SpaceX: Start of the Next Megabubble or End of the Rally?
SpaceX: Start of the Next Megabubble or End of the Rally?
45 days ago1000x@1000xnetwork
YouTube45 min 42 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Investors should prioritize gaining exposure to SpaceX as it approaches a valuation between $1.77 trillion and $2 trillion, driven by extreme demand and low share supply. While the current price-to-sales ratio is high at 94x, the company’s growth trajectory is being compared to NVIDIA’s pre-breakout performance in 2023. Focus on the long-term disruption of telecommunications giants like Verizon (VZ) and AT&T (T) through the expansion of Starlink's satellite network. Avoid any short positions against this asset, as the "Elon Musk premium" and limited float create significant upside risk for contrarian traders. Monitor private secondary markets for entry points near the $135 to $177 range before the valuation potentially scales further.

Detailed Analysis

SpaceX (Private/IPO)

  • The podcast discusses the massive SpaceX IPO/listing, noting a valuation of approximately $1.77 trillion to $2 trillion.
  • The stock reportedly moved from $135 to $177 per share in seconds, showing high demand and low supply.
  • Valuation Context: It is trading at roughly 94x revenues. While high, the hosts compare this to NVIDIA, which traded at a 45x price-to-sales ratio in 2023 before its massive growth.
  • Market Dynamics: The asset is described as a "low float, high FDV (Fully Diluted Valuation)" play, similar to certain crypto assets, where high demand and limited available shares drive prices up regardless of traditional valuation metrics.
  • Strategic Moats: Beyond rockets, SpaceX owns Starlink, which is positioned to disrupt major telecommunications providers like Verizon and AT&T. It also has long-term potential in asteroid mining.

Takeaways

  • Do Not Short: The hosts warn that "shorting Elon is career risk." The optimism surrounding
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Video Description
This episode, Avi flies solo on the biggest IPO in history before Jonah stream-bombs him. We discuss why SpaceX's $1.77 trillion debut might be a low-float meme coin and not the megabubble starter that everyone is calling it, why bears die in markets like this, the actual trade setup if SpaceX dumps back to $135, why every other space stock crashed 30% the same day, why the OpenAI and Anthropic IPOs will likely crash the indexes too, why Avi is "slowly becoming a communist," and a wide-ranging solo Q&A covering the Aptos grift, the XMR/ZEC close, why Hood is a 10x and Hype isn't, and why PnL is a disease of the mind. Enjoy! -- Follow Avi: https://x.com/AviFelman Follow Jonah: https://x.com/jvb_xyz Follow 1000x: https://x.com/1000xPod Join the 1000x Telegram: https://t.me/thousandxpod Try the 1000x Terminal: https://1000x.money -- Timestamps: (00:00) Coming Up on 1000x... (01:27) SpaceX Hits $1.77 Trillion (04:45) Don't Short Elon: The Low-Float Meme Coin (09:45) Bears Die (11:56) Wait For The Dump: The $135 Trade (16:21) Intel, Uranium & The First Warsh Meeting (19:16) Why Every Space Stock Crashed (And OpenAI's IPO Will Too) (24:43) "I'm Slowly Becoming A Communist" (28:19) Audience Q&A -- Disclaimer: Nothing said on 1000x is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely our opinions, not financial advice. Avi, Jonah and our guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
About 1000x
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By @1000xnetwork

1000x is a show about new age finance, hosted by Avi Felman and Jonah Van Bourg two former hedge fund investors. We go everywhere the money is moving: crypto, macro, equities, AI, and the alternative assets most people only hear about after the trade is gone. The difference is that we've actually sat on trading desks and run real risk, so this isn't theory or hype. It's two people with genuine markets experience thinking out loud, taking real positions, and helping you understand the landscape well enough to navigate it yourself. New episodes Wednesdays and Fridays.