AMAZON DEMOLISHES EARNINGS, WHAT HAPPENS AFTER LEOPOLD, LAST DAY FOR JULY | MARKET OPEN
AMAZON DEMOLISHES EARNINGS, WHAT HAPPENS AFTER LEOPOLD, LAST DAY FOR JULY | MARKET OPEN
21 hours agoAmit Kukreja@amitinvesting
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Capitalize on the post-earnings sell-off in Reddit (RDDT) by treating its 16% to 22% drop as a medium-to-long-term buy-the-dip opportunity at roughly 22x forward P/E. Buy Amazon (AMZN) as a high-conviction growth play, leveraging its robust cloud demand and expanding AWS margins. Monitor NVIDIA (NVDA) closely for a sustained break above the $200 psychological resistance level to signal renewed momentum in the semiconductor sector. Assess your personal risk tolerance before buying Micron Technology (MU) due to its extreme cyclical volatility and heavy short interest. Finally, target high-beta infrastructure names like Bloom Energy (BE) for asymmetric upside during the ongoing AI compute boom.

Detailed Analysis

Amazon (AMZN)

  • Amazon reported strong quarterly earnings, outperforming Wall Street expectations with AWS (Amazon Web Services) growing 37% year-over-year compared to consensus estimates of 32%.
  • AWS operating margins reached 39.7%, while overall company operating margins expanded to 13.7% (up from 5% a year and a half prior).
  • CEO Andy Jassy announced plans to increase capital expenditures (CapEx) by another $20 billion for 2026, boosting confidence in compute infrastructure spending.
  • Management stated they expect AWS to eventually become a $1 trillion per-year business.
  • The stock surged over 10% to 15% in pre-market and regular trading following the earnings release.

Takeaways

  • Strong enterprise demand for cloud computing and AI infrastructure makes Amazon a stable long-term play, with a very high conviction level among growth investors.
  • Increased CapEx serves as a bullish indicator for semiconductor and infrastructure providers supplying Amazon.

NVIDIA (NVDA)

  • NVIDIA experienced upward momentum alongside broader tech rallies, though it faced heavy psychological resistance around the $200 price mark.
  • Michael Burry was noted as holding short positions on NVIDIA and related semiconductor funds (SMH), betting on a potential "dead cat bounce."
  • Despite bearish macro bets, major hyperscalers like Amazon are aggressively expanding compute CapEx, ensuring strong forward demand for NVIDIA hardware.

Takeaways

  • Watch the $200 resistance level closely; a sustained break above this price point could signal renewed bullish continuation for the broader semiconductor sector.

Micron Technology (MU)

  • DRAM memory prices rose 2.7%, and Micron stock saw pre-market bumps of around 3% to 5% following Amazon’s aggressive infrastructure spending plans.
  • The stock experienced extreme volatility, dropping from highs near $1,250 down to the $850–$930 range during recent market liquidations.
  • Michael Burry reportedly added to short positions on Micron through puts expiring in late 2026 and early 2027.

Takeaways

  • Micron operates in a cyclical, high-volatility market; investors should evaluate whether they possess the risk tolerance to hold through sharp drawdowns compared to more stable mega-cap tech stocks.

Reddit (RDDT)

  • Reddit reported stellar earnings with year-over-year revenue growth of 70% and adjusted EPS up 178%.
  • The company repurchased 1.5 million shares ($230+ million) during the quarter and lowered its stock-based compensation (SBC) guidance.
  • Despite the strong financial beat, the stock dropped 16% to 22% due to a minor quarter-over-quarter decline in North American Daily Active Users (DAUs) (down by 300,000 to 53.2 million) and concerns regarding search referral traffic volatility.

Takeaways

  • Trading at approximately 22x forward P/E, the steep sell-off following a massive fundamental beat presents a potential buy-the-dip opportunity for investors with a medium-to-long-term horizon.

Bloom Energy (BE) & SanDisk (SNDK)

  • Both stocks experienced extreme volatility, initially suffering steep double-digit drawdowns due to forced hedge fund liquidations before rallying 12% to 16% on renewed infrastructure spending.

Takeaways

  • High-beta infrastructure plays offer asymmetric upside during AI compute booms, but carry immense drawdown risks when broader market deleveraging occurs.

Palantir Technologies (PLTR)

  • Mentioned as a foundational software play with high long-term conviction, set to report earnings the following Monday with expected high growth metrics.

Takeaways

  • Enterprise adoption of AI foundry platforms remains robust, making quality software leaders attractive despite short-term sector rotation into hardware.
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Video Description
twitter: https://x.com/amitisinvesting deepdives: https://amitsdeepdives.substack.com/ free news terminal - https://caktusjxck.com/ 00:00 - Intro 05:00 - Leopold 24:00 - Amazon 33:00 - RDDT 44:00 - Market Open 1:15:00 - Consumer Sentiment 1:50:00 - Gil Lauria Speaks 1:58:00 - Chris Camillo Joins
About Amit Kukreja
Amit Kukreja

Amit Kukreja

By @amitinvesting

Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!