ORE, Tempo & Inside Stream’s $93M Meltdown
ORE, Tempo & Inside Stream’s $93M Meltdown
183 days ago0xResearchBlockworks
Podcast1 hr 31 min
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Consider the high-risk, high-reward token ORE, which is capitalizing on the on-chain gambling narrative and has seen explosive growth. Analysts are also very bullish on Zcash (ZEC) due to its strong performance and a potential catalyst from integration with the Solana ecosystem. Watch for the launch of the Monad blockchain and participate in its early rewards program by using new apps to potentially qualify for a future airdrop. Bitcoin holders seeking yield can explore the growing Bitcoin DeFi ecosystem on Aptos (APT), which offers opportunities to earn on your BTC. Finally, be extremely cautious with DeFi protocols offering unusually high yields, as these often carry hidden risks of total loss.

Detailed Analysis

Ore (ORE)

  • A host mentioned the token has "ripped faces" and is up approximately 8x.
  • The token's success is attributed to a "classic rotation from a valueless thing to a casino." The market is re-evaluating the token's price based on its new gambling/casino use case.
  • The project has reportedly "died three times" before finding this successful pivot into the "gambling meta."
  • Daily revenues have gone from $0 to $300k a day, with one of the project's team members posting about all-time high revenues frequently.
  • The long-term sustainability of this model is questioned by the hosts, but its current performance is undeniably strong.

Takeaways

  • Bullish Sentiment (Short-Term): The hosts have a strong bullish sentiment due to the token's recent performance and successful pivot. The "gambling meta" is a powerful narrative driving its value.
  • High Risk: The token's history of "dying" multiple times and the questioned sustainability of the casino model make this a high-risk investment. Its recent massive price increase could also suggest it's overheated.
  • Investment Thesis: ORE represents a high-risk, high-reward play on the "casino" or on-chain gambling trend. Investors should be aware that this is a narrative-driven trade that could be volatile.

Zcash (ZEC)

  • A host is very bullish on Zcash, stating they are "ziedlined" into it.
  • It's described as one of a few "random" tokens that are performing exceptionally well while the broader market is stagnant.
  • The sentiment is so strong that one host joked, "if you're rocking the Zek or stack, you there is no bear market."
  • There is a movement, led by influential figures in the Solana community, to bring Zcash onto the Solana network, which could increase its accessibility and utility.

Takeaways

  • Bullish Sentiment: The podcast expresses very strong bullish sentiment for Zcash, highlighting its outperformance in a choppy market.
  • Potential Catalyst: The effort to bridge Zcash to other ecosystems like Solana could act as a future positive catalyst, potentially increasing demand and liquidity.
  • Consideration: Given the strong performance and bullish commentary, investors might consider researching Zcash as a potential addition to a diversified crypto portfolio, keeping in mind its recent run-up.

Investment Theme: On-Chain Casinos & Gambling

  • This is identified as a major trend and one of the "few sort of revenue opportunities that are very clear" in the current crypto space.
  • The success of Ore (ORE) is the primary example, which pivoted its model to become a "casino" and saw its revenue and token price explode.
  • The discussion suggests that projects that successfully tap into this gambling narrative are being rewarded by the market.

Takeaways

  • Actionable Insight: Investors should pay attention to projects that are building or pivoting towards on-chain gambling, casinos, or prediction markets. These appear to be attracting significant user activity and revenue.
  • Identify Opportunities: Look for other protocols that are integrating "casino" mechanics. This could be a leading indicator of potential price re-ratings, similar to what happened with ORE.
  • Risk Factor: This is a high-risk, narrative-driven sector. The sustainability of these models is not yet proven, and they can be highly volatile.

Monad

  • Monad is an upcoming Layer 1 blockchain that has generated significant buzz.
  • The team made a public announcement that locked tokens (typically held by VCs and insiders) will not be eligible for staking rewards.
    • This is seen as a "good signal" and a positive move for transparency. It prevents insiders from earning rewards on locked tokens and selling them into the market, which has been a point of controversy for other projects like Celestia (TIA).
  • Monad also announced an early rewards program to incentivize users to interact with the first wave of applications on its ecosystem. This is considered a standard and necessary strategy to attract initial users and capital.
    • Some of the first apps mentioned include Kizzy (gamified social media markets), Kuru (a decentralized exchange), and Drake Exchange.

Takeaways

  • Positive Sentiment: The hosts view Monad's pre-launch decisions favorably, suggesting a competent and community-aware team.
  • Future Opportunity: While Monad does not have a token yet, investors should watch for its mainnet launch. Participating in their early rewards program by using the first applications on the network could be a way to become eligible for a future airdrop.
  • Ecosystem Watch: Keep an eye on the early projects building on Monad, such as Kuru and Kizzy, as they could be key players in a new and potentially successful ecosystem.

