Plasma TVL Growth, Prediction Market Momentum, and Hypurrr NFTs | Livestream
Plasma TVL Growth, Prediction Market Momentum, and Hypurrr NFTs | Livestream
222 days ago0xResearchBlockworks
Podcast58 min 38 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Consider earning high yields, such as 7% on USDT, by providing liquidity on the Plasma protocol, with rewards paid in the XPL token. Investing directly in the XPL token itself is a targeted bet on the continued growth of stablecoins, especially Tether (USDT). For those interested in emerging platforms, actively using the Polymarket prediction market may qualify you for a potential future airdrop that is currently an under-the-radar opportunity. A contrarian opportunity may exist in PUMP, the token for the Pump.fun launchpad, as negative sentiment has created a potentially attractive entry point for a sector leader. The thesis for PUMP is a bet on a best-in-class team and the eventual return of the meme coin narrative.

Detailed Analysis

Plasma (XPL)

  • The Total Value Locked (TVL) on Plasma has skyrocketed to over $5 billion since its launch.
  • This rapid growth is driven by a "very, very heavy incentivization" program, with the project emitting an estimated $600 million per year in its native XPL token to attract capital.
  • For investors with idle capital, this is presented as an attractive yield farming opportunity, with the main risk being smart contract failure (which is considered relatively low as it involves established platforms like Aave).
  • One speaker expressed general interest in the XPL token itself, viewing it as a unique investment vehicle.
  • Plasma is described as a "pure bet on stable coins" and the "only tether beta on the market," meaning its success is closely tied to the growth and adoption of Tether (USDT).
  • The team behind Plasma is considered to be "quite capable."

Takeaways

  • Yield Farming Opportunity: Investors can earn high yields, paid in XPL tokens, by providing liquidity to the Plasma ecosystem. The hosts specifically mention the rewards.plasma.to opportunities page, highlighting yields like 12% in Fluid and 7% on USDT lending.
  • Long-Term Thesis: The key question for long-term investors is whether Plasma can retain its users and liquidity after the high incentives eventually decrease. Its success will depend on the team's ability to build a sustainable ecosystem.
  • Risk Factor: The value of the rewards is dependent on the price of the XPL token. Investors should be aware that this is a liquidity mining program and that the high yields are not permanent.
  • Investment Theme: Holding XPL is seen as a direct way to bet on the continued growth of stablecoins, particularly Tether (USDT).

Prediction Markets (Polymarket & Kalshi)

  • Prediction markets are a growing narrative that is expanding beyond the core crypto community.
  • Polymarket is seeing significant growth in its "culture markets," which involve betting on non-financial events like Elon Musk's tweet count or Mr. Beast's video views. This is seen as a key differentiator from traditional financial markets.
  • The speakers view these platforms as a more "fair" way to engage in speculation and "hyper-financialization" compared to meme coins, as the outcomes are tied to real-world events.
  • Kalshi has seen massive growth through its partnership with Robinhood, processing $2 billion in contract volume in Q3. This highlights the power of integrating with large, mainstream applications.
  • One speaker noted that farming the Polymarket airdrop is an opportunity that "a lot of people are not participating in."

Takeaways

  • Emerging Consumer Trend: The growth of "culture markets" on platforms like Polymarket suggests a new form of consumer-facing betting that was previously unavailable. This could be a significant growth area.
  • Arbitrage & Hedging: While potentially not ideal for casual sports bettors, sophisticated users may find opportunities to arbitrage or hedge bets between traditional sportsbooks and prediction markets due to pricing differences.
  • Growth via Partnerships: The success of the Kalshi-Robinhood integration is a strong signal that the path to mainstream adoption for prediction markets may be through partnerships with established consumer finance apps.
  • Airdrop Farming: Actively using Polymarket could potentially qualify users for a future token airdrop, which is currently an under-the-radar farming opportunity.

Hyperliquid (HYPE) & Hypurrr NFTs

  • During the HYPE token airdrop, users were given a choice: receive tokens only, or receive tokens plus a "Hypurrr NFT."
  • Approximately 20-30% of users chose to receive only tokens, likely assuming they would get a larger token allocation.
  • This was a costly mistake, as those who opted out missed an NFT that now has a floor price of 1,500-1,700 HYPE, valued at around $70,000 at the time of the discussion.
  • The speakers are hoping for a "Season 3" airdrop from Hyperliquid for continued platform usage.

