Building an AI Physicist: ChatGPT Co-Creator’s Next Venture
Building an AI Physicist: ChatGPT Co-Creator’s Next Venture
Podcast54 min 20 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

The application of AI is expanding beyond the digital world into physical sciences, creating a long-term investment theme in "AI for Science." Consider investing in the semiconductor (SMH) and aerospace & defense (ITA) sectors, as these industries are key early adopters of AI to accelerate their research and development. For broader exposure to the foundational technology, look to large-cap leaders like Google (GOOGL) and Microsoft (MSFT) who are pioneering AI for scientific discovery. While not publicly traded, watch for news from frontier AI labs like Periodic Labs, as their progress can signal major market shifts. This trend focuses on companies using AI to solve complex, real-world engineering and materials science challenges.

Detailed Analysis

Periodic Labs (Private Company)

  • Periodic Labs is a frontier AI research lab founded by Liam Vedas (co-creator of ChatGPT) and Doge Chubuk (formerly of DeepMind's physics teams). The company is backed by Andreessen Horowitz (a16z).
  • The company's mission is to build an "AI Physicist" to accelerate scientific discovery and R&D in the physical world, specifically in physics and chemistry.
  • Their core thesis is that to solve real-world science problems, AI models need to be trained with real-world experiments, a concept they call "experiment in the loop." This contrasts with current large language models (LLMs) that are trained primarily on digital data from the internet.
  • The lab creates a "physically grounded reward function," meaning the AI's success is measured by the outcomes of actual physical experiments, not just simulations or textbook problems. This allows the AI to learn from both positive and negative results, the latter of which is valuable data that is rarely published.
  • Their initial "North Star" goals are to make breakthroughs in high-temperature superconductivity and magnetism.
  • The commercial strategy is to build "co-pilots for engineers" in advanced industries, effectively becoming an intelligence layer that accelerates R&D for companies in sectors like space, defense, and semiconductors.

Takeaways

  • As a private startup, Periodic Labs is not available for direct investment by the general public. However, it is a key company to watch as a leader in the emerging field of AI for physical sciences.
  • The high-profile founding team from OpenAI and DeepMind lends the company significant credibility and suggests a high potential for technological breakthroughs.
  • The company's success could signal a paradigm shift in R&D, potentially disrupting industries that rely on slow, iterative lab work. Keep an eye on news related to their progress, partnerships, or a future IPO.

Investment Theme: AI for Physical R&D

  • The podcast highlights a major emerging theme: the application of AI is moving beyond the digital world (writing, coding) and into solving complex problems in the physical world (material science, chemistry, manufacturing).
  • The speakers argue that current AI models are "terrible at scientific analysis" because they were not trained to do it. The key to unlocking this capability is to combine AI with real-world experimental data.
  • Companies that build their own physical labs to generate proprietary training data may create a powerful competitive advantage, as this data (especially from failed experiments) does not exist in public datasets.
  • The near-term commercial application of this theme is creating AI-powered tools that act as "co-pilots" for scientists and engineers, helping them design and iterate on new materials and processes much faster.

Takeaways

  • Investors should consider "AI for Science" as a long-term growth theme. This involves looking for companies that are applying AI to physical R&D, not just software or internet services.
  • The value is not just in the AI model itself, but in the unique, proprietary data generated from physical experiments. Companies that control this data loop (AI model -> experiment -> data -> improved AI model) are best positioned to win.
  • This theme extends to other sectors like drug discovery, biotechnology, and energy, where AI can be used to accelerate the discovery of new molecules, therapies, and materials.

Target Industries: Advanced Manufacturing, Semiconductors, Space & Defense

  • The podcast identifies these "mission critical" industries as the primary customers for the next wave of AI tools.
  • These sectors have massive R&D budgets and are actively seeking AI strategies to solve complex engineering and materials science challenges.
  • The pain points for these industries include long development cycles, a need to replace the expertise of retiring senior researchers, and the high cost of physical trial-and-error.
  • AI "co-pilots" can directly address these issues by accelerating simulations, suggesting novel material compositions, and helping engineers iterate on designs more quickly.

Takeaways

  • The push by these foundational industries to adopt AI presents a significant investment opportunity. Companies that successfully provide AI-driven R&D solutions to these sectors have a large and well-funded target market.
  • Consider investing in established public companies within the semiconductor (e.g., SMH ETF), aerospace & defense (e.g., ITA ETF), and industrial sectors that are vocal about their investment in and adoption of AI for their R&D processes. These companies may gain a competitive edge over slower-moving peers.

Major Tech Companies: Google (GOOGL), Microsoft (MSFT), Meta (META)

  • The podcast mentions that major tech labs like Google's DeepMind, Microsoft, and Meta are also actively working on AI for science and open-sourcing powerful simulation tools.
  • These tech giants are advancing the foundational models and tools that the entire ecosystem, including startups like Periodic Labs, can benefit from.
  • Their involvement validates the importance and potential of the "AI for Science" field. They act as both potential competitors and enablers of the broader industry.

Takeaways

  • For investors seeking broad exposure to the "AI for Science" trend, holding shares in large-cap tech companies like GOOGL, MSFT, and META is a viable strategy, as this research is part of their broader AI initiatives.
  • The work being done at these large companies helps de-risk the technology for the entire field. Their continued investment is a bullish signal for the long-term viability of applying AI to scientific discovery.
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Episode Description
Scaling laws took us from GPT-1 to GPT-5 Pro. But in order to crack physics, we’ll need a different approach.  In this episode, a16z General Partner Anjney Midha talks to Liam Fedus, former VP of post-training research and co-creator of ChatGPT at OpenAI, and Ekin Dogus Cubuk, former head of materials science and chemistry research at Google DeepMind, on their new startup Periodic Labs and their plan to automate discovery in the hard sciences. Follow Liam on X: https://x.com/LiamFedus Follow Dogus on X: https://x.com/ekindogus Learn more about Periodic: https://periodic.com/ Stay Updated: Find a16z on X Find a16z on LinkedIn Listen to the a16z Podcast on Spotify Listen to the a16z Podcast on Apple Podcasts Follow our host: https://twitter.com/eriktorenberg   Please note that the content here is for informational purposes only; should NOT be taken as legal, business, tax, or investment advice or be used to evaluate any investment or security; and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any a16z fund. a16z and its affiliates may maintain investments in the companies discussed. For more details please see a16z.com/disclosures. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
About a16z Podcast
a16z Podcast

a16z Podcast

By Andreessen Horowitz

The a16z Podcast discusses tech and culture trends, news, and the future – especially as ‘software eats the world’. It features industry experts, business leaders, and other interesting thinkers and voices from around the world. This podcast is produced by Andreessen Horowitz (aka “a16z”), a Silicon Valley-based venture capital firm. Multiple episodes are released every week; visit a16z.com for more details and to sign up for our newsletters and other content as well!