Cautionary Tale: Stream DeFi & Rehypothecation Risk

  • The podcast discussed the $93 million collapse of Stream DeFi, where a manager lost user funds through a series of risky, leveraged trades.
  • This event highlights the extreme dangers of rehypothecation, which is using the same collateral for multiple loans, often across different protocols, to create high yields.
  • The structure was described as a house of cards, where different synthetic assets were all backed by each other in a complex, non-transparent loop (e.g., SCUSD is backed by VEUSD. VEUSD is backed by locked stake SCUSD...).
  • The discussion emphasized that in these modular lending systems, it can be nearly impossible for a regular user to understand the true risk of the vault they are depositing money into.

Takeaways

  • Actionable Insight: Be extremely cautious with DeFi protocols offering unusually high, "stinky" yields on stablecoins. High yield almost always means high, and often hidden, risk.
  • Due Diligence: Before depositing funds into any DeFi vault, especially in "modular lending" protocols, try to understand where the yield is coming from. If the strategy involves complex loops, leverage, and multiple protocols, the risk of a total loss is significant.
  • Look for Transparency: Favor protocols that offer clear risk ratings, "badges" on vaults, or proof of reserves. The lack of transparency was a key factor in the Stream DeFi failure. As one host noted, "nobody on chain is doing FDIC insurance on my deposits yet."

Aptos (APT) & Bitcoin DeFi

  • The podcast sponsor, Aptos, was highlighted for its growing Bitcoin DeFi (BTCFi) ecosystem.
  • There are nearly $400 million in Bitcoin-backed assets on the Aptos chain.
  • Users can earn yield on their Bitcoin through protocols like Echo's aBTC and OKX's xBTC without the high fees or risks associated with some bridges.

Takeaways

  • Investment Theme: Bitcoin DeFi is an emerging narrative. Aptos is positioning itself as a key player in this space, providing a platform to use Bitcoin for more than just storing value.
  • Opportunity: Bitcoin holders looking for yield could explore the options available on Aptos. The mention of lower bridge risks is a key selling point.
  • Ecosystem to Watch: Aptos's focus on attracting Bitcoin liquidity could drive growth and value to its ecosystem and native APT token.

On-Chain Trading & Swapping

  • Euler Swap was discussed as a major innovation in combining lending and trading.
  • It uses the same pool of capital for both lending and providing liquidity for swaps, a concept called "credit-aware liquidity."
  • This model aims to be more capital-efficient, create deeper liquidity, and reduce the need for protocols to pay out massive token incentives to attract liquidity providers.
  • The best-case scenario is that this model becomes the standard for DAO treasuries to put their large, idle pools of capital to work efficiently.
  • On Solana, the trading landscape is dominated by aggregators like Jupiter, Titan, and D-Flow. This intense competition is leading to better prices for users.

Takeaways

  • Future of DeFi: Innovations like Euler Swap represent the next evolution of DeFi, focusing on capital efficiency. Projects that successfully implement these models could capture significant value.
  • Solana Trading: For users trading on Solana, it's beneficial to use a DEX aggregator like Jupiter to ensure you are getting the best possible price, as they route trades across multiple liquidity sources.
  • Token Utility: A key question raised about these new, complex protocols is token utility. Investors should analyze how the native token of a project like Euler will capture the value generated by its protocol.
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Episode Description
This week we went live with Matt & Aryan at CMT Digital to discuss the state of crypto markets, why Ore & Zcash are ripping, Stream's $93 DeFi blowup & more. Enjoy! Thanks for tuning in! As always, remember this podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely their opinions, not financial advice. -- Follow Matt: https://x.com/mcasto_ Follow Aryan: https://x.com/Aryonchain Follow Blockworks Research: https://x.com/blockworksres Follow Dan: https://x.com/smyyguy Follow Danny: https://x.com/defi_kay_ Follow Boccaccio: https://x.com/salveboccaccio -- Bitcoin DeFi is heating up on Aptos, the BTCFi growth chain with nearly $400M in BTC assets supported by a secure, fast, and affordable MVM environment. Aptos users can acquire, hold, and earn attractive BTCFi yields via Echo aBTC and OKX xBTC, without typical bridge risks and high fees. Explore BTC yield opportunities on Aptos via OKX Earn and Aptos-native platforms https://web3.okx.com/earn/activity/xbtc-aptos -- Subscribe on YouTube: https://bit.ly/3foDS38 Subscribe on Apple: https://apple.co/3SNhUEt Subscribe on Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3NlP1hA Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: ⁠https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- Timestamps: (0:00) Introduction (0:47) Why is Ore Ripping? (10:33) Monad's Reward Program (13:04) The Thesis For New Assets (23:33) Tempo: Stripe’s L1 (35:45) Stream DeFi’s Blowup (1:02:52) Aptos Ad (1:03:38) Is Titan's Flow Real? (1:16:59) How To Improve DeFi Lending (1:25:08) What’s Exciting in Markets Right Now? (1:28:41) Aptos Ad (1:29:17) Final Thoughts -- ⁠Disclaimer: Nothing said on 0xResearch is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely our opinions, not financial advice. Boccaccio, Danny, and our guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
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