Jake Paul & The Chainsmokers: Turning Fame into Funds, Jake Enters Politics? & Venture Bubble Signs
Jake Paul & The Chainsmokers: Turning Fame into Funds, Jake Enters Politics? & Venture Bubble Signs
11 hours ago•All-In Podcast•@allin
YouTube52 min 49 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights
  • Treat private venture funds such as Anti-Fund and Mantis as high-risk, long-term, illiquid investments; assess realized returns and business progress rather than celebrity, reputation, or paper valuation increases.
  • The discussion offers no current buy recommendation or price target for Robinhood, Uber, or Airbnb; $9 was a historical Robinhood purchase price, not a current entry point.
  • SpaceX, OpenAI, and the other named venture companies are private investments, and the information provided is insufficient to judge their valuations or recommend investing.
  • For public-market decisions, wait for current financials, valuation, and investment terms before acting; the conversation provides no actionable trade setup.
Detailed Analysis

Anti-Fund and Jake Paul’s Venture Investments

  • Jake Paul said he and his partner raised $100 million for the Anti-Fund and had already deployed that fund; they were moving on to Fund IV.
  • The fund uses a “barbell” approach: investing at the earliest stage and helping founders build, or investing in later-stage companies with established track records.
  • Paul cited investments in OpenAI, Cognition, and SpaceX. He also said his reach and marketing experience can help portfolio companies gain attention and build their brands.
  • Paul’s broader view is that attention can help a company stand out, but hype cannot replace building a strong business.

Takeaways

  • The discussion points to the potential value of investors who can contribute more than capital, such as customer access, marketing, or founder support.
  • It also highlights the risks of judging a venture investment by visibility alone: the speakers stressed that business quality and eventual returns matter more than celebrity or publicity.
  • Private venture funds can be difficult to assess and may take a long time to return capital; the transcript does not provide performance figures for the Anti-Fund.

Mantis (Chainsmokers’ Venture Firm)

  • The Chainsmokers described Mantis as a venture firm focused on cybersecurity, AI, infrastructure, deep tech, and health tech.
  • They invest in Series A companies and said they generally do not lead rounds, preferring to support founders as collaborative investors.
  • They described their value to companies as including brand-building, marketing, and introductions to useful contacts.
  • The partners emphasized that venture investing is demanding, long-duration, and illiquid. They said strong venture returns are concentrated in a small share of funds and companies.
  • They also discussed venture-market behavior where a later financing round can be priced substantially higher without a corresponding improvement in the company’s underlying performance, calling this bubble-like behavior.

Takeaways

  • The firm’s approach reflects a possible advantage for investors with specialized networks or go-to-market skills, but those contributions do not remove the risks of early-stage investing.
  • The speakers’ warning about sharp valuation increases without business progress is a reason to distinguish paper markups from evidence of improving performance.
  • Treat venture capital as a long-term, illiquid investment, and evaluate a fund’s realized returns and investment process rather than relying on reputation or headline valuations.

Robinhood

  • The discussion described Robinhood as an early investment that many investors initially dismissed.
  • One speaker said he bought shares in the public market at $9 per share and had not sold any of his shares at the time of the conversation.
  • He credited the company’s founders and product execution, and pointed to the company’s expansion into additional product areas.
  • The example was also used to illustrate how investors’ prior assumptions or experience can cause them to miss opportunities.

Takeaways

  • The speakers’ lesson was to assess a company’s founders, execution, and potential customer adoption rather than rejecting an idea only because it conflicts with familiar investing assumptions.
  • The $9 figure is a historical purchase price mentioned in the conversation, not a current price or price target.
  • The transcript does not discuss Robinhood’s current valuation or provide a present-day buy or sell recommendation.

Uber

  • The speakers cited Uber as an example of a company with a difficult, non-obvious business model that many investors initially rejected.
  • Concerns included its exposure to the “real world,” potential accidents, and whether investors should back the business rather than simply sell software to existing taxi companies.
  • One speaker said Uber shares had once made up 99% of his net worth, leading him to sell some shares over time, though he said he still held a substantial position.

Takeaways

  • The discussion illustrates both the potential rewards and the concentration risk of holding a successful early investment.
  • A compelling long-term opportunity can still carry business and execution risks; the transcript does not provide a current assessment of Uber or a price target.

Airbnb

  • Airbnb was cited as another example of a company built around a vision that was not obvious to many investors at the time.
  • The conversation used it to make the broader point that investors can miss major companies when they rely too heavily on conventional assumptions.

Takeaways

  • Consider whether an unfamiliar business could create a new market or change customer behavior, while still examining whether the business model is viable.
  • No specific valuation, price target, or current investment recommendation for Airbnb was discussed.

SpaceX

  • SpaceX was named among Jake Paul’s venture investments.
  • The Chainsmokers also referred to late-stage investment opportunities involving SpaceX as examples of the scale and duration of private-company investing.

Takeaways

  • SpaceX was discussed as a private-company investment example, not as a publicly traded stock.
  • The transcript provides no valuation, terms, or investment recommendation.

OpenAI and Sora

  • Paul said he invested in OpenAI and advised the company that a social media app based on Sora could be a promising idea.
  • He said he was involved in developing the app and allowed the use of his name, image, and likeness for videos made with it.
  • His comments illustrate how an investor’s audience and marketing experience may help a technology product reach users.