Takeaways

  • Airdrop Lesson: When claiming airdrops from reputable teams, carefully consider all options. Seemingly cosmetic additions like NFTs can have significant unexpected value.
  • Team Reputation: The Hyperliquid team is viewed as being very direct and trustworthy. This positive reputation can be a factor when evaluating their future projects and announcements.

Pump.fun (PUMP) & Launchpads

  • The investment narrative has shifted away from meme coins and launchpads towards perpetual exchanges (Perps) and platforms like Plasma.
  • Key metrics for the launchpad sector are in a downtrend. Revenue on Solana launchpads is at recent lows, and creator rewards on Pump.fun are down significantly.
  • This is seen as a natural part of crypto's "attention game," where capital and interest rotate between different sectors.

Takeaways

  • Contrarian Opportunity: While the narrative is currently weak, one speaker is personally invested in PUMP, viewing the downturn as an attractive entry point. The best time to invest could be when sentiment is at its lowest and "people think meme coins are dead forever."
  • Bull Case for Pump.fun: The investment thesis for PUMP is a bet on a best-in-class team with a strong brand, a large cash reserve, and the potential to expand into new products (like perps or stablecoins).
  • Risk Factor: The sector is highly reflexive. Just as metrics looked great on the way up, they look equally bad on the way down. There is a risk that the meme coin narrative could remain dormant for six months or more as attention stays focused elsewhere.
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Episode Description
We went live to discuss Plasma’s rapid TVL growth, and incentivization strategies, momentum in prediction markets and cultural betting trends, Hypurrr NFTs, perp DEX farming; and the decline of launchpads. Thanks for tuning in! As always, remember this podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely their opinions, not financial advice. -- Katana directs chain revenue back to DeFi users for consistently higher yields. It starts with VaultBridge, which turns bridged assets into yield streams that back a perpetually funded real yield, boosting rewards for DeFi users. Katana is pioneering Productive TVL, assets actually being used in DeFi and reinforces this with Chain-owned Liquidity, permanent liquidity the chain controls.  Stop sleeping on your bags: https://app.katana.network/?utm_source=BW-Pod  -- Allora is the new AI standard for DeFi platforms and agents to achieve sharper, faster, and more reliable financial systems than any single language model can offer. Instead of choosing and managing models, users state their goal, and the system delivers the best result.  To learn more about Allora Network, visit https://www.allora.network/ and https://x.com/AlloraNetwork -- Crypto’s premiere institutional conference returns to London in October 2025. Use code 0x100 for £100 off at checkout: https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-london -- Blockworks is hiring a Research Data Analyst. If you live in SQL and love making sense of onchain chaos, apply today: https://jobs.ashbyhq.com/Blockworks?utm_source=EQPb2dAAxr -- Follow Danny: https://x.com/defi_kay_ Follow Boccaccio: https://x.com/salveboccaccio Follow Blockworks Research: https://x.com/blockworksres Subscribe on YouTube: https://bit.ly/3foDS38 Subscribe on Apple: https://apple.co/3SNhUEt Subscribe on Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3NlP1hA Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ Join the 0xResearch Telegram group: https://t.me/+UFFz4z3qyrhhMDYx -- Timestamps: (0:00) Introduction (4:50) Plasma TVL Skyrocketing (18:02) Katana Ad (18:45) Prediction Market Momentum (30:55) Hypurr NFTs (37:06) Farming Perp DEXs (45:15) Ads (Katana & Allora) (46:22) Launchpads Are In The Dumps -- Check out Blockworks Research today! Research, data, governance, tokenomics, and models – now, all in one place Blockworks Research: https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ Free Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter -- Disclaimer: Nothing said on 0xResearch is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely our opinions, not financial advice. Boccaccio, Danny, and our guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
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0xResearch is the show for those who want to step up their game and think like a crypto analyst. We bring on crypto's best to uncover the latest research, explore protocol developments and identify new narratives. We are full-time crypto analysts who read white papers, governance forums and research pieces for fun (normal, right?). Join us as we combine crypto's top talent with our countless hours of research to create the best content in the space.  Subscribe on YouTube: https://bit.ly/3foDS38 Subscribe on Apple: https://apple.co/3SNhUEt Subscribe on Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3NlP1hA Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ Join the 0xResearch Telegram group: https://t.me/+z0H6y2bS-dllODVh