Markets Ripping, Bitcoin All-Time High, & What's the Trade?
Markets Ripping, Bitcoin All-Time High, & What's the Trade?
215 days ago1000xBlockworks
Podcast56 min 20 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Bitcoin (BTC) is the highest conviction investment, with analysts targeting $150,000 - $160,000 by year-end following its recent breakout. For leveraged equity exposure to the crypto bull market, consider Galaxy Digital (GLXY.TO), which is viewed as a significantly undervalued "compression trade" with multiple growth catalysts. Ethereum (ETH) is presented as a prime "catch-up trade" that may outperform Bitcoin in the near term as capital rotates into other large-cap crypto assets. Investors holding Gold could consider rebalancing some profits into crypto to capture more potential upside. For a high-risk, high-reward play, analysts mentioned December $150,000 strike calls on BTC or a long-term position in Robinhood (HOOD).

Detailed Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • The hosts have a very bullish sentiment, stating the market is in "moon boy mode" and that investors should "respect the breakout" to new all-time highs (mentioned as $125,000).
  • The recent sell-off was seen as a healthy "liquidation flush," and the rapid recovery from the lows is considered a strong bullish signal that forced traders who sold back into the market.
  • A key analysis compares Bitcoin to Gold. The hosts argue that pricing Bitcoin in Gold removes the noise of US dollar inflation.
    • The BTC/Gold ratio chart is currently at the low end of its recent trend channel.
    • A simple reversion to the middle of this channel could lead to a Bitcoin price of $156,000 by year-end, even if Gold's price stays flat.
    • If Gold continues its rally, the hosts see a path to $160,000 - $170,000+ for Bitcoin by year-end.
  • The rally does not appear to be driven by large institutional buyers like MicroStrategy, but rather by "fellow apes" (retail and smaller traders), which is seen as a healthier sign for the rally's sustainability.

Takeaways

  • The overall sentiment is strongly bullish. The breakout to new all-time highs is seen as a significant technical event that should not be faded.
  • The price target discussed is in the $150,000 - $160,000 range by the end of the year, based on technical analysis and the relationship between Bitcoin and Gold.
  • For traders: A specific trade idea mentioned was buying longer-dated call options to get leveraged exposure to a potentially fast-moving rally.
    • They specifically discuss December $150,000 strike calls. If Bitcoin were to reach $180,000 by year-end, this trade could potentially return 10x the initial investment. This is a high-risk strategy.
  • For investors: Bitcoin is considered the "surefire bet" in the current market. The opportunity cost of investing in other assets over Bitcoin is seen as very high right now. For smaller portfolios (<$100k), the hosts suggest a concentrated position in Bitcoin is a viable strategy for wealth creation.

Galaxy Digital (GLXY.TO)

  • The hosts are extremely bullish on Galaxy Digital, noting its stock is up 74% in a month and has the potential to "go berserk" like a meme stock.
  • A major catalyst is the launch of Galaxy One, a new brokerage platform aiming to integrate stock and crypto trading with lower fees than competitors like Robinhood. The platform is led by Zach Prince, the founder of BlockFi.
  • Galaxy is seen as a "compression trade" relative to its competitors. Its market cap ($14.85 billion) is significantly smaller than Coinbase's ($98.65 billion), suggesting substantial room for growth if it gains traction.
  • The company has multiple bullish narratives:
    • The new Galaxy One brokerage product.
    • A data center business, giving it exposure to the popular AI investment theme.
    • It tends to have a positive correlation with Bitcoin, often rising more than BTC on up days and falling less on down days.

Takeaways

  • Galaxy Digital is presented as a top pick outside of just holding crypto assets. It offers leveraged exposure to the crypto bull market with additional catalysts.
  • Investors could see this as a way to bet on the growth of the crypto ecosystem, the AI trend, and a potential "meme stock" rally, all in one company.
  • The significant valuation gap between Galaxy and Coinbase is a key part of the bullish thesis, implying a potential multi-bagger return if the gap closes.

Gold

  • Described as an "absolute ripper," having rallied 20% in the last two months.
  • The hosts believe Gold's role has shifted. It's no longer just a "risk-off" asset but is now a "de-dollarization hedge." This means countries and large entities are buying it to diversify away from the US dollar.
  • Gold's strength is seen as a positive for Bitcoin. The more Gold's market cap grows, the higher the potential "ceiling" is for Bitcoin, which is often called "digital gold."
  • One host mentioned they are rebalancing some of their profits from their Gold and Silver positions into Bitcoin and the rest of their portfolio.

Takeaways

  • Gold's strong performance supports the overall narrative for hard assets and provides a bullish backdrop for Bitcoin.
  • Investors who hold both Gold and Bitcoin might consider the hosts' strategy of taking some profits from Gold's recent run-up and reallocating them to crypto assets that may have more upside potential in the short term.

Robinhood (HOOD)

  • Robinhood's stock has been "ripping," up 30% in the last month.
  • The hosts view this as a bullish leading indicator for the crypto market.
  • The logic is that since Robinhood earns significant revenue from crypto trading, its stock price rising suggests strong retail interest and speculative money flowing into the crypto space. It's considered "implausible" for HOOD to rally this hard if the underlying crypto market were weak.
  • One host mentioned holding a 5% position in their portfolio, believing it has a 50-60% chance of a 10x return over the next five years.

