MegaETH, Pump, NYSE | Livestream
MegaETH, Pump, NYSE | Livestream
110 days ago0xResearchBlockworks
Podcast52 min 44 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

The acquisition of trading bot Padre is a significant positive for Pump.fun (PUMP), as it strengthens its business model by capturing post-launch trading revenue. Investors should monitor the upcoming global stress test for MegaETH, as its ability to hit high transaction targets and attract a unique developer ecosystem will be a major catalyst. In the long term, be cautious on crypto-native stock perpetual exchanges like Hyperliquid, as the NYSE's planned on-chain trading platform could become a major competitor within 2-5 years. The primary investment opportunity from this tokenization trend may be in the underlying infrastructure, such as Ethereum rollups, that will settle these assets. Finally, avoid speculating on most trading bot tokens, as the most profitable platforms like Axiom are remaining private and not sharing revenue with token holders.

Detailed Analysis

Pump.fun (PUMP)

  • The acquisition of the trading bot Padre is viewed as a very positive and meaningful strategic move for Pump.
  • This acquisition helps Pump create "stickiness" by connecting the token creation process (which they dominate) with the token trading experience. This addresses a key weakness where trading volume would often leave the Pump ecosystem immediately after a token launch.
  • Padre's market share in trading volume has grown from less than 5% to 10-15% since the acquisition, indicating the strategy is working.
  • Despite a slower market, Pump's revenues still spike whenever memecoin activity picks up, showing it remains the dominant platform for launching new tokens.

Takeaways

  • Pump's move to acquire Padre strengthens its business model by capturing more of the value chain, from token launch to trading.
  • Investors should view this as a positive development that makes the platform more resilient and less dependent on the initial launch hype. The growth in Padre's market share is a key metric to watch as a sign of successful integration.

Crypto Trading Bots (Axiom, Padre, etc.)

  • This sector is described as one of the most revenue-generating areas in crypto. Platforms like Axiom are "printing cash hand over fist."
  • A key discussion point is why the most successful bots, like Axiom, have not launched a token.
    • The hosts speculate that tokens are often used as a tool by companies that can't generate significant revenue.
    • If a private company is highly profitable, there is little incentive to launch a token and share that revenue, especially in a competitive and cyclical market.
  • Axiom is the dominant player, holding a 50-60% market share of trading platform volume.
  • These bots are considered a niche product that primarily targets highly active traders who are constantly buying and selling new launches.

Takeaways

  • Investing in trading bot tokens can be risky. The most successful platforms may choose to remain private, leaving token investment opportunities primarily for less dominant or less profitable competitors.
  • The success of private, non-token bots like Axiom is a strong indicator of the health of the on-chain trading market. Their continued dominance without a token challenges the "all crypto projects need a token" narrative.

Tokenization & The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE)

  • The NYSE has announced plans to launch a 24/7 blockchain platform for trading tokenized U.S. stocks.
  • This is seen as a potential long-term threat to crypto-native perpetuals (perps) exchanges that are expanding into stock offerings, such as Hyperliquid and LIDR.
    • The concern is that established platforms like Robinhood could integrate with the NYSE's on-chain system and offer the same products to their massive user base (tens of millions), potentially "trampling" smaller DeFi platforms.
  • The timeline for this is uncertain but estimated to be 2-5 years away, pending SEC approval.
  • While potentially bearish for crypto-native applications offering stock perps, this is very bullish for the underlying blockchain infrastructure (L1s/L2s) that the NYSE might choose for settlement.
    • Ethereum is mentioned as a possibility due to its neutrality, but it would likely need to be on a rollup to handle the transaction volume.

Takeaways

  • This is a major long-term theme. While crypto exchanges currently benefit from regulatory arbitrage by offering equity perps, this advantage may disappear in the coming years.
  • Investors in DeFi perp exchanges should monitor their ability to grow their user base significantly before traditional finance enters the space in full force.
  • The real long-term investment opportunity may be in the "fat protocol" thesis: the L1 or L2 blockchains that are chosen to settle these tokenized real-world assets could see a massive increase in transaction demand and value capture.

MegaETH

  • After a period of being quiet, MegaETH is launching a "global stress test" with the goal of processing 11 billion transactions in seven days.
  • They are targeting a "true TPS" (Transactions Per Second, excluding validation votes) of 15,000 to 35,000, which they compare to Solana's true TPS of around 1,500.
  • The biggest challenge identified is not technical performance, but generating sustained, long-term demand for the chain after the initial stress test and airdrop farming is over.
  • The hosts note that the market has matured; simply launching a new L1 and incentivizing copies of existing DeFi apps is no longer a viable strategy for attracting sticky users and developers.
  • MegaETH is praised for its efforts to ensure new and unique applications are built on its chain from the start.

Takeaways

  • The upcoming stress test is a significant catalyst for MegaETH. Investors should watch not only the technical performance (can it hit its TPS targets?) but, more importantly, the user and developer activity after the event.
  • Sustainable demand is the key question. Look for signs of a unique application ecosystem developing on MegaETH that can't be easily found elsewhere, as this will be crucial for its long-term success.

Phantom (Wallet Application)

  • Phantom is highlighted as a premier example of a successful private company in crypto. It has evolved from a simple wallet into a "mobile exchange" and a multi-product platform.
  • The hosts praise the team for "relentlessly shipping" and consistently compounding its growth year after year.
  • A key strength is its multi-chain integration. It supports Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, Base, Polygon, and others, making it a potential "one wallet" solution for most crypto users.
  • The discussion leans heavily towards the idea that if Phantom were to go public, an equity/stock offering would be far more interesting than a token. It's cited as one of the few private crypto companies the hosts would consider buying equity in.

Takeaways

  • Phantom is not currently a public investment opportunity, but its strategy is a blueprint for success in the crypto application space.
  • The "multi-product platform" approach—integrating multiple chains and features (swaps, staking, etc.) into one app—is the winning model for user retention.
  • Investors should look for other applications that are following a similar playbook. If Phantom ever pursues a public offering (especially equity), it would be a highly anticipated event based on its strong product and execution.
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Episode Description
In this episode we discuss Pump’s acquisition of Padre and trading platform dynamics, NYSE plans for 24/7 tokenized stock trading and MegaETH’s upcoming stress test amid questions about demand and long-term adoption. Thanks for tuning in! As always, remember this podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely their opinions, not financial advice. -- Follow Blockworks Research: https://x.com/blockworksres Follow Danny: https://x.com/defi_kay_ Follow Boccaccio: https://x.com/salveboccaccio -- A yearly Blockworks Research subscription is $4,500, but now you can get our latest MetaDAO research report absolutely free. Read up on the latest funding models and what it all could mean for the future of ICOs: https://link.blockworks.co/metadaoreport -- Subscribe on YouTube: https://bit.ly/3foDS38 Subscribe on Apple: https://apple.co/3SNhUEt Subscribe on Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3NlP1hA Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- Timestamps: (0:00) Introduction (3:04) Pump’s Padre Acquisition (13:45) NYSE’s 24/7 Tokenized Stocks (29:37) MegaETH and the Limits of New L1s (50:16) Closing Comments -- Check out Blockworks Research today! Research, data, governance, tokenomics, and models – now, all in one place Blockworks Research: https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ Free Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter -- Disclaimer: Nothing said on 0xResearch is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely our opinions, not financial advice. Boccaccio, Danny, and our guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
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