Illia Polosukhin On The Future Of AI, Crypto, And How Near Is Going To Win
Illia Polosukhin On The Future Of AI, Crypto, And How Near Is Going To Win
1 hour ago•1000x•Blockworks
Podcast50 min 5 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights
  • NEAR is the clearest opportunity to monitor: the founder reports about $4 billion in monthly intent volume and product-fee-funded token buybacks, but verify sustained revenue and buyback data before treating this as a buy thesis.
  • Consider NEAR a higher-risk, watchlist investment rather than a confirmed trade: a $3.8 million bridge exploit was reportedly fully recovered, while stronger monitoring and verification are still underway.
  • No specific price targets or actionable trades were provided for BTC, ZEC, USDT, or other assets.
Detailed Analysis

NEAR (NEAR)

  • The founder described NEAR as a vertically integrated stack for AI and blockchain, including a consumer wallet, cross-chain trading and an AI inference business.
  • He said NEAR processes about $4 billion a month in intent volume, with NEAR.com accounting for roughly 10–20% of that, depending on the week.
  • He said fees from products such as trading and perpetuals generate revenue that is used to buy back NEAR. The protocol’s take rate varies by asset and product; no specific buyback total or token price target was given.
  • The founder’s stated outlook was bullish: he expects growth in NEAR’s products and sees blockchain infrastructure as a way to support AI agents and commerce.

Risks and context

  • A bridge link to BNB Chain (BSC), operated by an ecosystem partner, was exploited for $3.8 million through repeated rounding. The team paused the link, patched it and said it recovered 100% of the funds.
  • The founder said the incident highlighted the need for stronger monitoring and formal verification across the system of contracts. Those improvements were described as underway, not completed.
  • The volume and buyback figures are claims made by the project’s founder. The transcript did not provide a specific revenue figure or establish how directly volume translates into sustained demand for NEAR.

Takeaways

  • To assess the token thesis, track the project’s reported revenue and buybacks, but also check whether activity and revenue persist and translate into meaningful token demand.
  • Treat the security incident as a reminder that cross-chain systems and partner integrations can introduce risks, even when funds are later recovered.
  • The founder’s comments support a bullish project narrative, not a specific buy recommendation or price forecast.

AI, Blockchain and Agentic Commerce

  • The founder argued that AI agents could become a user-facing layer for transactions, while blockchains provide payment rails, escrow, settlement and markets.
  • He sees business-to-business transactions as a larger opportunity than consumer agents buying everyday items. He cited a potential $20–40 trillion economy for agentic commerce; this was his estimate, not an independently established market forecast.
  • He also described blockchain-based verification as a way to check which model and software are serving an AI request, and decentralized GPU markets as a way to expand access to computing resources.

Risks and context

  • The founder warned that an AI endpoint may return a smaller model, fabricated output or malicious tool instructions, potentially exposing a user’s machine or private keys. He said the security burden can fall on the user’s agent, not just the model provider.
  • He also cautioned against giving an agent unrestricted access to a private key. NEAR’s proposed approach uses policies and approval steps to limit what an agent can do.
  • He described private AI and verifiability as important safeguards, but the transcript does not establish how broadly these systems are adopted or how well they perform in practice.

Takeaways

  • For investors evaluating AI-and-crypto projects, look for evidence of real customers, recurring usage and transactions—not just broad market-size claims.
  • Security, privacy and controls over agent permissions are central to this thesis. They may be important differentiators, but they also add implementation and adoption challenges.

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • The founder recalled his family’s savings losing value during post-Soviet inflation and described that experience as shaping his interest in store of value and decentralized money.
  • Bitcoin was also mentioned as an asset supported by NEAR.com’s cross-chain wallet. No specific view on Bitcoin’s price or future performance was expressed.

Takeaways

  • The transcript offers historical context for why some people value decentralized assets, but it does not provide a Bitcoin investment thesis, target or recommendation.

Zcash (ZEC)

  • The founder said NEAR.com can hold and transfer Zcash and used a hypothetical request to receive ZEC in a shielded address as an example of how NEAR’s intent-based system could work.
  • This was an example of product functionality, not an explicit outlook on Zcash’s investment prospects.

Takeaways

  • The discussion highlights privacy-focused transactions as a use case, but provides no price outlook or specific investment recommendation for ZEC.

USDT and Other Cross-Chain Assets

  • USDT on Solana and Tron was used as an example of a cross-chain transfer that a user could request without manually choosing a bridge or handling each network’s steps.
  • Solana, Ethereum and Tron were discussed as networks NEAR’s products can connect to. The transcript did not express a directional view on their tokens.

Takeaways

  • The investment angle discussed was cross-chain convenience and transaction routing, rather than a thesis on any specific network token.
  • The bridge exploit described in the NEAR section is relevant context for evaluating cross-chain products and their security.

Stocks and Financial Products

  • The founder said NEAR.com supports holding stocks, as well as trading perpetuals and earning yield. No individual stock, ticker, yield rate or specific strategy was named.
  • A Morpho vault was mentioned as an example of a destination a user might request through NEAR’s intent system, not as a recommendation.

Takeaways

  • These comments describe planned or available product features, not specific stock or yield opportunities.
  • The transcript does not provide enough detail to assess the underlying assets, fees, risks or suitability of these products.
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Episode Description
Avi sits down with Illia Polosukhin at Token2049 in Singapore — co-author of “Attention Is All You Need,” the paper every modern AI model is built on, and co-founder of NEAR. Illia starts with his grandparents’ Sberbank savings book going worthless overnight and bread going up a hundredfold in a year in post-Soviet Ukraine, then walks through how transformers actually work: why recurrent models were too slow, what the attention mechanism really does, and why the aliens in Arrival are the right analogy. He left Google while the paper was being written to build a company that would let computers write code. What stopped him wasn’t the compute — it was that he couldn’t pay the students labeling his training data. That detour became NEAR. From there: the consensus protocols they broke on camera, a standing bounty for fixing Solana, how NEAR went from blockchain to fintech app running four billion a month, why Illia says you should not give your AI agent a private key, the twenty trillion dollar agent commerce thesis, and the full story of the $3.8M exploit — including how they found the attacker, got all the money back, and got an apology on chain. -- Follow Arthur: https://x.com/CryptoHayes Follow Avi: https://x.com/AviFelman Follow Jonah: https://x.com/jvb_xyz Follow 1000x: https://x.com/1000xPod Join the 1000x Telegram: https://t.me/thousandxpod Try the 1000x Terminal: https://1000x.money -- Timestamps: 00:00 Coming Up on 1000x... 01:01 Ukraine, Hyperinflation, And Science Fiction 02:59 “A Machine Should Write This Code” 07:30 Joining Google, And Inventing The Transformer 16:07 Leaving Google, And Stumbling Into Crypto 20:35 The Protocols They Broke On A Whiteboard 23:29 Chain Abstraction, And Building NEAR.com 33:15 What AI x Blockchain Actually Means 39:42 The $3.8M Exploit, And The Apology -- Disclaimer: Nothing said on 1000x is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely our opinions, not financial advice. Avi, Jonah and our guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
About 1000x
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By Blockworks

1000x is a crypto markets podcast hosted by professional traders Avi Felman and Jonah Van Bourg. We bring on experts to dive deep into the macro and micro factors that represent the lifeblood of digital money and web3. As an increasing share of economic activity and attention migrates online, tokenomics and price action is increasingly relevant to everyone. If you’re interested in the future of markets and crypto, this show is for you.