Has Memory Bottomed?
Has Memory Bottomed?
3 hours ago1000xBlockworks
Podcast55 min 38 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Capitalize on the recent 30% to 40% AI sector pullback by accumulating infrastructure leaders like Micron (MU) and Microsoft (MSFT) for potential 2x to 3x long-term upside.

Systematically rotate profits from high-flying semiconductors into energy enablers like uranium enrichment provider Centris Energy (CENT) to capitalize on surging AI power demands.

Accumulate Bitcoin (BTC) following recent stabilization, keeping a close eye on Washington for the potential passage of the Clarity Act to drive further regulatory clarity.

Buy Gold near its consolidating support level around $4,000, targeting a resistance breakout toward $4,800.

Deploy strict stop-losses just below the $4,000 gold threshold to protect your portfolio against sudden reflexive sell-offs.

Detailed Analysis

Artificial Intelligence & Technology Sector (AI)

• The speakers discussed the massive growth and adoption of AI, noting that paid AI subscriptions have reached 2.2% penetration of U.S. households, which they compare to early-stage e-commerce adoption in the early 2000s. • Unlike the internet bubble which faced severe hardware roadblocks (getting computers and internet connections into every home), AI adoption is primarily bottlenecked by compute, and deployment is fast because the hardware (smartphones and computers) is already ubiquitous globally. • The AI trade recently experienced a 30% to 40% drawdown from its highs, creating what the host views as an attractive entry point for investors with high risk tolerance. • Key beneficiaries mentioned in the AI and compute infrastructure supply chain include:

  • Micron (MU) and SanDisk (Memory/DRAM components)
  • Intel (INTC)
  • Hyperscalers and major tech platforms including Microsoft (MSFT), Meta (META), and Alphabet/Google

Takeaways

High Volatility Expected: Expect extreme, 1999 Nasdaq-style bull market volatility with potential 30% pullbacks on the way to further gains. The host suggests the upside potential could be 2x to 3x from current price levels. • Risk Management: While the long-term mega trend is viewed as intact, retail investors are warned that drawdowns can be psychologically difficult, and position sizing should match individual risk tolerance. • Downstream Rotations: Profits from high-flying memory and semiconductor stocks can be systematically taken down and rotated into secondary and tertiary beneficiaries of the AI boom, such as energy and biotech.


Energy & Nuclear Sector (URA / CENT)

• Driven by the massive power and compute demands of AI, the U.S. recently signed a deal with Saudi Arabia to help build nuclear plants, highlighting a broader secular growth trend for nuclear energy and uranium. • The host specifically highlighted Centris Energy (CENT) as a company involved in running reactors and enriching uranium, noting that it has pulled back significantly and warrants fundamental research. • The broader uranium thematic trade remains supported by long-term structural demand.

Takeaways

Look Beyond the Obvious: While the entire market is heavily focused on AI software and semiconductor chips, value and lesser-covered opportunities may exist in infrastructure enablers like nuclear energy and uranium enrichment. • Due Diligence Required: Investors should research specific corporate catalysts, such as foreign construction agreements and U.S. government policy deals, before entering single-stock names in this space.


Bitcoin (BTC) & Cryptocurrencies

• Crypto markets have experienced high volatility, but the hosts expressed a tentative view that Bitcoin and the broader crypto market may have temporarily bottomed out. • Regulatory sentiment is improving, with the probability of the Clarity Act passing in Washington ticking back up, which would be bullish for the digital asset space.

Takeaways

Macro Stabilization: Stabilization in crypto prices after recent drawdowns offers relief to portfolios heavily weighted in digital assets. • Regulatory Watch: Keep a close eye on legislative developments in Washington regarding crypto market structure bills like the Clarity Act.


Precious Metals & Gold (GOLD)

• Gold has pulled back 26% from its highs and has been consolidating sideways around the $4,000 level for approximately six weeks. • Central bank accumulation remains a core fundamental driver for gold demand, alongside potential inflationary pressures in regions like Japan. • Because gold is heavily driven by low-information central bank reserve flows and reflexive retail behavior, technical analysis (chart levels and moving averages) can be a useful tool for timing entries.

Takeaways

Key Support Level: The $4,000 price level has served as strong support. Conservative traders can target resistance around $4,800. • Strict Stop-Losses: Because gold is a reflexive asset where selling can beget more selling, investors buying near support should employ tight stop-losses just below the $4,000 mark in case the thesis breaks.

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Episode Description
This week, with memory stocks down 30-40% from the highs, we ask whether memory has bottomed. We discuss why AI bailed out the everything bubble and why this bubble is different, the George Soros model of why a bubble comes back bigger the second time, why only 2.2% of US households pay for AI and why that means we're in inning one, the $26 billion Korean margin-call wipeout and what it tells you about sentiment, why nobody wins the US-China AI arms race except the components makers, the Saudi nuclear deal and looking where nobody else is looking, why the latest Iran escalation won't derail markets, and why gold looks phenomenal here while crypto may have finally bottomed. Enjoy! -- Follow Avi: https://x.com/AviFelman Follow Jonah: https://x.com/jvb_xyz Follow 1000x: https://x.com/1000xPod Join the 1000x Telegram: https://t.me/thousandxpod Try the 1000x Terminal: https://1000x.money -- Timestamps: (00:00) Coming Up on 1000x... (00:32) Save Everything In Your 20s: The Bleecker Street Lesson (07:01) How AI Bailed Out The Everything Bubble (10:15) Has Memory Bottomed? (13:51) Only 2.2% Pay For AI: We're In Inning One (19:36) $26B Wiped Out: The Korea Margin-Call Warning (23:42) The US-China Model Arms Race (And How To Trade It) (28:26) Bombing Iran Again: Why Markets Don't Care (42:02) Gold Looks Phenomenal & Crypto May Have Bottomed -- Disclaimer: Nothing said on 1000x is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely our opinions, not financial advice. Avi, Jonah and our guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
About 1000x
1000x

1000x

By Blockworks

1000x is a crypto markets podcast hosted by professional traders Avi Felman and Jonah Van Bourg. We bring on experts to dive deep into the macro and micro factors that represent the lifeblood of digital money and web3. As an increasing share of economic activity and attention migrates online, tokenomics and price action is increasingly relevant to everyone. If you’re interested in the future of markets and crypto, this show is for you.