Takeaways

  • Robinhood's stock can be used as a barometer for retail sentiment in crypto. Its current strength is a positive sign for the broader market.
  • Beyond being an indicator, HOOD itself is presented as a long-term, high-risk/high-reward investment on the future of retail participation in crypto markets.

Ethereum (ETH)

  • Mentioned as a potential "catch-up trade" to Bitcoin.
  • On the day of recording, ETH was outperforming Bitcoin (+4% vs. +1.5%), suggesting that money might be starting to rotate from Bitcoin into Ethereum and other large-cap altcoins now that Bitcoin has broken its all-time high.
  • A previous ETH rally from $3,700 to $5,000 was used as an example of a successful breakout trade, similar to the setup Bitcoin is in now.

Takeaways

  • Investors looking for higher returns than Bitcoin might consider Ethereum. The thesis is that as Bitcoin consolidates after its big move, capital will flow into ETH, causing it to outperform in the short term.

Other Investment Mentions

Binance Coin (BNB) & Mantle (MNT)

  • Context: Both are highlighted as strong performers with charts that look like a "parabola." The core thesis is that they have a restricted supply of tokens. In a bull market with lots of speculative money, assets with fewer sellers tend to perform extremely well.
  • Takeaways: These are presented as good "sit on your hands" trades. Investors can buy and hold them to benefit from speculative inflows into the market, as their supply dynamics are favorable.

Zcash (ZEC)

  • Context: Zcash doubled in a week, which the hosts see as a sign of market froth and the potential start of an "alt season." They are skeptical of the rally's fundamental drivers and warn against chasing it. They believe a big Zcash rally has historically been a late-cycle indicator.
  • Takeaways: Do not chase the Zcash pump. Instead, view it as a signal that the market is getting "insane" and that riskier altcoins may start to see more volatility and attention.

Uranium

  • Context: Briefly mentioned as a non-crypto investment that has performed very well (up 22-23% recently) and is expected to "continue to do extremely well."
  • Takeaways: For investors looking to diversify outside of crypto, the hosts are bullish on the Uranium sector.

Portfolio & Risk Strategy

  • Context: The hosts discussed portfolio construction based on size and income.
    • Smaller portfolios (<$100k): They advocate for concentration in high-conviction bets (like Bitcoin) to build wealth, especially if you have a stable non-crypto income.
    • Larger portfolios (>$1M): Diversification and more careful position sizing (e.g., 5-10% allocations) are recommended to grow and preserve wealth.
  • Takeaways: Your investment strategy should match your financial situation. The best diversification is having a source of income that is not correlated to crypto, as this prevents you from being a forced seller during market downturns.
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Episode Description
Gm! This week, we dig into Uptober, Bitcoin hitting all-time highs, and what's next for markets. We also dig into BTC vs gold, if Bitcoin calls are the best trade, and the surge in speculative appetite that’s now spilling into alts and equities like Galaxy and Zcash. Enjoy! – Go follow the new 1000x feed to keep up to date with all new episodes! Spotify: https://bit.ly/4676Sob  Apple: https://bit.ly/4etlBMd  – Follow Avi:  https://x.com/AviFelman  Follow Jonah:  https://x.com/jvb_xyz  Follow 1000x:  https://x.com/1000xPod.  Join the 1000x Telegram: https://t.me/+fz-2f0cwC6o0MWNh Join us at Digital Asset Summit in London October 13-15. Use code 1000x200 for £200 OFF https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-london  – Kraken OTC offers discreet, 24/7 execution for large crypto orders. Built for HNWIs and institutions trading $50K+, you get access to deep liquidity, chat-based support and flexible settlement. Learn more: ⁠kraken.com/blockworks⁠ Disclaimer: Availability of products may vary by jurisdiction. Not investment advice. Crypto trading involves risk of loss and is offered to US customers through Payward Interactive, Inc. View legal disclosures at ⁠https://kraken.com/legal/disclosures⁠. – peaq, the Machine Economy Computer, proudly sponsors the 1000x podcast.  peaq is home to 60+ apps across 20+ industries and millions of onchain devices, machines, and robots.  It powers the world’s first tokenized robo-farm in Hong Kong and has launched the Machine Economy Free Zone in Dubai as an innovation hub for Web3, Robotics, and AI. For more about peaq, check out www.peaq.xyz – Katana directs chain revenue back to DeFi users for consistently higher yields. It starts with VaultBridge, which turns bridged assets into yield streams that back a perpetually funded real yield, boosting rewards for DeFi users. Katana is pioneering Productive TVL, assets actually being used in DeFi and reinforces this with Chain-owned Liquidity, permanent liquidity the chain controls. Stop sleeping on your bags: https://app.katana.network/?utm_source=BW-Pod – Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ – Disclaimer: Nothing said on 1000x is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely our opinions, not financial advice. Avi, Jonah and our guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
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By Blockworks

1000x is a crypto markets podcast hosted by professional traders Avi Felman and Jonah Van Bourg. We bring on experts to dive deep into the macro and micro factors that represent the lifeblood of digital money and web3. As an increasing share of economic activity and attention migrates online, tokenomics and price action is increasingly relevant to everyone. If you’re interested in the future of markets and crypto, this show is for you.