“Anyone Can Code Now” - Netlify CEO Talks AI Agents
“Anyone Can Code Now” - Netlify CEO Talks AI Agents
Podcast57 min 59 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

The AI revolution is creating a major "picks and shovels" investment opportunity in the software infrastructure and developer tool space. Consider Cloudflare (NET) as it is developing tools to help websites monetize the growing traffic from AI agents, creating a potential new revenue stream. Investors should also evaluate SaaS companies like HubSpot (HUBS) that are strategically focusing on "Agent Experience" (AX) to embed themselves in future AI-driven workflows. When evaluating companies, prioritize those that make their platforms easy for AI agents to use and build upon. This focus on enabling a new, broader class of AI-powered developers is a key indicator of long-term growth potential.

Detailed Analysis

AI and the Future of Software Development (Investment Theme)

  • The core thesis of the podcast is that Artificial Intelligence is fundamentally changing software development by collapsing the barrier between having an idea and shipping working software.
  • The definition of a "developer" is expanding. It's no longer just about writing code but about systems thinking, clarity of thought, and guiding AI agents.
  • The total addressable market (TAM) for developer-focused tools is exploding. It's shifting from an estimated 17 million professional developers to potentially 3 billion people who can use tools like spreadsheets.
  • A new key metric for product success is emerging: "Agent Experience" (AX). This refers to how easily an AI agent can use and interact with a product, API, or documentation. Companies that optimize for AX are positioned to win.
  • The business model for software is shifting from recurring subscriptions to usage-based pricing tied to AI consumption (e.g., tokens). While this is the current trend, the hosts note it can be unpredictable for customers.

Takeaways

  • Bullish Sector Outlook: The developer tool and infrastructure space is experiencing a massive tailwind from AI. Investors should look for companies that enable this new, broader class of developers.
  • Focus on "Agent Experience" (AX): When evaluating software and platform companies (especially SaaS and infrastructure), a key question to ask is: "What is their strategy for Agent Experience?" Companies that make their platforms easy for AI to build on are likely to see outsized growth.
  • The "Picks and Shovels" Play: The companies providing the fundamental tools and platforms (the "picks and shovels") for this new wave of AI-driven development are in a strong position. This includes hosting platforms, API-first companies, and infrastructure providers.
  • Watch for Pricing Model Innovation: The shift to usage-based pricing presents both opportunities and risks. Companies that can create predictable, value-aligned pricing models in an AI-driven world may gain a competitive advantage.

Netlify (Private Company)

  • Netlify, a major web hosting and development platform, is a prime example of a company benefiting from the AI-driven developer boom.
  • Their daily signups have surged from ~3,000/day a year ago to ~16,000/day today.
  • This growth is not just from traditional developers. The user base is shifting to include non-technical roles like marketers, designers, and product managers who are now able to build websites and apps using AI tools.
  • The company has made "Agent Experience" (AX) its "product North Star," indicating a deep strategic commitment to this trend.
  • A feature called "Why did it fail?" which uses an LLM to diagnose build errors, saw 25% of users immediately copy the results to another LLM to "go fix it," demonstrating how deeply integrated AI is becoming in developer workflows.
  • The company's philosophy is not about replacing developers, but about empowering billions of new people to become developers.

Takeaways

  • While Netlify is a private company, its performance is a powerful real-world indicator of the AI-driven developer trend. Its 5x growth in daily signups validates the thesis that the market for developer tools is expanding dramatically.
  • Investors in public companies should look for similar patterns: are user bases expanding beyond the traditional technical audience? Are signups accelerating due to AI tools?
  • Netlify's success provides a blueprint for what a winning strategy looks like in this new era: focus on ease of use, cater to AI agents, and empower a new generation of builders.

Cloudflare (NET)

  • Cloudflare was mentioned in the context of a new industry problem: how to manage and monetize website traffic from AI agents.
  • The company is reportedly providing tools to help website owners charge for AI agents crawling their sites.
  • This points to the emerging economics of the AI-driven web, where automated traffic could become a significant cost center or a new revenue stream.

