
Google (GOOGL) is a high-conviction growth play as it shifts capital from buybacks to AI infrastructure, evidenced by a massive $460 billion cloud backlog and 22% top-line revenue growth. Apple (AAPL) remains a strong "buy and hold" candidate following a record $100 billion buyback authorization and projected double-digit revenue growth driven by an AI-powered iPhone upgrade cycle. For investors seeking undervalued growth, Zeta Global (ZETA) offers a compelling opportunity as it trades at a lower multiple than peers despite 50% year-over-year revenue growth and consistent guidance raises. The recent sell-off in NVIDIA (NVDA) and Western Digital (WDC) appears to be a "sell the news" event, providing a potential entry point as big tech companies continue to ramp up massive CapEx spending on AI hardware. While hardware currently leads the market, signs of a bottom in software stocks like Atlassian (TEAM) and Twilio (TWLO) suggest a rotation back into the "SaaS" sector may be approaching.
• Exceptional Performance: Google was described as the "real winner" among the big four tech companies, with the market reacting very positively to its scale and growth numbers. • Cloud Growth: Achieved a remarkable 63% growth in its cloud business, with a $460 billion backlog (up from $240 billion last quarter). • Strategic Shift: For the first time in years, the company did no buybacks, choosing instead to reinvest heavily in CapEx to grow the business. • Key Metrics: * Top-line revenue grew by 22%. * Search revenue grew by 19%. * Reached 16 billion tokens per minute and 350 million paid subscriptions. * Waymo reached 500,000 fully autonomous rides.
• Market Cap Milestone: Google added $420 billion in market cap in a single day and is approaching NVIDIA to potentially become the largest company globally. • Growth over Buybacks: The market rewarded Google’s decision to prioritize business growth and AI infrastructure over returning capital to shareholders.
• Guidance Beat: Apple provided a strong Q3 revenue guidance of 14% to 17% growth, which was significantly higher than Wall Street expectations, causing the stock to pump after-hours. • iPhone Performance: The iPhone 17 family is the most popular lineup in Apple's history. Revenue grew 22% year-over-year to a March quarter record. • Capital Allocation: Authorized a massive $100 billion share buyback and increased the dividend by 4%. • Supply Constraints: Tim Cook noted that demand for the Mac Mini, Mac Studio, and MacBook Neo is outpacing supply, specifically due to high interest in their AI capabilities. • Leadership Transition: Tim Cook confirmed he will transition to Executive Chairman on September 1st, with John Ternus taking over as CEO.
• AI Super Cycle: Management believes the integration of "Apple Intelligence" is driving a significant upgrade cycle. • Margin Risks: Management warned that rising memory costs will have an increasing impact on the business beyond the June quarter.
• Strong Execution: Reported its 19th consecutive quarter of beating and raising guidance. • Revenue Growth: Achieved 50% year-over-year revenue growth ($396M vs $370M expected). • AI Momentum: The "Athena" AI platform was cited as a major driver for winning large enterprise deals, including a global apparel retailer. • Profitability: Achieved its second straight quarter of GAAP profitability.
• Undervaluation Argument: The analyst noted that Zeta trades at a lower multiple compared to peers like The Trade Desk, despite faster growth and consistent execution. • Guidance Raise: Raised full-year revenue guidance by $30 million, representing 37% projected growth.
• Revenue Surge: Revenue grew 69% year-over-year, driven by strong advertising tailwinds. • Earnings Beat: Beat EPS expectations by 80% ($1.00 vs $0.56 expected). • Search Growth: Search-related Weekly Active Users (WAUQs) increased by 30%.
• Advertising Strength: Reddit is benefiting from the same robust ad market that boosted Meta and Google. • Product Improvements: Focus remains on machine learning (ML) for the feed and improving the speed of the mobile apps to drive user frequency.
• NVIDIA (NVDA): Experienced a "weird" sell-off (down ~4-5%) despite big tech companies confirming massive increases in CapEx spending on AI infrastructure. • Western Digital (WDC) & SanDisk: Both stocks fell significantly (~7%) after-hours despite beating earnings. * SanDisk beat EPS by 60% and revenue grew 250% year-over-year. * Takeaway: The analyst suggests these were "sell the news" events because the stocks had already pumped 70%+ in the month leading up to the report following Seagate (STX) earnings. • Qualcomm (QCOM): Saw its best day in years (up 15%) after announcing it would ship data center chips to a major hyperscaler by December.
• The "Hardware Reversal": A key theme discussed (referencing Chamath Palihapitiya) is that hardware companies are currently capturing the margins that used to go to software companies. Hardware is currently the "bottleneck" and the primary beneficiary of AI CapEx. • Software "Saspocalypse" Bottoming: While software has been "in the gutter" compared to semiconductors, strong results from Atlassian (TEAM) and Twilio (TWLO) suggest the sector may be finding a bottom. • Consumer Resilience: Strong earnings from Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM) and low unemployment claims suggest the U.S. consumer is still spending, which supports the bull case for advertising-based stocks. • Oil vs. Market: The S&P 500 is hitting all-time highs even with oil above $100, suggesting the market is currently prioritizing earnings growth over energy inflation concerns.

By @amitinvesting
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