Takeaways

  • The discussion highlights the potential for AI products to expand into new consumer formats, but does not establish the commercial success or investment merits of a Sora social app.
  • The speakers also warned more broadly that attention and novelty are not substitutes for building a durable product.

Cognition

  • Cognition was named as one of Jake Paul’s investments.
  • No specific product details, valuation, performance, or investment rationale for Cognition were provided.

Takeaways

  • The transcript establishes that Cognition was mentioned as an investment, but offers too little information to support a company-specific investment conclusion.

PFL, MVP, and the UFC

  • Paul said his company, MVP, had 400 fighters across boxing and MMA and had merged with PFL.
  • He described an opportunity to compete with the UFC, arguing that the UFC pays fighters roughly 15% of total revenue, compared with about 50% in other major professional sports leagues.
  • He said fighters are dissatisfied with pay and other conditions, and that MVP aims to attract talent by offering fighters a larger share of revenue, sponsorship opportunities, and more opportunities to compete.
  • Paul also described his work in women’s boxing as a way to increase fighters’ visibility and pay.

Takeaways

  • The discussion identifies fighter compensation and treatment as the basis for a possible competitor in combat sports.
  • The opportunity depends on attracting talent and delivering the major fights fans want to see; no financial results, valuation, or investment terms for MVP or PFL were discussed.

Underdog Fantasy

  • The Chainsmokers said Underdog Fantasy was the first company from their first fund to produce a “proper liquidity event.”
  • They described the event as an important milestone because venture returns ultimately need to be returned to fund investors, not just reflected in higher private valuations.

Takeaways

  • For venture funds, realized liquidity can be more meaningful than a paper valuation increase.
  • The transcript does not state the size of the proceeds or the fund’s overall return from the investment.

Dandy

  • The Chainsmokers described Dandy as a portfolio company that continued to grow and had begun expanding internationally.
  • They said the company had been doubling each year, but did not provide a time period or financial details.

Takeaways

  • The example reflects the importance the speakers place on sustained operating growth and expansion when deciding whether to continue backing a company.
  • The growth claim is from the conversation and is not accompanied by detailed financial data.

Zipline, Vast, and Adams

  • The Chainsmokers cited Zipline, Vast, and Adams as examples of later-stage investment opportunities that attracted interest from some of their family-office investors.
  • No deal terms, valuations, or company-specific investment analysis were provided.

Takeaways

  • The examples show how venture firms may serve investors with different interests across early- and later-stage companies.
  • The transcript does not provide enough detail to assess these companies individually.

Venture Capital and Private-Market Investing

  • The speakers described venture investing as high-risk, long-duration, and illiquid, with a small share of investments generating most returns.
  • They emphasized the importance of realized performance, founder quality, company execution, and the ability to support portfolio companies.
  • They discussed focusing follow-on capital on the strongest companies rather than spreading it evenly across a portfolio.
  • They also cautioned that some private-market financings may be driven by demand and valuation momentum rather than a meaningful change in underlying company performance.

Takeaways

  • In private markets, distinguish realized returns from estimated valuations, and look for evidence of business progress behind a financing-round markup.
  • Diversification can reduce dependence on any one company, while follow-on investing may concentrate more capital in the strongest performers; both approaches involve trade-offs.
  • The transcript’s comments are general observations about venture investing, not specific recommendations to invest in any fund or private company.
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Video Description
(0:00) Jake Paul joins the Chamath! (6:41) Turning an audience into businesses, the boxing playbook & coming for the UFC (11:54) Attention as capital, investing without the celebrity label & why politics is next (20:46) Drew Taggart & Alex Pall join the Besties! (30:35) From artists to investors: picking deals, playing the sixth man & what fame buys (37:33) Advice for famous investors, whether fame helps or hurts & the non-obvious bets (46:10) Riding winners, getting cash back to investors & spotting bubble behavior Thanks to our partners for making this possible! IREN is a vertically integrated AI Cloud platform, delivering data centers, compute and software for AI training and inference. https://iren.com/ Oracle connects the data, applications, and infrastructure that turn AI into business outcomes—with the flexibility, choice, and control to optimize as AI evolves. http://oracle.com/ai EY helps tech innovators scale from startup to exit to megacap. You build the future. We’ll handle the rest. http://www.ey.com Meta believes the future is for everyone. We're focused on giving every person the tools to reach their full potential and making sure the benefits of technology are distributed to all. http://www.meta.com Keel Infrastructure owns the power, land, and connectivity that HPC and AI run on - backed by secured energy assets and established grid interconnections across North America. https://keelinfra.com/ Airwallex - Agentic Global Business Accounts. Open local accounts in 70+ countries to accept payments, earn yield, pay globally, and manage spend. http://airwallex.com PayPal has been revolutionizing commerce globally for more than 25 years. Creating innovative experiences that make moving money, selling, and shopping simple, personalized, and secure, PayPal empowers consumers and businesses in approximately 200 markets to join and thrive in the global economy. For more information, visit https://www.paypal.com Google for Startups connects founders with the right people, products, and best practices to help startups build faster and go further. https://startup.google.com/ Explore ideas, industries, and technologies worth understanding with Chamath every week on Learn with Me: https://research.socialcapital.com/allin Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@allin Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg #allin #tech #news
About All-In Podcast
All-In Podcast

All-In Podcast

By @allin

Chamath Palihapitiya, Jason Calacanis, David Sacks & David Friedberg cover all things economic, tech, political, social & poker.