Takeaways

  • As a key provider of web infrastructure and security, Cloudflare is in a prime position to monetize the new patterns of AI-driven internet traffic.
  • The ability to differentiate between human and agent traffic and to provide tools for monetization (e.g., charging for API access or crawling) could become a significant new business line for infrastructure companies like Cloudflare.
  • This is an area for investors to watch, as it represents a tangible way that infrastructure players can capture value from the growth of AI.

HubSpot (HUBS)

  • HubSpot was cited as an example of a mainstream SaaS company, outside of the core developer tool space, that is strategically focusing on "Agent Experience" (AX).
  • The company's leadership is reportedly gearing the platform to be "really great for these agents to work with," viewing AI as the future interface for much of their data and automation.

Takeaways

  • The AI agent trend is not limited to developer tools; it is expanding to the broader SaaS ecosystem.
  • Investors should look for public SaaS companies like HubSpot that are proactively adapting their platforms for AI agents. This could be a key differentiator for growth as users increasingly interact with software through AI assistants rather than traditional UIs.
  • Companies that embrace this shift may be able to embed themselves more deeply into customer workflows, while those that ignore it risk being abstracted away by AI agents.

Stripe (Private Company)

  • Stripe was mentioned for launching a new payment option that allows users to buy products directly through ChatGPT.
  • This highlights a fundamental shift in the "consumption layer" of the internet, where transactions can occur within an AI chat interface rather than on a traditional e-commerce website.

Takeaways

  • The future of e-commerce and payments may be "agent-native." Users will have strong preferences for their personal AI assistants and will want to conduct commerce through them.
  • Payment infrastructure companies like Stripe that enable these new, agent-driven transaction flows are extremely well-positioned.
  • This trend could disrupt traditional e-commerce platforms if they fail to adapt. The value may shift from the website front-end to the payment and API back-end that can service AI agents.
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Episode Description
Netlify's CEO, Matt Biilmann, reveals a seismic shift nobody saw coming: 16,000 daily signups—five times last year's rate—and 96% aren't coming from AI coding tools. They're everyday people accidentally building React apps through ChatGPT, then discovering they need somewhere to deploy them. The addressable market for developer tools just exploded from 17 million JavaScript developers to 3 billion spreadsheet users, but only if your product speaks fluent AI—which is why Netlify's founder now submits pull requests he built entirely through prompting, never touching code himself, and why 25% of users immediately copy error messages to LLMs instead of debugging manually. The web isn't dying to agents; it's being reborn by them, with CEOs coding again and non-developers shipping production apps while the entire economics of software—from perpetual licenses to subscriptions to pure usage—gets rewritten in real-time.   Resources: Follow Matt Biilmann on X: https://x.com/biilmann Follow Martin Casado on X: https://x.com/martin_casado Follow Erik Torenberg on X: https://x.com/eriktorenberg   Stay Updated: If you enjoyed this episode, be sure to like, subscribe, and share with your friends! Find a16z on X: https://x.com/a16z Find a16z on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/a16z Listen to the a16z Podcast on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/5bC65RDvs3oxnLyqqvkUYX Listen to the a16z Podcast on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/a16z-podcast/id842818711 Follow our host: https://x.com/eriktorenberg Please note that the content here is for informational purposes only; should NOT be taken as legal, business, tax, or investment advice or be used to evaluate any investment or security; and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any a16z fund. a16z and its affiliates may maintain investments in the companies discussed. For more details please see http://a16z.com/disclosures. Stay Updated: Find a16z on X Find a16z on LinkedIn Listen to the a16z Show on Spotify Listen to the a16z Show on Apple Podcasts Follow our host: https://twitter.com/eriktorenberg   Please note that the content here is for informational purposes only; should NOT be taken as legal, business, tax, or investment advice or be used to evaluate any investment or security; and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any a16z fund. a16z and its affiliates may maintain investments in the companies discussed. For more details please see a16z.com/disclosures. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
About a16z Podcast
a16z Podcast

a16z Podcast

By Andreessen Horowitz

The a16z Podcast discusses tech and culture trends, news, and the future – especially as ‘software eats the world’. It features industry experts, business leaders, and other interesting thinkers and voices from around the world. This podcast is produced by Andreessen Horowitz (aka “a16z”), a Silicon Valley-based venture capital firm. Multiple episodes are released every week; visit a16z.com for more details and to sign up for our newsletters and other content as well!