up.

Takeaways

  • Bullish sentiment from the technical analyst, who sees the current price action as a healthy setup for a move higher.
  • A key support level to watch is $184. As long as the stock holds above this, the bullish thesis remains intact.
  • The near-term price target mentioned is $195.

Meta (META)

  • The stock was down 1.4%, closing at $656. The host was unsure of the reason for the decline.
  • A technical analyst identified $686 - $689 as a key resistance zone.
  • He suggested that a pullback to $645 would be a prime buying opportunity.
  • This is because a dip to that level would likely cause a "death cross" (where the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day). Historically, the death cross has been a strong buy signal for Meta's stock.

Takeaways

  • Neutral in the short-term, but bullish on a dip. The stock is approaching a significant resistance area.
  • Investors looking for an entry point should watch the $645 level. A pullback to this price could present an attractive buying opportunity based on historical technical patterns for the stock.

Investment Theme: Data Centers in Space

  • An expert was quoted calling this "the most important thing that's going to happen in the world in the next three to four years."
  • The Bull Case:
    • Power: Space offers constant solar energy that is 30% more intense than on Earth, without the need for costly batteries. This is described as the "lowest cost energy available in our solar system."
    • Cooling: Cooling is a massive cost and weight component for data centers on Earth. In space, cooling is "free" by using a radiator on the dark side of a satellite.
    • Networking: Connecting satellite "racks" with lasers in the vacuum of space is faster than using fiber optic cables on Earth.
  • This theme is a potential reason why SpaceX might be looking to go public, as it would require immense capital.

Takeaways

  • This is a highly bullish, long-term investment theme that could reshape the data and space industries.
  • Public companies positioned to benefit from this trend include space infrastructure players like Rocket Lab (RKLB) and AST SpaceMobile (ASTS).

Other Stocks & Opportunities

Broadcom (AVGO)

  • Context: The stock hit an all-time high and is up 74% year-to-date, outperforming every other Magnificent Seven stock, including NVIDIA. The host believes if they deliver a strong earnings report on Thursday, it could become a $2 trillion company.
  • Takeaways: Bullish sentiment heading into earnings. The stock has incredible momentum and is seen as a leader in the semiconductor space.

GameStop (GME)

  • Context: Reported earnings after the close. The stock was down ~5%.
    • Revenue Miss: $821M vs. $987M expected.
    • EPS Beat: $0.24 vs. $0.20 expected.
  • Takeaways: A mixed report. The significant revenue miss is a major negative, but the 300% year-over-year growth in EPS was highlighted as important. The market's initial reaction was negative.

JPMorgan Chase (JPM)

  • Context: The stock fell 4% after CEO Jamie Dimon warned of "really bad loans soon" and the company guided for 2026 expenses to be $4 billion higher than consensus.
  • Takeaways: Bearish short-term news that also negatively impacted other financial stocks like SoFi. A technical analyst suggested a potential buy zone for the dip could be around the $290 level.

GE Vernova (GEV)

  • Context: Announced it was boosting its share buyback program from $6 billion to $10 billion and doubling its dividend. The stock was up 3% after hours.
  • Takeaways: Very bullish news. The significant increase in capital return to shareholders signals strong confidence from management and is a positive for the stock.

Netflix (NFLX)

  • Context: The technical analyst sold his personal shares. He sees the company as entering an "investment period" to find its next phase of growth, which creates uncertainty. He believes the stock could pull back to the mid-$80s or even mid-$70s over time.
  • Takeaways: Bearish to neutral sentiment. The analyst believes investors buying now need a 3-5 year time horizon, as the company works through its growth challenges. The trend is currently down until the stock can reclaim the $100 level.

Tesla (TSLA)

  • Context: The stock is in a "very basic consolidation" pattern. A technical analyst noted that a move above $460 would be extremely bullish and could lead to a quick "explode" toward $600. However, the current level is near resistance, so it's not the ideal place to start a new long position.
  • Takeaways: Neutral for now, but with a bullish trigger. The key level to watch is $460. A sustained break above that price would be a strong buy signal. Dips toward $415 remain the ideal entry point.
Ask about this postAnswers are grounded in this post's content.
Video Description
twitter: https://x.com/amitisinvesting deepdives: https://amitsdeepdives.substack.com/ 00:00 - Intro 15:00 - Market Close 35:47 - ETH TA 41:37 - SPY TA 47:14 - NVDA TA 52:15 - HOOD TA 57:07 - NFLX TA 1:03:35 - TSLA TA 1:08:50 - META TA 1:14:09 - SOFI TA 1:17:45 - RKLB TA 1:23:09 - AMZN TA 1:26:02 - PLTR TA 1:29:45 - GOOGL TA 1:34:09 - APPL TA 1:36:44 - CRWV TA 1:41:30 - NBIS TA 1:44:52 - IREN TA 1:49:50 - ORCL TA 1:56:!5 - AVGO TA 1:59:40 - ADBE TA 2:08:40 - APP TA 2:10:30 - GRAB TA 2:14:49 - BMNR TA 2:19:49 - MSTR TA 2:22:10 - MSFT TA 2:24:08 - SMCI TA 2:28:05 - CVNA TA 2:31:07 - AMD TA 2:33:56 - U TA 2:37:20 - ANET TA 2:40:00 - JPM TA 2:42:00 - CRCL TA 2:44:07 - ELF TA 2:47:30 - NKE TA 2:50:30 - PATH TA 2:53:01 - SOUN TA 2:55:03 - MA TA 3:00:28 - GLXY TA 3:03:10 - ZETA TA 2:05:48 - AMKR TA 3:08:52 - CELH TA 3:15:00 - ONDS TA
About Amit Kukreja
Amit Kukreja

Amit Kukreja

By @amitinvesting

Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!